Dell’Oro: Fixed Wireless Access revenues +10% in 2025 & will continue to grow 10% annually through 2029

5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA), along with Private 5G, have become quite popular despite not being one of the ITU-R use cases for IMT 2020 (5G).  According to a new report by the Dell’Oro Group, FWA is experiencing continued strong growth. The technology’s straightforward deployment and the increasing availability of 4G LTE and 5G Sub-6GHz networks are driving its adoption for both residential and enterprise connectivity.  Sub‑6 GHz 5G in particular combines wide‑area coverage with better indoor penetration and capacity, making it attractive for operators as a mass‑market broadband alternative to DSL and cable.
Preliminary projections indicate that total FWA revenues—encompassing RAN equipment, residential CPE, and enterprise router and gateway revenue—are poised to grow by 10% in 2025. This advancement is fueled by mobile operators expanding FWA service availability into new markets, aiming to capture subscribers currently using DSL and cable broadband services.
“In the US, we continue to see the largest mobile operators expand their availability of FWA services in both existing and new markets, especially as FWA service revenue has boosted overall earnings,” said Jeff Heynen, Vice President with the Dell’Oro Group. “Mobile operators in India, Southeast Asia, Europe, and the Middle East are taking a page from the US operators’ book and are quickly expanding their own FWA offerings, especially with the imminent threat of Starlink, Amazon, OneWeb, and other LEO satellite broadband providers,” added Heynen.

Additional highlights from the Fixed Wireless Access Infrastructure and CPE Advanced Research Report:

  • Total FWA subscriptions, which include residential, SMB, and large enterprises, are expected to grow steadily, surpassing 191 million by 2029.
  • 5G Sub-6GHz and mmWave units will dominate the global residential CPE market.

About the Report:

The Dell’Oro Group Fixed Wireless Access Infrastructure and CPE Report includes 5-year market forecasts for FWA CPE (Residential and Enterprise) and RAN infrastructure, segmented by technology, including 802.11/Other, 4G LTE, CBRS, 5G sub-6GHz, 5G mmWave, and 60GHz technologies. The report also includes regional forecasts for FWA subscriptions, including for both residential and enterprise markets, with the enterprise subscriptions segmented by SMB and Large Enterprise. To purchase this report, please contact us by email at [email protected].

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Independent Analysis via Perplexity.ai:

Fixed Wireless Access Schematic Diagrams

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Demand-side drivers:

  • Rising demand for high‑speed home and enterprise broadband, including video streaming, gaming, and cloud/SaaS, in areas poorly served by DSL or legacy cable.

  • Customer appetite for quick‑install, no‑truck‑roll broadband that can be activated using wireless CPE instead of waiting for fiber construction.

  • Growing need for reliable connectivity for remote work, distance learning, and SME digitization, especially in suburban and rural regions.

Supply-side / operator economics:

  • Ability to leverage existing 4G LTE macro grids and sub‑6 GHz spectrum, with incremental capex mainly in CPE and software rather than full new access builds.

  • Refarming of LTE spectrum and overlay of 5G NR on the same bands allows operators to run both mobile broadband and FWA on a common RAN/core.

  • Attractive ROI relative to fiber in low‑density areas, since one macro site at sub‑6 GHz can cover large rural or ex‑urban footprints.

Technology and spectrum factors (4G & sub‑6 GHz 5G):

  • 4G LTE coverage ubiquity: years of investment mean LTE already reaches most urban, suburban, and many rural markets, making LTE‑FWA immediately deployable.

  • Sub‑6 GHz 5G propagation: better penetration through buildings and walls than higher bands, enabling more reliable indoor FWA without extensive outdoor CPE alignment.

  • Massive MIMO and beamforming on sub‑6 GHz bands increase sector capacity and improve non‑line‑of‑sight performance, which is critical for FWA quality at cell edge.

Competitive and regulatory drivers:

  • Mobile operators using FWA to attack cable and DSL bases; in several markets FWA contributes a high share of net broadband additions, pressuring incumbents on price and speed.

  • Government rural‑broadband programs and subsidies (e.g., U.S. RDOF‑type initiatives) encourage use of FWA as a cost‑effective tool to close the digital divide.

  • Regulatory allocation of additional mid‑band and sub‑6 GHz spectrum (e.g., 3–4 GHz bands) increases usable capacity and supports scaling FWA to millions of homes.

Market growth indicators:

  • FWA market value is growing at double‑digit CAGRs, with 4G still a large share today but 5G FWA projected to dominate new subscriptions by the late 2020s.

  • Sub‑6 GHz FWA gateways and CPE are a rapidly expanding device segment, driven by operator deployments targeting residential and SME broadband.

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References:

https://www.delloro.com/news/fwa-infrastructure-and-cpe-spending-will-remain-above-10-billion-annually-through-2029/

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