Huawei forecast to increase mobile phone shipments despite Android ban

According to the China media outlet STN, Huawei has raised its mobile phone shipment target for 2023 to 40 million units.  Huawei had set this target at 30 million units at the beginning of the year. In this regard, a relevant person from Huawei told the “Securities Daily” reporter that this adjustment is a normal (shipment) target adjustment.  That projected increase in mobile phone sales comes despite the ban preventing Huawei from using the Android OS.  Instead, Huawei uses its home made HarmonyOS which is based upon micro kernel based distributed system whereas Android OS is based upon Linux kernel at its core.

People close to Huawei said that the current sales of Huawei smartphones are improving, and the recent sales of P60, MateX3 and other mobile phones are relatively satisfactory. “We have indeed raised our mobile phone shipment target for this year. But the specific number is inconvenient to disclose.”

A person in the supply chain said, “Huawei set its mobile phone shipment target for this year at 30 million units at the beginning of the year. As sales rebounded and market demand increased, Huawei recently adjusted its mobile phone shipment target to 40 million units this year, an increase of over 30%. ”

“If the news is true, it means that Huawei has confidence in the company’s mobile phone shipments in 2023.  According to market research firm Omdia, Huawei’s mobile phone shipments in 2022 will be 28 million units,

“The shipment target for this year has been raised by nearly 43%.” A market source who did not want to be named told the reporter. That’s in sharp contrast to  the global mobile phone market, which Omdia said declined 12.7% in Q1-2023. Samsung sales contracting 18% and Xiaomi’s falling by 22%.  Despite the large year-on-year fall Samsung has experienced, it still had the most shipments in 1Q23, reporting 60 million shipments. It has seen a small 3.2% rise in shipments compared to the previous quarter.

Omdia noted Huawei’s quarterly sales had dipped sequentially in the last two quarters but, thanks to a year of growth from Q4 2021 to Q3 2022, the company “is still in a better position now versus a year ago.”

Huawei ranks tenth on Omdia’s list of global handset vendors with just 2% of the market. Honor, the mid and low-end smartphone brand it sold off two years ago, has a 4% share.

Industry insiders believe that if Huawei raises its shipment target, it is also related to its product market performance. Counterpoint data shows that in the first quarter of 2023, Huawei’s domestic smartphone shipments bucked the trend and increased by 41%, with a domestic market share of 9.2%, a year-on-year increase of 3 percentage points.

“Huawei’s folding screen mobile phone shipments have continued to increase this year and the supply is in short supply. Therefore, Huawei needs to increase its stocking.” Yang Siliang, a partner of Zhou Yan Consulting, said in an interview with a reporter from the “Securities Daily.”

Source: Karlis Dambrans on Flickr, CC 2.0


Meanwhile in its core carrier equipment business, Huawei continues to dominate the Chinese market. It has just won 7.9 billion Chinese yuan (US$1.1 billion) in orders from China Mobile in China’s largest telecom tender so far this year.  Huawei was the dominant supplier in both parts of the tender, which was divided into 2.6GHz and 4.9GHz on one side and 700MHz gear on the other. Huawei was awarded contracts to supply just over half of the 64,000-basestation deployment, worth CNY3.76 billion ($530 million).

For China Mobile’s joint rollout with China Broadnet in the 700MHz band, Huawei won contracts for half of the 23,140 basestations with a total value of around CNY1.74 billion ($243 million), local website C114 calculated.

ZTE won the second largest volume of orders, worth CNY2.1 billion ($294 million), followed by Ericsson with CNY630 million ($88 million), Datang Mobile with CNY550 million ($77 million) and Nokia Bell with CNY400 million ($56 million).


One thought on “Huawei forecast to increase mobile phone shipments despite Android ban

  1. EU gives Huawei millions in R&D funding:

    Huawei has received millions of euros from the EU to fund some of its R&D activities, despite the EU itself heaping pressure on telcos to avoid using the vendor’s kit.

    The Financial Times reported (paywall) on Wednesday that Huawei is participating in no fewer than 11 projects under the EU’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme, which runs to 2027 and has a budget of €95.5 billion. One of its pillars, called ‘Global challenges and European industrial competitiveness’, covers everything from healthcare, agriculture and animal welfare, to high-performance computing, transport, and smart networks and services, among others.

    Huawei has hoovered up €3.89 million, which isn’t much a of dent, but as the FT notes, this is more about a Chinese vendor playing a role in the development of next-generation network technologies that could one day underpin European comms infrastructure.

    That wouldn’t be a problem if the EU was fine with Huawei technology being present in European telco networks. But it is very much not fine with that.

    Thierry Breton, EU commissioner in charge of the internal market, emphasised at an event last week the importance for telcos to take seriously the EU’s 5G toolbox framework.

    Developed in 2020, it stopped short of banning Huawei from networks, but advised operators not to buy kit from what the EU termed ‘high-risk’ vendors that it warned may jeopardise the security of their networks. It essentially meant the EU could be anti-Chinese tech without resorting to bombast.

    Breton last week praised those telcos that have interpreted the advice as more of a tacit instruction, but noted that others “are late”, and urged those late-runners to get a move on.

    At the same time, a separate FT report alleged that the EU is close to issuing an outright ban on member states using companies that represent a risk to the security of 5G networks. Citing Breton, the report claims just a third of EU countries have taken action to prevent Huawei 5G gear from ending up in comms networks.

    The EU is also quite prepared to use its influence to pressure countries beyond its borders into not using Chinese network equipment.

    The EU’s envoy to Malaysia, in tandem with their US counterpart, last month warned Malaysia against taking any action that might open the door to Huawei. The intervention was prompted by the government’s decision to review the tender process for its state-backed shared 5G network. Since then, Malaysia has confirmed plans to create a second national wholesale network, and doesn’t seem particularly bothered by telcos collaborating with Chinese vendors, undoubtedly to the US and the EU’s chagrin.

    This staunch anti-China stance therefore makes Huawei’s participation in Horizon Europe all the more puzzling.

    If Huawei really does represent a threat to the future security of Europe’s 5G infrastructure, then there is no justification for paying it millions of euros to help design the future of this infrastructure.

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