Nokia selects Intel’s Justin Hotard as new CEO to increase growth in IP networking and data center connections
Nokia today announced that their President and Chief Executive Officer, Pekka Lundmark will be replaced on April 1st by 50 year old Justin Hotard who currently leads Intel’s Data Center & AI Group. Hotard joins Nokia with more than 25 years’ experience with global technology companies, driving innovation, technology leadership and delivering revenue growth. Prior to Intel, he held several leadership roles at large technology companies, including Hewlett Packard Enterprise (more below) and NCR Corporation. He will be based at Nokia’s headquarters in Espoo, Finland.
“Leading Nokia has been a privilege. When I returned to Nokia in 2020, I called it a homecoming, and it really has felt like one. I am proud of the work our brilliant team has done in re-establishing our technology leadership and competitiveness, and positioning the company for growth in data centers, private wireless and industrial edge, and defense. This is the right time for me to move on. I have led listed companies for more than two decades and although I do not plan to stop working, I want to move on from executive roles to work in a different capacity, such as a board professional. Justin is a great choice for Nokia and I look forward to working with him on a smooth transition,” said Nokia’s President and CEO Pekka Lundmark.
“I am delighted to welcome Justin to Nokia. He has a strong track record of accelerating growth in technology companies along with vast expertise in AI and data center markets, which are critical areas for Nokia’s future growth. In his previous positions, and throughout the selection process, he has demonstrated the strategic insight, vision, leadership and value creation mindset required for a CEO of Nokia,” said Sari Baldauf, Chair of Nokia’s Board of Directors.
“I am honored by the opportunity to lead Nokia, a global leader in connectivity with a unique heritage in technology. Networks are the backbone that power society and businesses, and enable generational technology shifts like the one we are currently experiencing in AI. I am excited to get started and look forward to continuing Nokia’s transformation journey to maximize its potential for growth and value creation,” said Justin Hotard.
Rumors started to swirl in September, after a report in the Financial Times newspaper, that Nokia was seeking a replacement for Lundmark, who by then had been its CEO for about four years. Nokia said in a statement: “The Board fully supports President and CEO Pekka Lundmark and is not undergoing a process to replace him.”
–>How seriously should the FT and all other media now take the company’s public statements?
Lundmark had told Nokia’s board months earlier, in the spring of 2024, that he would consider stepping down once “the repositioning of the business was in a more advanced stage.” This author certainly does not think that “advanced stage” has been reached yet. “The current CEO has not got to grips with the growth problem. The top line has not increased since the Alcatel-Lucent takeover,” said a shareholder.
Nokia’s share price is now only 10% of its peak $260 Billion valuation in 2000 peak (that’s a 90% decline in price over almost 25 years- buy and hold?). However, the company has gained almost 40% in the last year after operational improvements and signs that construction of AI data centers could be a significant growth opportunity for Nokia’s network infrastructure business group, its second-biggest unit. In his leaving video, Lundmark drew attention to the sales growth rate of 9% for the final quarter of 2024 and the operating margin of 19.1%, Nokia’s best in a decade.
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“We’re at the start of a super cycle with AI,” said Hotard. “One that I see [as] very similar to the one we saw a couple of decades ago with the internet. In these major market transitions new winners are created and incumbents either reinvent themselves or fail… My focus will be to accelerate the transformation journey.”
During the Nokia conference call Q&A Hotard was defensive to questions about his plans for the company. He did say that networking comes second only to compute hardware when it comes to share of AI datacenter investment and he looks forward to the completion of the $2.1 billion Infinera acquisition. “The hundreds of billions of dollars being invested in data centers today from a technology standpoint of course start with compute accelerators and GPUs [graphical processing units], but the second thing is the network and the connectivity and further it is not just the connectivity inside the data center but the connectivity across data centers,” said Hotard on today’s call. That implies an increased emphasis Nokia will place on optical networking within and between data centers.
Indeed, IP networking and data center connectivity are becoming a fast-growing part of Nokia’s network infrastructure unit that provides the connectivity inside those data centers, recently landing deals with Microsoft and UK-headquartered Nscale. The hoped-for return is an additional €1 billion ($1.03 billion) in revenues by 2028. The Infinera acquisition, announced in June 2024 and expected to be finalized in the next few weeks, is also partly a data center play, bolstering Nokia’s portfolio of optical networking assets.
