Meta’s Petal Subsea Cable to Bring Petabit-Class Optics to the Atlantic
Executive Summary:
Meta has announced Petal, a 7,000-km subsea cable connecting the U.S. and France that is designed to carry 1 petabit per second, or 1,000 Tbps, which is roughly twice the capacity Meta attributes to the current top transoceanic systems. If delivered as announced, it would be the first ocean-spanning subsea system engineered for an aggregate design capacity of 1 petabit/s (1,000 Tbps), It is a planned system—not an operational one. Petal is expected to enter service in 2029. At a glance:
- Petal, the next step in Meta’s subsea innovation, will be the first subsea cable to deliver petabit capacity at transoceanic distances, connecting France and the United States over approximately 7,000 km (4,300 mi).
- Expected to enter service in 2029, it will be the first subsea cable system to deploy multi-core fiber technology at scale, doubling the capacity per fiber without a proportional increase in power or physical infrastructure.
- Petal will be built in partnership with NEC and Sumitomo Electric Industries, with support on the French landing from Orange.
- As AI and cloud workloads grow, moving enormous amounts of data between global data centers becomes increasingly important.
- Owning more of the underlying network infrastructure can give hyperscalers greater control over capacity, reliability and future expansion.

Image Credit: Meta
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Detailed Discussion:
Petal is a roughly 7,000-km / 4,300-mile transatlantic cable connecting the United States and France. Meta announced it on September 21, 2026, saying it will be built with subsea-system supplier NEC, fiber supplier Sumitomo Electric Industries, and with Orange supporting the landing on France’s Atlantic coast.
At 1 Pbps, the raw line-rate equivalent is 125 TB/s—before protocol, FEC, framing, and operational overhead. That is a system-level aggregate capacity, not a claim that any one customer, application, wavelength, or AI training job receives a sustained 1 Pbps connection.
The technical breakthrough:
The key is not merely higher baud rates or more efficient coherent DSP. Petal’s headline architectural change is space-division multiplexing inside the optical fiber itself: two independently usable cores in each fiber.
A conventional single-mode fiber has one light-guiding core. In a two-core fiber, two separate cores sit within the same cladding, creating two spatial channels per fiber. Meta says Petal will be the first system to deploy multi-core fiber at transoceanic distance and that the approach doubles capacity without a proportional rise in physical infrastructure or power.
Conceptually: System capacity=(fiber pairs)×(spatial paths per fiber)×(usable spectrum)×(spectral efficiency)\{System capacity}
Petal attacks the second term. Rather than trying to keep extracting more bits per hertz from a single optical core, it introduces another spatial path in the same fiber. This matters because modern submarine systems are encountering increasingly difficult tradeoffs among:
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Fiber-pair count and cable diameter.
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Repeater count, electrical feed limits, and wet-plant power.
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Amplifier noise and achievable spectral efficiency.
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Modulation reach over a 7,000-km amplified path.
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Manufacturing, installation, and repair complexity.
The practical attraction is clear: add spatial capacity before attempting a disproportionate increase in per-core spectral efficiency. This is broadly analogous to the industry’s movement toward more fiber pairs in modern submarine cables, but implemented here through a multi-core-fiber approach.
Why two cores—not many?
Multi-core fiber is not a new research subject, but deploying it in a long-haul undersea system is a materially different engineering proposition from demonstrating it in a laboratory or terrestrial trial. For a transoceanic cable, the relevant questions include:
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Whether inter-core crosstalk remains acceptably low across the full submerged route and lifetime.
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Whether repeater/amplifier architecture can amplify both cores efficiently and reliably.
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Whether field splicing, branching, terminal equipment, fault isolation, and repairs are operationally manageable.
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Whether yield, mechanical reliability, and cost work at industrial cable-production scale.
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Whether the added spatial dimension produces capacity gains without undermining the wet plant’s power and reliability economics.
A two-core design is a conservative first operational step relative to more ambitious multi-core approaches. It aims to create meaningful spatial multiplication while keeping the fiber, repeater, and marine-system engineering tractable.
Why it matters for AI:
“AI workload” should not be interpreted as a single workload continuously transmitting a petabit per second over the Atlantic. The more credible rationale is that AI turns inter-data-center transport into a more strategic and less fungible infrastructure layer.
AI raises the value of predictable global capacity:
Large AI clusters are often concentrated where power, land, chips, and data-center construction capacity are available. The data, users, safety systems, content pipelines, training artifacts, model checkpoints, and inference services are global. That creates several high-bandwidth flows:
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Replication and synchronization of massive data repositories across regions.
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Model checkpoint and artifact movement among research, training, and serving locations.
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Distributed training and experimentation, where the bandwidth and latency penalty must be judged against the value of pooling scarce accelerators.
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Movement of data for preprocessing, evaluation, fine-tuning, and global content or telemetry analysis.
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Serving-plane transport among regional inference clusters, content-delivery systems, and core application infrastructure.
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Resilience capacity, enabling a large region to shift traffic or recover faster following a fiber fault, landing-station incident, power disruption, or data-center impairment.
For Meta, Petal also supports the broader reality that its global consumer platforms, data centers, content systems, and AI infrastructure require persistent, high-volume transatlantic connectivity. Meta explicitly frames the project in terms of rising global connectivity demand, while associating the capacity increase with a broader digital-services buildout.
Latency still constrains AI architecture:
A U.S.–France subsea path of roughly 7,000 km has an unavoidable propagation floor. Light travels through fiber at about two-thirds of the speed of light in vacuum, so the one-way physical propagation component alone is on the order of 35 ms, with actual end-to-end latency higher after route geometry, terrestrial legs, switching, and equipment delay.
That means Petal is highly valuable for bulk transport, replication, inference backhaul, data movement, and resilience. It does not eliminate the architectural preference to keep tightly synchronized, latency-sensitive distributed training within a metro, campus, or regional geography. For training workloads with frequent all-reduce operations, the speed-of-light constraint remains decisive.
The likely consequence is not “one worldwide AI supercomputer.” It is a fabric of large regional AI clusters connected by increasingly enormous interregional and intercontinental pipes.
Economic and network significance:
Petal is another indicator that hyperscalers are becoming direct builders and de facto strategic operators of global submarine infrastructure—not merely anchor tenants buying capacity from consortium cables or wholesale carriers.
Meta says it has invested in more than 20 subsea cable projects and cites Project Waterworth as part of that broader effort. This is strategically important for several reasons.
Capacity control:
Owning or controlling cable capacity gives a hyperscaler more freedom to engineer traffic, schedule upgrades, reserve restoration capacity, and match network expansion to data-center deployment. It reduces exposure to capacity scarcity on high-demand corridors and can improve economics relative to repeatedly purchasing long-term capacity leases.
Route diversity and resilience:
A new direct U.S.–France route can improve route diversity, although diversity is real only if the cable’s landing stations, terrestrial backhaul, marine path, and network interconnection are genuinely differentiated from existing failure domains. A cable does not create resilience merely by being new; it must avoid common choke points and be integrated into a broader mesh with restoration options.
Supply-chain positioning:
Petal strengthens the positioning of NEC and Sumitomo Electric in the strategically important subsea market. At the same time, it shows that advanced fiber technology—not just transponder generation or more fiber pairs—is again becoming a major differentiator in submarine-system design.
The utility model is changing:
Traditional cable consortia typically divided ownership and capacity among telecom operators. Hyperscaler investment has shifted the market toward private or hyperscaler-led systems optimized around cloud, content, and AI traffic rather than generalized carrier demand. Petal intensifies that shift: the network’s economic center of gravity is moving toward companies that own both the workload and the data-center footprint.
Important caveats:
The announcement is technically consequential, but it is important not to overstate it.
