Analysis of AWS-3 Spectrum Results: Verizon Wins Big; Urban Capacity vs. Propagation

AWS-3 Auction Results:

Of the $3.57 billion total spent in the recent AWS-3 auction, $3.2 billion of it was accounted for by Verizon alone (bidding as Cellco Partnership). That bought it 82 of the 200 licenses on offer, with the price premium explained by a bias towards high value urban licenses. The remaining AWS-3 spectrum allocation was primarily secured by T-Mobile and, to a lesser extent, AT&TSpaceX bid conservatively, indicating its recent spectrum acquisitions from Dish Networks will likely serve as supplementary capacity rather than signaling a shift to build a comprehensive, standalone terrestrial mobile network.

T-Mobile took home more raw licenses than Verizon, but spent a fraction of the capital. This architectural split is dictated by existing network layouts. T-Mobile used its capital to snap up cheap, fragmented regional licenses to patch coverage holes in its massive 2.5 GHz (Band 41) rural backbone. Conversely, Verizon spent heavily because its existing grid configuration requires deeper, cleaner mid-band spectrum to keep up with urban data density without triggering catastrophic inter-cell interference.

Here’s a breakdown of winning bids and assigned spectrum:

Carrier  Licenses Won Total Spend Strategic Context
Verizon 82 $3.20 billion Dominant bidder to acquire significant mid-band capacity.
T-Mobile 102 $278 million Acquired the largest volume of licenses for rural and edge-market coverage.
AT&T 10 $121 million Targeted smaller holdings to bolster localized network capacity.
SpaceX 2 $8.5 million Acquired two regional licenses to complement supplemental coverage from space (SCS) initiatives.

Here are the full results, published by the FCC:

“After years on the sidelines, FCC auctions are finally back,” said Chairman Brendan Carr. “Today’s successful auction generated billions of dollars in competitive bids to put spectrum to effective commercial use, and it bolsters competition in the wireless marketplace. We will carry this momentum forward as we prepare for the Upper C-Band auction in the year ahead.”

“Up to $3.3B of the auction’s proceeds will be used to cover amounts borrowed to support the FCC’s “rip and replace” program and other Commerce Department programs,” said the FCC press release. “The auction made available 200 spectrum licenses in the 1695-1710 MHz, 1755-1780 MHz, and 2155-2180 MHz bands which were subject to bid defaults or bid withdrawals in the 2014 auction and thus have remained unused in the FCC’s inventory since then.”

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Let’s examine how cellular network operators are navigating the fundamental physics of RF propagation:

As 5G networks transition from initial deployment to hyper-dense optimization, Auction 113 highlights a widening divergence in network architecture strategies:  Verizon’s aggressive pursuit of premium urban capacity versus T-Mobile’s tactical rural densification.

The Physics of the Premium: Why Verizon Paid Up for AWS-3:
To the casual observer, Verizon’s multi-billion-dollar bet on AWS-3 (operating in the 1.7 GHz uplink / 2.1 GHz downlink bands) seems redundant given their massive 2021 C-band (3.7 GHz) holdings. However, looking at the link budget reveals that all mid-band spectrum is not created equal.
[1.7 GHz / 2.1 GHz (AWS-3)]  ---> Lower Path Loss, Better Indoor Penetration
 [3.7 GHz (C-Band)]           ---> Higher Path Loss, Requires High Node Density

By securing AWS-3 blocks in high-density markets like New York, Boston, and Chicago, Verizon is solving a specific structural challenge in urban network topology:
  • Free-Space Path Loss (FSPL): Operating at 1.7/2.1 GHz provides a significant propagation advantage over 3.7 GHz. According to the Friis transmission equation, signal attenuation increases with the square of the frequency. Moving from 3.7 GHz down to 1.7 GHz yields a theoretical path loss improvement of nearly 6 to 7 dB, drastically extending the effective cell radius.
  • Building Penetration Indices: Higher-frequency C-band signals suffer from severe attenuation when interacting with concrete, low-E glass, and brick. AWS-3 signals possess longer wavelengths that penetrate urban building envelopes far more effectively, reducing the reliance on costly indoor small-cell deployments.
  • Offloading the Core: Rather than burning valuable C-band capacity on edge-case indoor users with degraded Signal-to-Interference-plus-Noise Ratios (SINR), Verizon can utilize the AWS-3 layer to maintain robust, high-throughput indoor links, preserving the 3.7 GHz layer for line-of-sight macro capacity.


