Starlink
Ookla: D2D satellite connectivity surged 24.5% during last 9 months; Starlink’s footprint expansion leads the way
Introduction:
Direct-to-device (D2D) satellite connectivity, primarily driven by Starlink deployments, continues to accelerate despite nascent market maturity. Ookla’s latest analysis reveals that while global D2D connections surged 24.5% from July 2025 to March 2026—spurred by Starlink’s expansion into Chile, Ukraine, Peru, and the UK—penetration among mobile subscribers remains under 1.5% in leading markets.
Starlink dominates D2D traffic, accounting for the bulk of connections alongside contributions from Skylo and Lynk Global. Initial use cases center on non-terrestrial network (NTN) extensions for SMS and geolocation in coverage gaps, with next-gen systems eyeing 5G NR integration via acquired spectrum like EchoStar’s holdings. Regional growth offset US/Canada dips, potentially tied to T-Mobile and Rogers introducing D2D surcharges amid seasonal patterns.
Image Credit: Ookla
Market Share Breakdown:
Adoption Barriers:
Terrestrial networks already blanket 96% of the global population per GSMA Intelligence, curbing urgency for D2D beyond edge cases. Low awareness and constrained throughput—versus 5G benchmarks—further limit uptake, though link budgets and multi-orbit architectures promise evolution.
Future Outlook:
Based on the February GSA (Global mobile Suppliers Association) report, Direct-to-Device (D2D) services have achieved commercial launch in 15 markets, with 61 countries currently in the evaluation, testing, or deployment phases of Non-Terrestrial Network (NTN) partnerships. Starlink dominates the landscape with 59 partnerships, followed by AST SpaceMobile at 28. In China—a market excluded from GSA data—ABI Research indicates that China Unicom and China Telecom are already leveraging the Tiantong GEO system for D2D. China Mobile is utilizing the BeiDou constellation while planning integrations with emerging LEO networks. To evolve from narrowband emergency services to full mobile broadband, all three Tier-1 operators are aligning with state-backed LEO mega-constellations, specifically Project Guowang and G60 Qianfan (Spacesail).
For Mobile Network Operators (MNOs), D2D integration significantly alters CAPEX/OPEX strategies. In rural or remote areas, MNOs must now run a cost-benefit analysis: deploy traditional macro sites or utilize satellite-based coverage to eliminate dead zones. While Starlink argues that D2D allows MNOs to reduce terrestrial investment, the technology is largely limited to outdoor environments. Given that approximately 80% of mobile traffic is generated indoors—where satellite link budgets typically fail—terrestrial densification remains critical.
From a regulatory standpoint, the rise of NTN-D2D complicates Universal Service Fund (USF) allocations. In the U.S., the FCC is currently assessing how the $9 billion 5G Fund for Rural America should account for D2D capabilities. Ultimately, while D2D may solve the “dead zone” problem for outdoor mobility, it serves as a complement to, rather than a replacement for, high-capacity terrestrial infrastructure. Enhanced spectrum harmonization and handset chipsets could pivot D2D from supplemental to resilient 5G NTN layer, challenging capex models for rural densification. Network operators must navigate billing handoffs and QoS parity to unlock scale.
References:
https://www.ookla.com/articles/measuring-the-direct-to-device-d2d-marketplace-2026
US Mobile’s new bundle combines its multi-network mobile service with Starlink residential internet
Analysis: Amazon <- Globalstar – a strategic move for D2D and spectrum parity
GSA: 5G Non Terrestrial Networks, 5G SA and 5G Advanced gain momentum
Direct-to-Device (D2D) satellite network comparison: Starlink V2 (Starlink Mobile) vs “Satellite Connect Europe”
Standards are the key requirement for telco/satellite integration: D2D and satellite-based mobile backhaul
Deutsche Telekom selects Iridium for NB-IoT direct-to-device (D2D) connectivity
MTN Consulting: Satellite network operators to focus on Direct-to-device (D2D), Internet of Things (IoT), and cloud-based services
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
China ITU filing to put ~200K satellites in low earth orbit while FCC authorizes 7.5K additional Starlink LEO satellites
Starlink doubles subscriber base; expands to to 42 new countries, territories & markets
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Analysis: Amazon <- Globalstar - a strategic move for D2D and spectrum parity
Overview:
Amazon said today that it will acquire Globalstar in an $11.57 billion deal, bolstering its fledgling satellite internet business as it tries to catch up with Elon Musk’s Starlink.