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It is a design target, not deployed capacity. Petal is expected to enter service in 2029; its 1-Pbps performance has not yet been demonstrated in an operational transoceanic cable.about.fb
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“1 Pbps” is aggregate system capacity. It is not a single end-to-end flow, and it should not be treated as equivalent to application throughput.
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The precise terminal-line-system details remain undisclosed. Meta has not publicly specified the usable optical spectrum, individual wavelength rates, modulation formats, amplifier configuration, repeater spacing, fiber-pair count, landing points, spectrum allocation, or upgrade roadmap. Those details determine how the headline capacity is realized in practice.
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AI is an important demand driver, but not the only one. The cable will carry a mixture of Meta traffic: consumer application traffic, content systems, cloud-like internal workloads, data replication, inference-related flows, and capacity reserved for protection and growth.
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“No proportional increase” is not “no increase.” Meta says Petal can transfer twice the data without a proportional increase in power or physical infrastructure. That is a meaningful efficiency claim, but it does not mean the system avoids higher absolute power, equipment, manufacturing, or deployment requirements.
Conclusions:
Petal’s real importance is that it moves multi-core fiber from an advanced optical concept toward transoceanic commercial deployment. The project indicates that the next major submarine-capacity step may come not simply from better coherent optics or wider spectrum, but from adding spatial channels within the wet plant while constraining cable size and power-feed requirements.
For AI infrastructure, Petal is best understood as a global data-center interconnect and capacity-control asset. It will not overcome latency physics or make transatlantic synchronous training universally practical. But it can make it far easier for Meta to move large data sets, replicate state, balance workloads, support cross-region inference and services, and operate a more resilient global AI and application fabric. If it reaches service in 2029 at its stated performance, it will establish a consequential new benchmark for subsea-system architecture.
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References:
Announcing Petal, a First-of-its-Kind Transoceanic Subsea Cable
Inside Petal: Building the World’s First Petabit-Class Transoceanic Subsea Cable
https://tech.facebook.com/engineering/2022/02/economic-impact-subsea-cables/
TechCrunch: Meta to build $10 billion Subsea Cable to manage its global data traffic
Hyperscalers Dominance of Subsea Cable Capacity to Increase in the AI Era
Fiber Optic Networks & Subsea Cable Systems as the foundation for AI and Cloud services
Subsea cable systems: the new high-capacity, high-resilience backbone of the AI-driven global network
FCC updates subsea cable regulations; repeals 98 “outdated” broadcast rules and regulations
Echo and Bifrost: Facebook’s new subsea cables between Asia-Pacific and North America
NEC completes Patara-2 subsea cable system in Indonesia
Meta’s “Iris” AI Chip for MTIA: Implications for Telecom-Grade Optical Networking, DCI and High Capacity Ethernet Fabrics
Google Cloud announces TalayLink subsea cable and new connectivity hubs in Thailand and Australia
Ericsson signs MoU’s with Murata and Sumitomo to progress next-gen mobile network infrastructure
Introduction:
Ericsson has signed separate memoranda of understanding with Murata Manufacturing and Sumitomo Electric Industries to investigate component, radio, and network technologies for next-generation mobile infrastructure.
The collaborations are intended to link Japanese component and materials expertise with Ericsson’s RAN and system-integration capabilities, with an emphasis on technologies that could improve radio-network performance, lower energy consumption, and strengthen the resilience and trustworthiness of communications infrastructure for the 6G and AI era. Key takeaways:
- Ericsson, Murata Manufacturing and Sumitomo Electric Industries to explore advanced technologies aimed at enhancing network performance and improving product energy efficiency in the 6G and AI era
- Ericsson’s new R&D Center in Yokohama to provide a platform for closer collaboration with Japan’s technology ecosystem
- Collaborations to combine the advanced technology capabilities of Murata and Sumitomo Electric Industries with Ericsson’s global R&D capabilities and mobile network leadership

Focus on RAN innovation:
The MoUs provide a framework for joint technology assessment, engineering knowledge exchange, and proof-of-concept work. The companies will examine how advances in components, interconnects, radio hardware, and related technologies can be incorporated more effectively into future RAN platforms and programmable network architectures.
The work is expected to address a central 6G engineering challenge: translating innovation at the component level into system-level gains in capacity, coverage, energy efficiency, reliability, and operational flexibility. That includes evaluating technologies that can support increasingly software-defined, AI-assisted, and cloud-integrated mobile networks without compromising the performance and determinism required at the radio edge.
Linking components to systems:
Murata brings capabilities in electronic components and RF-related technologies, while Sumitomo Electric contributes expertise spanning optical communications, connectivity, materials, and related infrastructure technologies. Ericsson contributes global RAN research, network-architecture expertise, and experience in the design and deployment of programmable mobile networks.
Rather than positioning the agreements as product-development commitments, the MoUs establish an exploratory basis for identifying technical areas where Japanese component leadership can be aligned with Ericsson’s end-to-end network and RAN roadmap. The intended outcome is to accelerate the transition of promising technologies from component-level research into scalable network solutions relevant to both Japan and international markets.
Yokohama R&D role:
The collaborations will draw on Ericsson’s global R&D organization and its Yokohama R&D Center, which began operations in April 2026. The center develops advanced radio hardware and software for Japanese and global markets, including programmable network technologies, next-generation mobile systems, and open network architectures.
The Yokohama facility also serves as a collaboration point for customers and technology partners and supports Ericsson’s participation in international standardization. Its role is therefore broader than local product development: it connects Japanese technology innovation with Ericsson’s global research programs, ecosystem activities, and standards engagement.
Strategic significance:
For Ericsson, the agreements reinforce a long-term industrial commitment to Japan at a time when 6G research is increasingly focused on the interaction among advanced semiconductors and components, radio systems, AI-native network functions, cloud platforms, and energy-efficient infrastructure.
For the wider industry, the significance lies in the effort to close the gap between high-value component innovation and deployable network architecture. Future 6G systems will depend not only on new spectrum bands and radio techniques, but also on advances in RF front ends, antenna and packaging technologies, optical and electrical interconnects, power efficiency, and software-controlled RAN platforms. These collaborations position Ericsson, Murata, and Sumitomo Electric to evaluate where such technologies can deliver measurable system-level value in future mobile networks.
In August, NTT DoCoMo selected Ericsson’s RAN Compute platform for its networks in Japan, including for its 5G operations. The deployment is expected to improve network quality, and allow for some AI-native and programmable networks with an eye on long-term software evolution.
Executive Quotes:
Hiroshi Izumitani, Executive Vice President (Board Member), Director, Communication & Sensor Business Unit at Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd., says:
“Murata has sought to address the challenges faced by its customers and society, contribute to solving them through technology, and support the advancement of culture. Through this collaboration, we aim to deepen our understanding of the needs and system requirements for next-generation communications infrastructure and explore the potential of our technologies to deliver value.”
Hirotake Iwadate, Executive Officer and General Manager, Transmission Devices Division, Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd., says:
“Sumitomo Electric recognizes the importance of long-term collaboration in advancing communications technologies. Through this collaboration with Ericsson, we look forward to deepening technical dialogue, exchanging expertise, and exploring opportunities for future innovation in communications and digital infrastructure technologies.”
Chafic Nassif, President of Ericsson Northeast Asia, says:
“Japan is home to many of the world’s most advanced component technologies. Through closer collaboration with Murata and Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ericsson aims to combine system-level knowledge from global network deployments with Japan’s deep component expertise, creating opportunities to accelerate innovation and expand the application of these technologies across communications, AI infrastructure, data centers, automotive systems and other advanced industries.”