For RF engineers tracking the convergence of terrestrial and non-terrestrial networks (NTN), the most intriguing data point from Auction 113 was SpaceX’s calculated acquisition of two specific licenses—including the Gulf of Mexico footprint—for $8.5 million.  This move offers critical clues regarding SpaceX’s Direct-to-Cell (D2C) Starlink framework. Fresh off its multi-billion-dollar spectrum onboarding from EchoStar, SpaceX is systematically hunting for terrestrial frequencies that can act as a safety valve. Winning the Gulf of Mexico AWS-3 block allows SpaceX to establish a seamless, interference-free maritime D2C testing ground. This block can bridge terrestrial terrestrial networks and satellite-to-phone links without violating the strict aggregate interference power-flux-density (PFD) limits imposed near land borders.

Engineering the Transition: Funding “Rip and Replace”:
Beyond network topology, Auction 113 serves a vital national security engineering mandate. Up to $3.3 billion of the auction’s proceeds are legally earmarked to fill the funding shortfall for the FCC’s Secure and Trusted Communications Networks Reimbursement Program.
For hundreds of regional and rural operators, this influx of capital directly funds the complex hardware migration away from legacy, non-compliant Huawei and ZTE cellular access networks. Engineers are replacing proprietary, single-vendor base stations with modern, Open RAN-ready or fully compliant Ericsson, Nokia, and Samsung network infrastructure—effectively rewriting the physical layer of rural American telecom.

Conclusions: 
Auction 113 proves that even in an era dominated by software-defined networking and cloud-native cores, physical layer mechanics dictate market value. Verizon’s $3.16 billion investment confirms that superior propagation characteristics and favorable link budgets still command a premium. As carriers race to deliver uniform 5G performance indoors and out, AWS-3 remains an elite tier of wireless real estate where engineering reality justifies the corporate price tag.
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References:

https://www.telecoms.com/spectrum/verizon-was-the-big-spender-at-the-aws-3-spectrum-auction

https://www.fierce-network.com/wireless/verizon-emerges-biggest-winner-aws-3-auction

Federal Communications Commission, “Auction of Advanced Wireless Services (AWS-3) Licenses Closes; Winning Bidders Announced for Auction 113,” FCC Public Notice (DA-26-633), Jun. 26, 2026. Available: FCC Official Document Announcement

M. Alleven, “Verizon emerges as biggest winner in AWS-3 auction,” Fierce Network, Jun. 29, 2026. Available: Fierce Network Article 

F. Rayal, “Big Carriers Get Selective: Lessons from the $3.57 Billion AWS-3 Auction 113,” Frank Rayal Telecom Insights, Jun. 28, 2026. Available: Frank Rayal Strategic Analysis 

G. Winslow, “FCC Raises $3.5 Billion in AWS-3 Wireless Auction,” TV Tech, Jun. 24, 2026. Available: TV Technology Regulatory Report 

Reuters, “U.S. spectrum auction raises $3.5 billion, will fund replacing Chinese telecom equipment,” Yahoo Finance, Jun. 23, 2026. Available: Yahoo Finance / Reuters Coverage 

SatNews Publishers, “$3.57 Billion Milestone: FCC Advanced Wireless Services (AWS-3) Spectrum Auction Concludes,” SatNews Space & Satellite Media, Jun. 24, 2026. Available: SatNews Auction Summary 

Morningstar Equity Research, “US Telecom: Verizon Shells Out $3 Billion for Spectrum as SpaceX Treads Lightly,” Morningstar Investor, Jun. 29, 2026.

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