Amazon is accelerating its Project Kuiper deployment, aiming to launch approximately 3,200 Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites by 2029. To meet regulatory milestones, nearly 50% of the constellation must be operational by the July deadline, with commercial satellite broadband services slated for a soft launch later this year.
The acquisition of Globalstar augments Amazon’s Direct-to-Device (D2D) connectivity offerings. Globalstar’s current architecture is optimized for low-bandwidth, high-reliability mobile links that bypass traditional terrestrial RAN infrastructure. This capability is vital for ubiquitous emergency services and IoT connectivity in non-terrestrial network (NTN) white spaces. Through this deal, Amazon expects to operationalize its own D2D offerings by 2028.
IMPORTANT: It should be noted that ONLY 3GPP is developing the standards for NTNs – ITU-R and ETSI SDOs are simply rubber stamp SDOs for 3GPP NTN specs.
“There are billions of customers out there living, traveling, and operating in places beyond the reach of existing networks, and we started Amazon Leo to help bridge that divide,” said Panos Panay, Senior Vice President of Devices & Services, Amazon. “By combining Globalstar’s proven expertise and strong foundation with Amazon’s customer-obsession and innovation, customers can expect faster, more reliable service in more places—keeping them connected to the people and things that matter most. We’re excited to support Apple users through the Leo D2D system, and look forward to working with mobile network partners to help extend coverage to every corner of the planet,” Panay added.
The Competitive Landscape: Starlink vs. Kuiper:
SpaceX’s Starlink currently maintains a significant lead with over 9 million global subscribers. While Starlink’s core business remains high-throughput fixed wireless via proprietary user terminals, it is aggressively pursuing D2D through spectrum-sharing partnerships with Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) like T-Mobile.
Industry analysts suggest that acquiring Globalstar is a “spectrum play.” Armand Musey of Summit Ridge Group noted that the deal allows Amazon to secure a critical spectrum position and potentially leapfrog Starlink in D2D deployment timelines. Furthermore, Amazon’s proposed data center constellation is engineered for a massive scaling of network capacity, intended to exceed current LEO benchmarks.
“Amazon has been falling behind Starlink on satellite broadband. Acquiring Globalstar allows them to catch up on their D2D spectrum position, and leap ahead on D2D deployment,” said Armand Musey, president & founder of Summit Ridge Group.
Amazon LEO’s proposed data center constellation would dwarf Starlink’s current network by several magnitudes:
The Apple-Globalstar Ecosystem:
Crucially, Globalstar’s existing partnership with Apple remains intact. Globalstar currently provides the L-band connectivity powering Apple’s Emergency SOS and Find My features. Amazon has confirmed it will honor these agreements, maintaining the 2024 framework where Apple invested $1.5 billion for a 20% equity stake to expand the constellation to 54 satellites. See References below.
Market Consolidation and Valuations:
The move follows a broader trend of sector consolidation as players seek the scale required to compete with SpaceX’s vertical integration and launch frequency.
- Deal Metrics: Amazon’s acquisition values Globalstar at approximately $10.8 billion ($90/share), representing a 31% premium over the pre-announcement close.
- Regulatory Path: The merger is expected to close in 2025, pending FCC approval and the achievement of specific deployment KPIs. FCC Chair Brendan Carr indicated the agency remains “open-minded” regarding the consolidation.
Author’s Opinion & Analysis (aided by perplexity.ai):
Amazon’s Globalstar acquisition is a strong strategic move towards D2D, but it is more a spectrum-and-regulatory shortcut than a pure technology leap. The telecom significance is that Amazon is buying not just satellites, but licensed Mobile Satellite Spectrum (MSS), operational know-how, and an immediate path into direct-to-device connectivity that would otherwise take years to assemble.
From a telecom perspective, the key asset is spectrum parity. Globalstar holds licensed MSS spectrum in the L/S-band ranges used for satellite mobile services, and that spectrum is hard to replicate because the FCC has previously rejected or constrained new entrants in those bands. That makes the deal valuable less as a fleet expansion play and more as a way to secure a legally usable radio layer for D2D, which is not at all guaranteed.