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References:
https://www.telecoms.com/5g-6g/ericsson-teams-up-with-murata-and-sumitomo-for-next-gen-networks
Yokohama announced as site of new Ericsson Japan R&D Center
4.8 GHz to 4.9 GHz frequency band uses & Verizon Wireless experimental license for testing ISAC with Ericsson
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AT&T’s 600 MHz Deployment with Ericsson: Turning Low-Band Spectrum Into Coverage and Uplink Capacity
Ericsson leads SK Telecom AI RAN vs. NVIDIA’s GPU centric AI RAN Alliance
AT&T/Ericsson Demonstrate 5G-Based ISAC for Drone Detection at World Cup Stadium
Google’s Project Suncatcher: Satellite Orbit Validation of AI Accelerator Compute and Thermal Management
China Mobile and Huawei Turn High-Speed Railway 5G-A into a Premium Service
Introduction:
China Mobile may have found a credible way to monetize 5G which has been one of the most persistent commercial problems for mobile network operators. The China state backed carrier aims to turn a 5G Advanced network into a consumer service Chinese people will pay for. On China’s Beijing–Shanghai high-speed railway, where trains operate at up to 350 km/h, China Mobile and Huawei have deployed a 5G-Advanced (5G-A) [1.] architecture that goes beyond coverage and peak-rate claims. The network is designed to identify passengers travelling aboard the train, differentiate them from users located near the rail corridor, recognize application-level performance requirements, and allocate radio and core-network resources accordingly.
Note 1. 3GPP & ITU-R Standardization Status: 5G-Advanced, incorporating enhancements from 3GPP Release 18 (the initial 5G-Advanced baseline), was included in the latest revision of Recommendation ITU-R M.2150-3 [IMT 2020 RIT/SRITs], which was approved in February 2026 as the latest 5G RAN standard.
3GPP Release 19 carries the official 5G-Advanced logo and introduces a wide array of advanced features and functional enhancements that expand upon Release 18, but it has not yet been contributed to ITU-R WP5D. That’s because ATIS and other 3GPP organizational partners are aligning upcoming submission timelines around the broader IMT-2030 (6G) guidelines. Release 19 functions as a transitional bridge. Elements of Release 19, alongside upcoming Release 20 studies, are being packaged as part of the broader baseline evaluation requirements leading up to the major IMT-2030 tech proposal window
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The commercial proposition is straightforward: China Mobile wants to sell a differentiated connectivity experience rather than simply another nominal speed tier.
China Mobile’s 5G-A High-Speed Rail Premium Package effectively creates a premium service class within the public mobile network. According to China Mobile and Huawei, subscribers can receive data rates two to three times higher than those available through standard packages, particularly for latency-sensitive and bandwidth-intensive services such as video conferencing, livestreaming, and cloud gaming.
That makes the Beijing–Shanghai deployment more than an ambitious coverage project. It is an effort to operationalize contextual, application-aware quality differentiation at consumer scale.
Reliable connectivity aboard a train moving at 350 km/h is inherently difficult. Devices traverse cells rapidly, driving frequent handovers, while large numbers of passengers compete for capacity within a highly challenging RF environment. A train carriage also presents substantial propagation constraints: passengers are concentrated in a metal enclosure, and demand tends to be synchronized around high-bandwidth applications.
China Mobile has deployed dedicated capacity along the route using 2.6-GHz 8T8R and 700-MHz spectrum within a three-carrier 5G-Advanced network. Neither band is inherently unique. U.S. operators, for example, use 700-MHz low-band spectrum and hold substantial spectrum near 2.5 GHz. The distinctive element is China Mobile’s integration of those bands into a dedicated high-speed rail mobility architecture, combined with AI-assisted passenger classification and service prioritization.
China Mobile says that multiband load balancing, carrier aggregation, and Huawei’s train-specific power-adaptation technology improved perceived uplink performance by 38.5% and downlink performance by 9.5%. Those figures are vendor- and operator-reported measurements, rather than independently verified results, but they illustrate the priority placed on uplink and experience consistency as well as headline downlink rates. More important than the additional radio capacity, however, is the control layer built above it.

China Mobile and Huawei use AI on the Beijing–Shanghai high-speed rail line to sell premium 5G service, turning network control into revenue. (Source: Google Gemini)
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The network identifies the passenger context:
China Mobile says it has integrated AI inference into the 5G core’s Network Data Analytics Function, or NWDAF. The system evaluates approximately three minutes of user mobility data—including speed, base-station transitions, and network topology—to determine whether a subscriber is travelling aboard the high-speed train or simply using the public network in proximity to the railway.
China Mobile claims that the system identifies high-speed rail passengers with more than 95% accuracy. Once a user has been classified as a railway passenger, the network can modify frequency-selection priorities to retain that subscriber on dedicated rail capacity while moving conventional public-network users to alternative resources.
The operator says that, at typical base stations, as many as 60% of non-rail users can be migrated off the rail-focused network layer.
That changes the network’s role. Rather than simply transporting packets across available capacity, the system interprets user context and uses that inference to make policy decisions about radio and core-network resource allocation.
In practical terms, the network is attempting to distinguish between two users who may be physically close to one another but have very different connectivity requirements:
This is a more sophisticated model than conventional consumer traffic management. The policy is not based solely on a static premium plan or a generic QoS marking. It is informed by mobility context, location, network topology, and application behavior.
From capacity to application experience:
China Mobile says its NWDAF can detect deteriorating application performance and dynamically establish dedicated guaranteed-bit-rate bearers for eligible subscribers and services.
In 2025, the company said the system could accelerate 27 applications across five categories. It now says that capability has expanded to 55 applications in six categories, including multistream acceleration for short-form video and livestreaming services.
Intelligent processing within the radio network adds a further control layer. China Mobile and Huawei describe millisecond-level optimization of rate, latency, power, and carrier selection for specific users and services.
The result begins to resemble an intelligent service-delivery platform rather than a conventional mobile broadband network.
That distinction matters because mobile operators have spent years seeking a viable monetization model for 5G capabilities such as network slicing, deterministic performance, differentiated QoS, and application-aware service delivery. Selling another increment of nominal speed to a subscriber who can already stream video without difficulty is not especially compelling. Selling a reliable, business-grade experience for a video meeting during a high-speed journey between Beijing and Shanghai is easier to understand—and potentially easier to monetize.
One proposition is additional bandwidth. The other is confidence that an important application will work when it matters.
China Mobile’s service branding reinforces that distinction. Premium subscribers receive a dynamic China Mobile HSR VIP logo on their devices, making the service tier visible as well as functional.
Why rail is a useful proving ground:
Railway environments are particularly suitable for testing this model because the value of performance differentiation is immediately apparent. A passenger trying to participate in a video conference, upload files, livestream, or access a cloud application does not particularly care whether the underlying network is branded as 5G, 5G-Advanced, or eventually 6G. The relevant question is whether the service works reliably.
That is why the Beijing–Shanghai deployment may have significance beyond China.
In the United Kingdom, Ofcom reported in June that mobile service was poor in between 58% and 83% of train tests, depending on the operator. Its benchmark for a good connection was modest: 5 Mbit/s downlink, 1.5 Mbit/s uplink, and latency of no more than 50 milliseconds—sufficient for an acceptable video call. Ofcom reported in June that those conditions frequently were not met.
China Mobile is using AI to determine which passenger’s video call should receive priority. Britain is still working to ensure that the connection is available at all.
London provides an instructive counterpoint. The Elizabeth line initially opened without mobile coverage. Transport for London now says that all Elizabeth line stations have 4G coverage and tunnel sections have both 4G and 5G coverage. The lesson is not that advanced, differentiated services are unnecessary. It is that the industry must first solve the basic infrastructure problem before it can credibly commercialize higher-value connectivity tiers.