On Nokia’s Q3 2024 earnings call in October, Lundmark said, “Across Nokia, we are investing to create new growth opportunities outside of our traditional communications service provider market. We see a significant opportunity to expand our presence in the data center market and are investing to broaden our product portfolio in IP Networks to better address this. There will be others as well, but that will be the number one. This is obviously in the very core of our strategy.” At that time, Lundmark said Nokia’s telco total addressable market (TAM) is €84 billion, while its data center total addressable market is currently at €20 billion. “I mean, telco TAM will never be a significant growth market,” he added to no one’s surprise.
On today’s call, Lundmark drew attention to its revival and strength when asked to compare Nokia with Ericsson. “Of course, we respect them as a competitor in radio networks. We are slightly behind them in terms of market share, but we have had great deal momentum recently – you’ll have seen some of the deal announcements – and, very importantly, the feedback we are receiving from our customers is that we are now fully competitive in terms of our portfolio.”
Justin Hotard, slated to be Nokia’s new boss on April 1, 2025
During the past year Hotard has headed up Intel’s Datacenter & AI Group. Prior to that he was at HPE for nine years heading up the High Performance Computing, AI & Labs group.
“Networks are the backbone that power society and businesses, and enable generational technology shifts like the one we are currently experiencing in AI. I am excited to get started and look forward to continuing Nokia’s transformation journey to maximize its potential for growth and value creation,” said Justin Hotard.
What will Hotard led Nokia’s future commitment be to a shrinking market for mobile networks? Revenues generated by the global mobile market are estimated to have fallen about $5 billion last year, to $35 billion, after a $5 billion drop in 2023, according to Omdia (an Informa owned market research firm), as network operators cut spending. But an exit would rid Nokia of a business still responsible for 40% of total sales just as smaller rivals appear to be struggling.
Nokia seems to value Hotard’s U.S. background and experience in the data center and AI market. “If you look at the market and look at the world, the U.S. is an important market for us and so that is one element we consider – experience from that technology business there,” said Sari Baldauf, Nokia’s chair, when asked on today’s call why an external candidate was preferred to an internal appointment.
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Telecoms.com Scott Bicheno offered his opinion: “Hotard reckons Nokia’s telco customer base gives it an advantage when it comes to AI datacenters, which are increasingly built near to sources of power, often in remote locations. So, while this does feel like a promising strategic pivot for Nokia, those telco customers might be worried about mobile being deprioritized as a consequence. The appointment of someone from a company with an appalling track record in that sector is unlikely to ease that concern.”
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References:
https://www.telecoms.com/ai/nokia-signals-a-move-away-from-mobile-and-europe-with-new-ceo
https://www.ft.com/content/5f086aee-91b9-421a-9f32-c33e67b1af7f
Initiatives and Analysis: Nokia focuses on data centers as its top growth market
Nokia to acquire Infinera for $2.3 billion, boosting optical network division size by 75%
2 thoughts on “Nokia selects Intel’s Justin Hotard as new CEO to increase growth in IP networking and data center connections”
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Intel’s Data Center & AI division are not doing well, so why did Nokia select their leader to be their new CEO? In fact, Intel has failed miserably in AI silicon as has been very well documented and publicized!
AI can’t speed up wireless latency which is needed to improve wireless network performance. URLLC enhancements spec from 3GPP Rel 16 was meant to do that, but that spec has yet to be implemented or performance tested.
Reference: https://www.3gpp.org/technologies/urlcc-2022
Another urgent issue is better network security, which AI surely could play a big role. But is an Intel Data Center/AI executive the right person to lead Nokia’s AI initiatives and endeavors?
In 2023, Nokia abandoned its efforts to build cloud infrastructure platforms. “Quite frankly, we can’t keep up with the innovation that’s happening in the cloud, and our industry cannot,” Raghav Sahgal, the head of Nokia’s cloud and network services business, told Light Reading at this year’s show.
Ericsson continues to resist. But for how long?
https://www.lightreading.com/ai-machine-learning/mwc-visitor-numbers-are-up-again-but-the-industry-is-decaying