Amazon’s stated plan is to combine Globalstar’s spectrum and MSS operations with Amazon Leo to deliver D2D services beginning in 2028, with claims of higher spectrum efficiency than legacy direct-to-cell systems. In telecom terms, that implies Amazon wants to move from “coverage extension” into a more integrated NTN architecture that can support voice, text, and eventually data services at scale. That’s certainly a tall order!
Against Starlink, this is a defensive and offensive move all at the same time. Starlink already has a lead in satellite scale and has commercialized carrier partnerships like T-Mobile’s direct-to-cell offering, so Amazon’s problem has been less launch capacity than spectrum and service readiness. Buying Globalstar narrows that gap by giving Amazon a ready-made regulatory and spectrum base instead of forcing it to negotiate every D2D pathway from scratch.
Against carriers, the move is more nuanced. Amazon is not simply disintermediating mobile operators; its own materials describe D2D as a way to help MNOs extend voice, text, and data beyond terrestrial reach. That suggests a wholesale or partner model, but the long-term competitive risk is obvious: if Amazon owns the satellite layer and the device/service stack, carriers may become optional distribution partners rather than network gatekeepers.
The phrase “spectrum parity” is the real strategic clue. In telecom, constellation size matters, but spectrum rights determine whether a constellation can actually deliver service with usable link budgets, device compatibility, and regulatory clearance. Globalstar’s spectrum therefore acts like a license to compete, not just a frequency block.
This also helps explain why the deal is strategically defensive for Amazon. Without Globalstar, Amazon would face a slower, less certain path through band planning, interference disputes, and NTNspecific regulatory work, especially in crowded MSS allocations. In that sense, the acquisition is a classic telecom play: buy scarce spectrum, then scale the network around it.
The biggest near-term risk to this deal is regulatory. The transaction will need FCC and likely antitrust review, and Amazon will also have to navigate the Apple/Globalstar relationship because Globalstar powers Apple’s Emergency SOS service. That creates both transition risk and potential bargaining leverage for Apple, which could complicate service continuity and deal terms.
Technically, D2D is still constrained by small link budgets, handset antenna limits, and the need to prioritize messaging and emergency services before richer data use cases. Even if Amazon claims better spectrum efficiency, the first commercially meaningful services will likely remain low-throughput, coverage-oriented offerings rather than full terrestrial substitutes. So the real competition is not “satellite internet for phones” in the consumer broadband sense, but who controls the premium coverage layer for dead zones, emergency service, enterprise continuity, and carrier augmentation.
In conclusion, Amazon is making a category-defining infrastructure purchase, not just a corporate acquisition. If approved, it gives Amazon a credible D2D spectrum position, reduces its regulatory latency, and turns Amazon Leo into a more complete and highly competitive NTN platform and D2D service provider.
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References:
https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-globalstar-apple
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
Amazon launches first Project Kuiper satellites in direct competition with SpaceX/Starlink
Emergency SOS: Apple iPhones to be able to send/receive texts via Globalstar LEO satellites in November
FCC proposes regulatory framework for space-mobile network operator collaboration
AT&T deal with AST SpaceMobile to provide wireless service from space
Starlink Direct to Cell service (via Entel) is coming to Chile and Peru be end of 2024
Starlink’s Direct to Cell service for existing LTE phones “wherever you can see the sky”
US Mobile’s new bundle combines its multi-network mobile service with Starlink residential internet
MVNO US Mobile has announced a partnership with Starlink to offer customers a bundle which includes its pre-paid wireless service with home internet from the Space X owned LEO satellite internet provider. Ahmed Khattak, CEO of US Mobile, announced the partnership on Reddit, saying their Starlink One service will be offered without data caps. Khattak stated the Starlink bundle will be offered with US Mobile’s unlimited standard or premium plans able to access all three networks, which means customers only need to deal with one bill, one app and “one company that actually picks up the phone.”