China Mobile has moved beyond that initial engineering threshold. Its question is: what services become commercially viable once connectivity is reliable enough to manage and differentiate?
A broader 5G monetization model:
A search for comparable deployments did not identify another commercial rail service that combines 5G-Advanced, AI-based passenger identification, application-level performance detection, and premium consumer service differentiation in quite the same way.
Other railway initiatives are progressing, but generally toward a different goal. Germany, for example, is testing 5G standalone for railway communications, with an emphasis on the Future Railway Mobile Communication System, or FRMCS. In 2025, Deutsche Bahn began testing what Fierce Network described as the world’s first 5G-based FRMCS deployment on live outdoor tracks. The trial is focused on establishing next-generation railway communications capabilities.
The contrast is useful as per this table:
Both are valid applications of 5G. They address different buyers, operating models, and value chains.
Mobile operators have historically sold relatively blunt consumer products: minutes, messages, data allowances, and broad speed tiers. Fifth-generation networks promised more precise commercial tools, including slicing, service assurance, policy control, and differentiated quality. Translating those tools into consumer propositions has proved difficult, although the model has been more successful in industrial and enterprise deployments.
I saw one version of that industrial model at the East-West Gate intermodal terminal in Hungary, where Huawei private 5G provides the uplink capacity, reliability, and guaranteed latency required to automate railway logistics. The Beijing–Shanghai deployment applies a related technical proposition to a very different customer: the passenger.
That makes 5G’s consumer value proposition more tangible.
Huawei’s responses to FNTV’s questions on the case study are revealing. Additional spectrum and capacity establish the baseline experience; AI-based profiling and intelligent radio processing then provide the fine-grained resource management that improves it. Put simply: capacity creates the network, while control creates the product.
That distinction will become more important as operators seek to prevent connectivity from becoming a commodity.
Hyperscale cloud providers built highly profitable businesses in part by layering proprietary software, orchestration, and operational control above broadly available infrastructure. Telecom operators own valuable assets—licensed spectrum, radio access networks, transport, core networks, and increasingly distributed compute—but have struggled to translate those assets into differentiated, higher-margin services.
An intelligent mobile network provides a potential route forward.
T-Mobile has described a related direction in its own 5G standalone evolution, with AI moving from the cloud into the core and orchestration extending across core, radio, and device layers. T-Mobile executives described how AI is moving into its 5G standalone core. The underlying principle is similar: as operators gain more real-time intelligence and control across network domains, they can potentially tailor network behavior to individual customers, devices, applications, and contexts.
The operator owns the spectrum, operates the RAN, and controls the core. Increasingly, software and AI can determine how those assets behave for a particular subscriber or service. That control may have commercial value.
The commercial test remains ahead:
The deployment still raises important questions. The performance data supplied to FNTV are China Mobile and Huawei measurements and have not been independently verified. More significantly, the ultimate test is commercial: will subscribers consistently perceive enough difference in quality, reliability, and application performance to pay for premium treatment over time?
That said, the underlying proposition is credible. For frequent business travellers, reliable application performance during a high-speed rail journey is materially more valuable than an abstract claim of higher peak throughput.
I have covered railway communications ranging from Huawei’s private 5G deployment at Hungary’s East-West Gate terminal to the decidedly less futuristic reality of a German railway disruption linked to legacy 2G dependence in 2026. China Mobile is pushing the question one stage further: what happens after baseline connectivity becomes reliable?
The network becomes programmable. Then context-aware. Then intelligent. Finally, it becomes commercial. At 350 km/h between Beijing and Shanghai, China Mobile is beginning to demonstrate what that progression could look like. The route to 5G revenue may not be selling passengers a nominally faster network. It may be selling them a materially better journey.
Also see: GSMA Foundry — China Mobile case study: “Connecting High-Speed Rail Passengers”
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References:
https://www.fierce-network.com/wireless/china-mobile-takes-express-train-5g-revenue
https://www.gsma.com/get-involved/gsma-foundry/gsma_resources/connecting-high-speed-rail-passengers-china-mobile/ – Primary case-study source for the AI algorithm in the packet core, passenger identification, high-speed-rail connectivity optimization, and the broader China Mobile deployment concept
“China Mobile and Huawei Team Up to Launch AI-Powered 5G-A …” – Secondary coverage describing the reported architecture as a combination of a dedicated high-bandwidth 5G-A network for high-speed rail, an AI-native core, and intelligent network-management functions.
China Mobile & ZTE use digital twin technology with 5G-Advanced on high-speed railway in China
Nokia & Deutsche Bahn deploy world’s first 1900 MHz 5G radio network meeting FRMCS requirements
ZTE and China Telecom: 5G network test on a high speed train; Uplink enhancement FAST verification
KDDI, Samsung: 28GHz surveillance video call on train platform using 5G base station
Google’s Internet Access for Emerging Markets – Managed WiFi Network for India Railways
The AI Infrastructure Build-Out: A $10 Trillion Bet on Compute, Power, and Networks
Verizon offers free online AI training tailored to your interests!
Verizon has launched an online portal that curates AI training content from several tech giants, including IBM, Google, Microsoft, Anthropic, OpenAI, and online course provider Coursera. The U.S.’ largest wireless carrier by subscriber count says that the type of courses on offer normally cost in the region of $700 per year, but it is making them available for free.
“Strengthening the American economy starts with making sure every individual has the opportunity to adapt and succeed in a rapidly changing world. AI isn’t just a technological shift – it will change the face of every workforce around the world,” said Verizon CEO Dan Schulman.
“Companies, working closely together and with the public sector, have a responsibility to invest in people with the same urgency they invest in technology. By giving people and small businesses free access to the best AI training, we are helping workers retain their jobs, navigate transitions, support their families, and help small businesses grow – while building confidence in our American economy. When you empower people to embrace change rather than fear it, you create a ripple effect that builds healthier communities and a stronger and more resilient national economy.”

Linked to this initiative is a separate $1 million grant that Verizon has awarded to the Liberty Science Center (LSC) in Jersey City, New Jersey. The funds will be spend on providing practical AI skills to individuals and small businesses.
“As a company with a strong footprint in New Jersey, Verizon is deeply committed to supporting the communities we call home, and our longstanding partnership with Liberty Science Centre is a cornerstone of that commitment,” said Donna Epps, chief responsible business officer of Verizon. “Verizon and LSC have a shared vision of empowering the learners and leaders of tomorrow, and we’re excited to work together to create programming that evokes curiosity for new technologies for educators, families and students from across the state.”
The non-profit “Centre for Humane Technology (CHT)” – co-founded by ex-Googler Tristan Harris – has published a report (PDF) explaining how AI could damage everything from personal relationships to governments, and -most significantly- the workplace.
References:
https://www.verizon.com/ai-skills/home
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The AI Infrastructure Build-Out: A $10 Trillion Bet on Compute, Power, and Networks
Introduction:
According to the Wall Street Journal, the AI build-out is rapidly becoming the largest concentrated infrastructure investment cycle in modern American economic history. Unlike earlier national build-outs—railroads, interstate highways, electrification, or the commercial internet—this cycle is being driven largely by a small group of cloud platforms deploying highly specialized compute, networking, power, cooling, and semiconductor infrastructure at unprecedented speed. Economist Stijn van Nieuwerburgh estimates that U.S. spending on data centers and related AI infrastructure could reach $10.3 trillion [1.] between 2025 and 2032, equivalent to an average of 3.6% of annual GDP. The estimate encompasses far more than conventional enterprise data centers: it reflects the industrial-scale infrastructure needed to train and serve frontier AI models, including GPU and accelerator clusters, high-bandwidth memory, advanced packaging, optical interconnects, high-capacity Ethernet and InfiniBand fabrics, grid interconnection, substations, backup generation, liquid cooling, and long-haul fiber connectivity.
Note 1. The $10.3 trillion number is a scenario-based estimate of U.S. AI infrastructure investment during 2025–2032—not a forecast of announced corporate spending. The Brookings analysis behind it assumes that about 183 GW of new data-center capacity will be completed through 2032, versus a 509-GW announced/planned pipeline. A representative 200-MW AI campus is estimated to cost about $8.2 billion: $5.6 billion for IT equipment, $2.2 billion for the facility, and $0.4 billion for power infrastructure. Thus, most of the investment is in compute and networking hardware rather than buildings.
The scale creates a major financing challenge: the five largest hyperscalers are projected to spend about $800 billion on capex in 2026, exceeding their combined operating cash flow. Under the Brookings assumptions, the resulting infrastructure would need roughly $3.7 trillion of annual revenue by 2032 to produce a 10% unlevered return. The key economic issue, therefore, is whether future AI revenue and utilization can justify the enormous capital investment.
From Cloud Data Centers to AI Factories:
The defining characteristic of this AI buildout investment cycle is its concentration. The five U.S. hyperscalers (Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle) are collectively expected to invest roughly $4.2 trillion in capital expenditures during the four years ending in 2029, according to FactSet estimates cited in the source material. Increasingly, this capital is directed toward AI-optimized facilities: campuses designed around megawatt-scale accelerator pods, dense GPU clusters, high-radix network fabrics, and power delivery systems capable of supporting workloads whose energy and cooling profiles differ sharply from those of traditional cloud computing.
Those five major hyperscalers increased combined capital expenditures from approximately $97 billion in 2020 to more than $400 billion in 2025, with the paper projecting approximately $800.5 billion in 2026. That 2026 figure is significant because it exceeds their combined operating cash flow of approximately $707.1 billion. In other words, projected capex is about 113% of operating cash flow. Pacific Software Ventures That creates a MAJOR financing problem: AI infrastructure investment is becoming too large to be financed entirely from hyperscaler internally generated cash.
AI infrastructure is not simply an expansion of conventional cloud capacity. Large-model training and inference create a distinct systems-engineering problem. Training AI frontier foundation models requires thousands to hundreds of thousands of tightly coupled accelerators. Those accelerators must exchange model parameters, activation data, and gradients at extremely high rates. Network performance therefore becomes a first-order determinant of usable compute capacity. A GPU cluster can deliver poor economics if its fabric introduces congestion, latency, packet loss, or inadequate bisection bandwidth during distributed training.
That requirement is accelerating deployment of:
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GPU- and AI-accelerator servers with high-bandwidth memory and advanced semiconductor packaging.
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High-speed scale-up interconnects within accelerator nodes and scale-out fabrics across clusters.
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400 GbE, 800 GbE, and emerging 1.6 TbE Ethernet architectures, along with InfiniBand deployments for tightly coupled training environments.
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Optical transceivers, co-packaged optics research, photonic switching, and expanded fiber density within and between data-center campuses.
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AI-aware workload scheduling, distributed storage, data pipelines, checkpointing systems, and network telemetry.
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Direct-to-chip liquid cooling, rear-door heat exchangers, chilled-water systems, and other thermal-management systems required by high-density AI racks.
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New transmission lines, substations, transformers, gas generation, battery systems, and other power infrastructure needed to support multi-hundred-megawatt and gigawatt-scale campuses.
In effect, hyperscalers are building what are increasingly described as AI factories: integrated physical and digital production systems that convert electricity, capital equipment, data, and semiconductor capacity into trained models, inference tokens, and AI-enabled cloud services.
A Historically Large Capital Concentration:
AI investment is projected to reach 1.9% of U.S. GDP in 2026, according to Goldman Sachs estimates cited in the source material. The late-19th-century railroad boom was the last period in which a single new infrastructure category represented a larger share of the U.S. economy.
The comparison is useful, but incomplete. Railroads connected physical markets over decades. The AI build-out is being deployed on a far more compressed timetable and is dependent on global supply chains for leading-edge accelerators, high-bandwidth memory, advanced substrates, optical components, power equipment, and data-center construction capacity.
This creates a reinforcing investment loop:
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Foundation-model developers require more compute to train larger or more capable models.
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Cloud providers build additional accelerator capacity to support training and inference demand.
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Semiconductor vendors, memory suppliers, networking companies, optical-component manufacturers, and power-equipment suppliers expand production.
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Data-center developers secure land, power contracts, grid interconnections, fiber routes, water or cooling capacity, and financing.
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Enterprises adopt AI services, increasing inference demand and reinforcing hyperscaler investment.
The strategic question is whether revenue from AI applications, enterprise subscriptions, API usage, advertising optimization, software agents, automation, and industry-specific deployments will scale fast enough to justify the capital intensity of the underlying infrastructure.
Financial and Infrastructure Risks:
The scale of investment introduces material financial-system risk. A growing portion of AI-related infrastructure is being financed through debt, including special-purpose entities and off-balance-sheet structures that may have limited public disclosure. These structures can allow technology companies and infrastructure developers to finance data-center construction, equipment purchases, and long-term capacity commitments without placing all obligations directly on corporate balance sheets.
That can be economically rational when capacity utilization is high and long-term AI demand is durable. However, it also creates exposure if expected AI revenues, cloud bookings, or accelerator utilization fail to materialize.
The central risk is not merely that an individual model underperforms. It is that a synchronized reduction in AI capital expenditure could affect multiple interconnected sectors at once:
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Data-center developers and construction firms.
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Semiconductor, memory, storage, and server suppliers.
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Optical networking and switching vendors.
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Utilities, independent power producers, and grid-equipment manufacturers.
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Banks, private-credit funds, infrastructure lenders, and equipment-finance providers.
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Commercial real-estate markets in data-center-heavy regions.
A sudden pause in hyperscaler spending would therefore have broader consequences than a typical technology downcycle. It could reduce orders across a deeply interdependent industrial supply chain while exposing leveraged infrastructure vehicles to weaker cash flows.
IT Product Inflation, Power, and Network Capacity:
The AI build-out is also creating supply-side pressure in strategic technology markets. Demand for data-center equipment—especially memory, advanced semiconductors, servers, optics, and power-delivery equipment—has tightened supply and raised costs. The source material notes that prices paid by importers for computers, peripherals, and semiconductors were 20% higher in August than a year earlier.
That inflation can propagate beyond the data center. Higher component prices can increase the cost of consumer electronics, including smartphones, PCs, gaming systems, and storage products. Enterprises may also face higher prices for servers, networking equipment, cloud services, and AI-enabled software.
Power is an equally important constraint. AI data centers concentrate demand geographically, often creating large and relatively inflexible new loads on regional grids. A single large campus may require hundreds of megawatts, while the next generation of AI campuses could require gigawatt-scale capacity. This is driving demand for new generation, transmission capacity, substations, transformers, energy storage, and grid-management technologies.
The result is a collision between digital infrastructure planning and energy-system planning. Data-center capacity is no longer determined primarily by real estate, fiber connectivity, or server availability. In many markets, the gating factor is now the ability to obtain firm power, complete interconnection studies, procure transformers and switchgear, and finance new grid infrastructure.
Conclusions:
For IEEE Techblog readers, the central issue is not whether AI demand is real. It is whether the industry can build an economically sustainable, energy-efficient, resilient, and interoperable infrastructure stack at the required scale.
That challenge spans multiple engineering domains:
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Semiconductor architecture, packaging, memory bandwidth, and energy efficiency.
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Data-center electrical design, cooling, rack density, and operational resiliency.
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High-performance networking, congestion control, optical interconnects, and distributed-system design.