“I won’t tease numbers too hard, but imagine a plan for less than $50 a month that spans every major network in the United States, extends across Canada and Mexico, includes internet from space at home,” Khattak wrote. US Mobile has MNVO deals in place with AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile US and uses a platform which gives customers the ability to switch between networks. This “terrestrial and celestial” unification allows customers to manage their home and mobile connectivity under a single bill and app.
US Mobile and SpaceX have joined forces to redefine convergence. | Image by US Mobile
Details on the exact cost of the bundled tier and Starlink equipment were not available. Wave7 Research analyst Jeff Moore told Mobile World Live Starlink started offering its home broadband service last month in 120 T-Mobile Boost retail stores as part of a pilot program. “If Starlink is working to sell home Internet via Boost and providing mobile connectivity via US Mobile, then Starlink is probably having conversations with other MVNOs about options for becoming channels for internet sales and for mobile satellite connectivity,” he explained.
Meanwhile, Khattak stated he expects similar deals will follow with additional satellite broadband providers such as Amazon Leo. “The endgame is Global Multi-Orbit Convergence. Every major terrestrial network on the ground, every major LEO constellation in the sky, stitched together into a single plan that follows you anywhere on earth,” Khattak added.
- Dynamic Network Switching: Users can access Warp (Verizon), Dark Star (AT&T), and Light Speed (T-Mobile).
- Automatic Handover: While US Mobile previously required manual “Teleporting” between networks, the new Multi-Network Add-on allows phones to automatically switch to the strongest available signal or a backup network if the primary one fails.
- Unified Account: Both the Starlink satellite session and terrestrial cellular lines are managed via a single “unification layer,” which CEO Ahmed Khattak describes as a software infrastructure that’s been a decade in the making.
- Introductory Pricing: Most Starlink discounts revert to standard pricing (an increase of roughly $20/month) after the first six months.
- Availability: The bundle is not available in certain areas subject to Starlink congestion pricing.
- Hardware Requirements: To use dynamic network switching, your device must support multiple active eSIMs.
AT&T recently launched OneConnect, a cellular and fiber bundle providing one mobile line and fiber internet for $90 per month. T-Mobile’s MVNO Mint Mobile countered with a wireless and 5G internet bundle starting at $45 per month.
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References:
https://www.phonearena.com/news/us-mobile-starlink_id179545
Direct-to-Device (D2D) satellite network comparison: Starlink V2 (Starlink Mobile) vs “Satellite Connect Europe”
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Starlink doubles subscriber base; expands to to 42 new countries, territories & markets
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
KDDI unveils AU Starlink direct-to-cell satellite service
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
Direct-to-Device (D2D) satellite network comparison: Starlink V2 (Starlink Mobile) vs “Satellite Connect Europe”
Executive Summary:
1. Starlink is preparing a new Direct-to-Device (D2D) constellation to provide satellite fill-in services and has renamed their V2 D2D services as Starlink Mobile. This rebrand coincides with the introduction of their next-generation V2 satellites, which aim to provide 5G-like broadband speeds (up to 150 Mbit/s) directly to unmodified smartphones. With 650 direct-to-cell Starlink satellites active, part of a constellation of almost 10,000 Starlink satellites of various kinds, that roaming service now offers connectivity to 32 countries across six continents. Today, Starlink V1 D2D has 10 million active users a month – and the company expects to top 25 million by the end of 2026.
Where Starlink V1 delivers text and what Nicolls described as “light data,” meaning only for selected apps, Starlink V2 (Starlink Mobile) will deliver what was called “terrestrial-like connectivity.” In good conditions, “it should look and feel like you’re connected to a high-performing 5G terrestrial network.” To make that happen, V2 will need both new frequencies – the same globally-licensed S-band Starlink will use for emergency alerts – and new, much larger satellites.
Image Credit: ZUMA Press Inc/Alamy Stock Photo
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2. European operators have launched “Satellite Connect Europe“ to offer wholesale D2D services to mobile carriers. Satellite Connect Europe is actually a joint venture between AST SpaceMobile and Vodafone. It will primarily use satellites provided by AST SpaceMobile to offer direct-to-device (D2D) services in Europe. The venture is building a dedicated, sovereign European constellation, with plans to establish an operations center in Germany.