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AI software optimization, including model efficiency, quantization, sparsity, scheduling, and inference optimization.
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Grid integration, power electronics, demand response, and energy-aware workload placement.
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Security, supply-chain assurance, and operational management across increasingly autonomous infrastructure.
The AI boom may indeed become the defining infrastructure investment cycle of this era. Its long-term success, however, will depend less on headline capital-expenditure totals than on whether the industry can translate massive spending on accelerators and data centers into durable productivity gains, commercially viable AI services, and infrastructure that does not impose unsustainable costs on power systems, supply chains, consumers, or the financial sector.
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References:
Dell’Oro: Data Center capex grew 92% in 2Q-2026 (caveats galore)
Dell’Oro: 2H2026 Data Center Capex to Accelerate due to massive AI Deployments
PwC: Global AI data center spending to hit $31.6tn by 2050; Role of full stack orchestration layer explained
Nvidia CEO Huang: AI is the largest infrastructure buildout in human history; AI Data Center CAPEX will generate new revenue streams for operators
AI risks and backlash increase; Recap of the circular loop of fake AI profits and hyperscaler markups of private AI companies
China vs U.S.: Race to Generate Power for AI Data Centers as Electricity Demand Soars
How will fiber and equipment vendors meet the increased demand for fiber optics in 2026 due to AI data center buildouts?
Expose: AI is more than a bubble; it’s a data center debt bomb
Will billions of dollars big tech is spending on Gen AI data centers produce a decent ROI?
Huge Risks for the proposed $500B AI Investments from Giant Wall Street firms
Can the debt fueling the new wave of AI infrastructure buildouts ever be repaid?
Sept 2026 3GPP meeting updates for 5G Advanced and 6G planning (with timeline for submisson to ITU-R WP 5D via ATIS)
- 100% Stage 2 Freeze: The primary technical output for Release 20 was hitting the 100% completion target for Stage 2 (System Architecture). This officially locks down the architectural aspects for 5G Advanced next wave, transitioning the bulk of execution entirely to Stage 3 protocol and core implementation.
- 6G Dual Connectivity Way Forward: Delegates finalized critical deployment decisions regarding how 6G will integrate with existing infrastructure. Focus solidified around Option 1 (6G-anchored dual connectivity with 5G NR) and Option 3 (Dual stack, no RAN-level aggregation).
- Multi-RAT Spectrum Sharing (MRSS): RAN1 delivered its highly anticipated MRSS preliminary performance evaluation. This evaluates the overhead costs of operators running 5G and 6G simultaneously on the same frequencies, safeguarding migration investments.
- Use Cases and Services: Deepened studies into Integrated Sensing and Communications (ISAC), native AI/ML network applications, and ubiquitous connectivity (“anywhere to everywhere”).
- Radio Advancements: Maturation of the 6G RAN study on Scenarios and Requirements (TR 38.914), steering the industry closer to initial physical layer specifications.
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- Dual Connectivity Framework: Delegates officially locked down the deployment pathways for the first phase of 6G. They established a clear consensus favoring Option 1 (6G-anchored dual connectivity with 5G NR) and Option 3 (Dual stack/independent radio lines), settling intense architectural debates on how 6G will overlay on 5G infrastructure.
- MRSS Performance Baseline: RAN1 finalized its preliminary performance evaluations for Multi-RAT Spectrum Sharing (MRSS). This technical milestone establishes the exact overhead margins required to run 5G and 6G simultaneously on legacy bands, preventing spectral efficiency loss during the transition.
- TR 38.914 Technical Alignment: The radio groups finalized the foundational baseline for the Radio Scenarios and Requirements report (TR 38.914), updating propagation channel models to explicitly match the new spectrum ranges targeted for initial Release 21 designs.
- ISAC Requirements Progression: SA2 finalized early system-level flows for Integrated Sensing and Communications (ISAC), formalizing how a 6G network will dynamically allocate base station radio energy to double as radar mapping infrastructure.
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- Initial Framework Alignment (Mid-2027): ATIS will submit the early Release 21 architectural structures and capability definitions resulting from these choices to the 55th meeting of WP 5D. This acts as an initial informational contribution to show compliance with the IMT-2030 (6G) Framework.
- Formal Candidate Technology Submission (Late 2028 / Early 2029): Once these 2026 foundational agreements are fully written into frozen protocol code during the December 2028 Stage 3 Freeze, ATIS will package them into a formal “Candidate RIT (Radio Interface Technology)” proposal.
- The Absolute Cutoff: This complete compliance package and its accompanying technical self-evaluation will be submitted directly ahead of the 59th meeting of WP 5D in February 2029, which is the final deadline for IMT-2030 candidate evaluations.
References:
https://www.3gpp.org/news-events/3gpp-news/ran113-reports
https://portal.3gpp.org/?tbid=373&SubTB=373#/
Roles of 3GPP and ITU-R WP 5D in the IMT 2030/6G standards process
Comparing AI Native mode in 6G (IMT 2030) vs AI Overlay/Add-On status in 5G (IMT 2020)
ITU-R WP5D IMT 2030 Submission & Evaluation Guidelines vs 6G specs in 3GPP Release 20 & 21
ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.EVAL] & ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.SUBMISSION] reports: Evaluation & Submission Guidelines for 6G RIT/SRITs (6G)
ITU-R WP5D invites IMT-2030 RIT/SRIT contributions
How NTIA “Call to Action for 6G Leadership and Security” might influence 6G/IMT-2030 standards and 3GPP specifications
NGMN issues ITU-R framework for IMT-2030 vs ITU-R WP5D Timeline for RIT/SRIT Standardization
IMT-2030 (“6G”) Minimum Technology Performance Requirements for Radio Interface Technologies
IMT-2030 Technical Performance Requirements (TPR) from ITU-R WP5D
Telecom Equipment Market Extends Recovery as AI Infrastructure Spending Accelerates
Executive Summary:
Global telecom equipment revenues have been in a state of steady decline until last year. While there was an increase in spending for 5G FWA & 5G SA core networks, the main revenue driver was strong growth in fiber-optic-based network gear needed for connectivity inside and between AI data centers.
Market research firm Dell’Oro Group has just published findings that analyze how that trend has extended into the first half of this year. To no one’s surprise, AI data center connectivity now accounts for nearly all telco equipment revenue growth.
Preliminary Dell’Oro Group estimates indicate that aggregate global revenues across six tracked equipment domains—Broadband Access, Microwave Transport, Optical Transport, Mobile Core Network (MCN), Radio Access Network (RAN), and High-End Routing and Aggregation—increased 5% year over year (YoY) in 1H2026. The result represents a sixth consecutive quarter of year-over-year expansion.

The 1H2026 performance follows a 4% telecom equipment spending increase in 2025, when the industry returned to growth after aggregate revenues declined 14% between 2022 and 2024. The 2025 rebound was supported by inventory normalization, easier year-over-year comparisons, improving wireless and wireline demand, and rising cloud capital expenditure. In 1H2026, however, the growth mix shifted more decisively toward equipment categories linked to AI infrastructure and hyperscale data-center connectivity.
Cloud investment reshapes demand:
Traditional communications service providers (CSPs) still generate more than 90% of worldwide telecom equipment revenue. However, cloud providers are now an increasingly consequential source of incremental demand. Dell’Oro Group estimates that cloud providers accounted for approximately 55% of total equipment-market revenue growth in 1H26, driven by sustained investment in AI compute infrastructure, data-center expansion, and the high-capacity transport and routing layers required to interconnect those facilities.
This does not signal a wholesale replacement of telecom operator demand by hyperscaler spending. Rather, it illustrates how the equipment market’s near-term growth profile is being reshaped by the convergence of telecom networking, cloud architecture, and AI infrastructure. The technologies benefiting most are those closest to data-center interconnect, backbone capacity expansion, and high-performance IP networking.
Optical and routing lead growth:
Growth was concentrated in Optical Transport and High-End Routing and Aggregation—the two segments with the most direct exposure to cloud and data-center investment cycles.
Optical Transport revenue increased at a double-digit rate in 1H26, supported by demand for data-center interconnect capacity and the expansion of high-bandwidth optical infrastructure. High-End Routing and Aggregation also recorded strong gains, reflecting robust spending from both cloud providers and CSPs.
By comparison, more traditional telecom infrastructure categories remained comparatively stable:
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Aggregate RAN and MCN revenue was broadly flat.
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Broadband Access revenue was relatively unchanged.
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Microwave Transport revenue also showed limited growth.
The divergence underscores an important market distinction: AI-related infrastructure spending is currently lifting transport, optical, and routing investment more directly than it is stimulating broad-based growth in mobile access or core-network equipment.
Regional and supplier trends:
Regional conditions were favorable outside China. North America, EMEA, the Caribbean and Latin America (CALA), and Asia-Pacific excluding China all contributed to the 1H26 market expansion. North America continued to benefit disproportionately from AI- and cloud-driven infrastructure investment, including demand for optical transport, routing, and fiber-access platforms.
China remained the principal weak point. Telecom infrastructure investment is increasingly being displaced by compute-oriented capital expenditure. China’s three largest CSPs are collectively targeting 40% growth in computing capex during 2026, while conventional connectivity capex is expected to decline by 24%. That reallocation reinforces the broader shift from traditional network buildouts toward AI infrastructure, although the equipment beneficiaries differ substantially by technology segment.
Global supplier rankings remained broadly stable during the first half of the year. Huawei retained its position as the largest worldwide telecom equipment supplier, followed by Nokia and Ericsson. Outside China, however, market-share shifts were more pronounced:
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Huawei and Cisco gained share in 1H26 relative to 2025.
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Ericsson and Nokia together lost roughly three percentage points of revenue share.
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The changes partly reflect differing exposure to the faster-growing optical and routing segments, as well as regional demand patterns.

Revised Outlook:
Dell’Oro Group’s analyst team has raised its 2026 outlook for the six tracked equipment markets. Worldwide revenue is now projected to grow 3% to 5% for the full year, compared with a previous forecast of 2% to 4%.
The risk profile has also changed. China is tracking below earlier full-year expectations, while rising memory and component costs have become more significant second-half concerns. Those headwinds are being offset, at least in part, by continued strength in cloud and AI infrastructure investment.
Telecom equipment demand has stabilized and entered a renewed growth phase, supported by sustained hyperscale investment in AI compute, optical interconnect, and high-end routing. The key question for 2026 is whether this momentum broadens into a more balanced, network-wide recovery—particularly across RAN, core, and access segments, which have not yet participated materially in the expansion.
The central market question is whether sustained hyperscale investment in AI compute, optical interconnect, and high-end routing can broaden into a more durable, network-wide equipment recovery.
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References:
Cloud Providers Drive Telecom Equipment Growth in 1H26 – Dell’Oro Group
Dell’Oro: Data Center capex grew 92% in 2Q-2026 (caveats galore)
Dell’Oro: AI RAN revenue forecast: $35B from 2026-to-2030; 3 types of AI RAN explained
Dell’Oro: Telecom carriers are on a 5G SA spending spree with more to come
Dell’Oro: Global RAN market stable (again) in 1Q 2026; top 5 RAN vendors are unchanged
Dell’Oro: RAN Market Stabilized in 2025 with 1% CAG forecast over next 5 years; Opinion on AI RAN, 5G Advanced, 6G RAN/Core risks
Dell’Oro: RAN market stable, Mobile Core Network market +14% Y/Y with 72 5G SA core networks deployed
Dell’Oro Group: RAN Market Grows Outside of China in 2Q 2025
Dell’Oro: Fixed Wireless Access revenues +10% in 2025 & will continue to grow 10% annually through 2029
Dell’Oro: AI RAN to account for 1/3 of RAN market by 2029; AI RAN Alliance membership increases but few telcos have joined
FCC plans 6G spectrum auctions before IMT 2030 frequencies have been identified and without a 6G frequency arrangement standard
Executive Summary:
Federal Communications Commission (FCC) Chairman Brendan Carr said Wednesday that a series of planned wireless-spectrum auctions could generate more than $100 billion in proceeds over the next several years. In July, the FCC voted to conduct a 2027 auction of 160 megahertz of mid-band spectrum in the Upper C-Band (3.98–4.2 GHz), creating a contiguous “super band” of over 440 megahertz.
Mr. Carr said the agency is also preparing three additional auctions targeting pipeline bands such as 1.6 GHz, 2.7 GHz, 4.4 GHz, and 7 GHz for 6G commercial use. The FCC has formally notified stakeholders of those plans and is targeting completion of all four auctions by the end of 2028.
Carr said demand for licensed spectrum extends beyond the three national mobile network operators—AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile, which collectively provide nearly all U.S. mobile service. He said the planned auctions could broaden participation in the wireless ecosystem and promote additional competition. “We’re seeing real response in the market in ways that we didn’t see just a couple of years ago,” Carr said.
–>We sincerely doubt that after Dish Wireless’ spectaular 5G O-RAN failure!
The FCC’s auction strategy follows several high-profile spectrum transactions. In May, the agency approved EchoStar’s $40 billion sale of wireless-spectrum assets to SpaceX, AT&T, and Verizon. It also approved Verizon’s 2024 $1 billion transaction to acquire selected spectrum assets from U.S. Cellular.
SpaceX acquired spectrum to support Starlink’s direct-to-device service and other satellite-enabled connectivity offerings. Last week, the FCC said it was advancing efforts to make additional spectrum available for space-based broadband services. The agency had previously approved SpaceX’s plan to deploy thousands of additional satellites intended to support next-generation mobile services and broadband speeds of up to 1 Gbit/s.
The Trump administration said Friday that it is laying the policy and regulatory groundwork for multiple 6G-focused spectrum auctions in 2028. The FCC is accelerating its spectrum-auction agenda in response to rapid growth in wireless demand and emerging applications, including artificial intelligence workloads, autonomous vehicles, connected sensors, and other advanced connectivity use cases.
“It’s more competition. It drives prices down for consumers. It raises money for the Treasury,” Carr said, noting that a prior auction raised funds to replace Chinese gear in U.S. networks that raised national security concerns.
The planned auctions come as mobile-data demand continues to increase, albeit at a slower rate. CTIA, the wireless-industry association, reported that U.S. consumers used 159.3 trillion MB of mobile data in 2025, a 20% increase from 2024. CTIA also said AI-related traffic is growing at roughly three times the rate of conventional wireless traffic and could account for nearly one-third of all broadband traffic by 2034.
Nokia’s 6G Spectrum Vision:
From a regulatory perspective, IMT’s identification of new spectrum in the extended mid-band will be vital for the industry, as it can enable global or regional harmonization, provide regulatory certainty for technological investments in the ecosystem, and create economies of scale for faster development and broader adoption.

Nokia on 6G Drivers:

Analysis- What the FCC is Totally Missing:
What the FCC’s 6G auction planning appears to overlook is the international spectrum-harmonization timeline. The FCC’s accelerated 6G auction agenda risks getting ahead of the global standards and spectrum-harmonization process. Frequency bands for 6G, formally addressed by the ITU as IMT-R-2030, will not be identified at the international level until the ITU-R World Radiocommunication Conference 2027 (WRC-27) which will take place in Shanghai, China, from October 18 to November 12, 2027.
Starting at ITU-R WP 5D meeting #57, which takes place in Jan/Feb 2028, 5D will start to develop IMT-2030 frequency arrangements for the designated bands identified at WRC-27. Those frequenc arrangements are vitally important because they establish the technical basis for globally or regionally harmonized use of spectrum, including band plans and deployment approaches that support equipment interoperability, scale, and international roaming. They should greatly simplify IMT 2030 roaming between carriers that use the same 6G frequency bands.
As a result, auctioning spectrum specifically characterized as “6G” before that process is complete could force U.S. policy ahead of the eventual international framework. The FCC can prepare candidate bands, study sharing and coexistence conditions, and develop auction authority and rules in advance, but it cannot yet know which bands will ultimately receive broad international support for IMT-2030.
Importance of a 6G Frequency Arrangements Standard:
The explicit purpose of this ITU-R recommendation (international standard) is to guide administrations in selecting transmitting and receiving frequency arrangements for terrestrial IMT and to promote efficient spectrum use.
Core functions of IMT frequency arrangements:
In summary, IMT frequency arrangements do considerably more than identify whether a band uses FDD or TDD. They define the uplink and downlink frequency blocks, duplex direction, duplex separation, center gap, carrier-pairing relationships, usable sub-band segmentation, and alternative arrangements needed to translate an IMT identification into an interoperable and commercially deployable spectrum plan.
A Very Bad Omen from ITU-R WP5D – 2.8 Year Gap Between IMT 2020 Co-Recommendations M.2150-0 and M.1036-7:
One should not equate a WRC-27 IMT frequency identification with a completed 6G spectrum standard. The IMT-2020 precedent is highly instructive: after WRC-19 identified new 5G bands, ITU-R WP 5D did not complete the corresponding ITU-R M.1036 frequency arrangements recommendation on the same timetable as the IMT-2020 RIT/SRIT specification. despite being a co-requisite standard. The ITU-R M.2150-0 radio-interface recommendation (IMT 2020 RIT/SRIT) was approved and published on February 1, 2021, while the internationally agreed IMT 2020 frequency band (M.1036-7) recommendation wasn’t approved until December 13, 2023. [All versions of ITU-R M.1036 (IMT 2020 frequency arrangements) are available for download here.]
For over two and 10 months, 5G (IMT-2020 RIT/SRIT ) was actively deployed globally without a finalized, globally harmonized UN/ITU-R standard for its internationally specified frequency arrangements (specifically the mmWave bands designated by WRC-19). During that interval, the formal 5G radio-interface standard existed, but the internationally agreed spectrum-arrangements framework remained incomplete for the major new WRC-19 IMT 2020 frequency bands. The nearly three-year disconnect demonstrated that an IMT RIT/SRIT recommendation, by itself, was not a complete international 5G standardization outcome. Without settled arrangements for duplexing, spectrum segmentation, uplink/downlink operation, carrier placement, and coexistence, WRC-identified spectrum does not automatically become harmonized, deployable IMT spectrum. Let’s hope WP 5D learned a lesson from that fiasco.
–>Since ITU-R Recommendations are technically voluntary and non-binding, national regulators and regional bodies simply bypassed the ITU-R impasse to build their 5G networks. Nonetheless, several 5G deployment problems resulted:
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- The Problem: WRC-19 had identified these bands for 5G, but because a geopolitical impasse (largely driven by the Russian Federation over existing satellite/military service protections) blocked the M.1036 frequency arrangement consensus, there was no UN-sanctioned blueprint for channel channeling plans or guard bands.
- The Impact: Outside of early adopters like the US (via the FCC), most global operators refused to touch mmWave spectrum. Capital expenditure shifted entirely to mid-band (C-band) frequencies, stalling the rollout of ultra-low latency, high-capacity 5G applications for years.
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- The Problem: The industry treated 3GPP Release 16 and subsequent spectrum definitions as the de facto authority.
- The Impact: Rather than utilizing an internationally validated ITU framework, global network vendors and national regulators (like the FCC in the US or CEPT in Europe) executed their own domestic spectrum rules. This reduced the ITU’s role during that window from an active coordinator to a passive archivist validating rules after the networks were already built.
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- The Problem: Without a finalized international agreement on exact band arrangements, device OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) faced uncertainty about which exact block matrices and duplexing directions would become standard globally.
- The Impact: Early 5G smartphones required highly fragmented, region-specific RF front-end architectures. This slowed down the decline of 5G handset prices, particularly for phones capable of international roaming on high-frequency bands.
- The Problem: In regions like Europe, Africa, and parts of Asia, countries sit in close geographical proximity. Without M.1036 specifying standard guard bands and TDD (Time Division Duplexing) synchronization models for the newly opened frequencies, there was no international baseline for interference mitigation.
- The Impact: Neighboring nations had to negotiate messy, bilateral spectrum-sharing agreements to prevent base stations in one country from bleeding over and blinding mobile networks or satellite receivers in another
Bottom Line:
For IMT-2030, the same distinction will be decisive. WRC-27 may identify additional bands for IMT-2030, but identification alone will not produce globally usable 6G spectrum. WP 5D must subsequently develop agreed IMT-2030 frequency arrangements for those bands. Until that work is concluded, it is premature to presume that frequencies auctioned in 2028 will have internationally harmonized 6G band plans or broad device-ecosystem support. Make no mistake that detailed IMT 2030 (6G) frequency arrangements will be needed for interoperable 6G deployment.
The ITU-R IMT 2030 Frequency Arrangements recommendation, expected to be approved in late 2030 or early 2031, will provide the internationally recognized implementation alternatives for arranging that spectrum. A national regulator may still adopt a different domestic plan, but departure from that standard will likely reduce device scale, raise RF complexity, and weaken prospects for roaming and cross-border 6G compatibility.
An FCC auction in 2028 may be feasible as a U.S. domestic spectrum-policy action, but calling it a “6G auction” would be technically way premature until the relevant IMT-2030 frequency arrangements have been completed by WP 5D and internationally supported.
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References:
https://www.itu.int/rec/R-REC-M.1036/en
https://www.nokia.com/6g/spectrum-for-6G-explained/
GSMA Vision 2040 study identifies spectrum needs during the peak 6G era of 2035–2040
ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.EVAL] & ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.SUBMISSION] reports: Evaluation & Submission Guidelines for 6G RIT/SRITs (6G)
Roles of 3GPP and ITU-R WP 5D in the IMT 2030/6G standards process
ITU-R M.2150: Detailed specifications of the radio interfaces of IMT-2020
IMT 2020.SPECS approved by ITU-R but may not meet 5G performance requirements; no 5G frequencies (revision of M.1036); 5G non-radio aspects not included
Only domestic network equipment may be used for 5G in Russia; Revision of ITU-R M.1036 urgently needed
Huawei’s Ascend Silicon Roadmap Extends From AI Chips to Cluster-Scale Infrastructure
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/huaweis-plan-to-become-chinas-nvidia-8af8d8a1 [paywall]
https://www.wsj.com/tech/chinas-huawei-develops-new-ai-chip-seeking-to-match-nvidia-8166f606 [paywall]
Huawei Chairman: Strategic Focus on AI Computing & Connectivity Infrastructure
Huawei unveils AI Centric Network roadmap, U6 GHz products, 5G Advanced strategy and SuperPoD cluster computing platforms
Key take-aways: “16th Smart City and Intelligent Economy Expo” for Huawei, Alibaba & China’s three state backed carriers
Omdia’s 2025 Mobile Core Network Leaders: Huawei #1 in market share; Nokia #1 for portfolio competitiveness
Analysis: Huawei”s upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network Solution for South Africa
Huawei’s AI-Centric Network Vision: Six Imperatives for the Next Decade; Critical Questions for IEEE Techblog Community
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