Five major mobile network operator groups will deploy D2D satellite mobile broadband services across Europe. The agreements cover CK Hutchison, Orange, Sunrise, Telefonica and Vodafone, with customer trials scheduled to start this summer (2026). The service is expected to launch around the end of 2026, with demonstrations planned in Romania before then.
Role of 3GPP NTN specifications:
Both of these initiatives are dependent on 3GPP-based non‑terrestrial networking (NTN) specs, introduced primarily in Release 17 and enhanced in Release 18 to enable direct satellite-to-device connectivity using 5G NR (new radio) and IoT (NB-IoT/eMTC) protocols. 3GPP detailed NTN specs include TR 38.821 (architecture), TS 38.101-5 (user equipment radio performance), and TS 38.104 (base station requirements), supporting LEO/GEO orbits and S/Ka-band spectrum.
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3GPP Release 17 introduced NR‑NTN and IoT‑NTN profiles, defining waveform adaptations, timing and Doppler compensation, mobility procedures, and MSS band mappings so that satellite and terrestrial RANs interoperate under a single 5G system architecture. These NTN specs will be submitted to ITU-R WP 4B for rubber stamping as ITU-R recommendations (official standards).
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Both the Starlink and Satellite Connect Europe/AST initiatives map their radio interfaces and mobility behavior to these NTN specifications over time, which should let future 5G devices with NTN support hand over natively between cell towers and satellites without custom stacks.
These two D2D initiatives differ in radio design, spectrum, and integration models with mobile operators which provide the actual end point connections as follows:
Starlink D2D technical details:
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Starlink’s Direct‑to‑Cell satellites use software‑defined radios and large phased‑array antennas so each LEO satellite behaves like a moving LTE/NR macro cell in space.
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Unlike standard Starlink Ku/Ka user terminals, the D2D layer transmits and receives in allocated terrestrial/mobile bands (roughly 800–2000 MHz) to talk directly to 3GPP LTE/NR chipsets in unmodified handsets, using TDD LTE initially.
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The payload compensates for fast LEO motion (~550 km altitude, ~7.5 km/s) with Doppler pre‑correction and timing advance logic in the satellite SDR so that ordinary UE modems still see acceptable frequency and timing error.
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Onboard beamforming and beam‑hopping allow very narrow spot beams and dynamic power control, which is critical to protect terrestrial networks sharing IMT spectrum and to deliver enough link budget for small handset antennas at long slant ranges.
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Backhaul from the D2D layer uses Starlink’s existing Ku/Ka links and optical inter‑satellite links into the ground segment, so D2D traffic can be routed either to the MNO’s core via gateways or across the Starlink mesh to another region.
Service model and 3GPP spec alignment:
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Starlink positions Direct‑to‑Cell as a “fill‑in” layer: SMS/low‑rate data first, then higher‑rate NR‑NTN services as 3GPP Release 17+ NTN features become available in commercial chipsets.
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The network integrates at the EPC/5GC interface so MNOs can advertise satellite coverage as just another PLMN/RA, letting devices roam seamlessly between terrestrial eNB/gNBs and the Starlink NTN cells, subject to roaming and spectrum agreements.
Satellite Connect Europe D2D technology:
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Satellite Connect Europe is a wholesale platform that exposes AST SpaceMobile’s LEO D2D satellite RAN to European MNOs, with ground stations in multiple EU markets providing regional gateways, traffic anchoring, and regulatory control within European jurisdiction.
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AST’s constellation uses very large phased arrays in LEO to form direct 4G/5G broadband links to standard smartphones, targeting multi‑Mbps throughput per device over IMT and MSS spectrum, again without any handset hardware or software changes.
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The ground segment is designed so that radio resource control, data handling, lawful intercept, and policy enforcement for European traffic all sit under EU‑based operational control, which is a key differentiator versus non‑European satellite operators.
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Integration work with operators such as Telefónica and Orange focuses on core‑network interconnect, mobility management between terrestrial 4G/5G sites and satellite cells, and using D2D mainly for rural coverage and resilience in outages or disasters.
Comparison — Starlink vs Satellite Connect Europe:
References:
https://www.3gpp.org/technologies/ntn-overview
https://itbrief.co.uk/story/satellite-connect-europe-seals-five-mno-trial-deals
Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTNs): market, specifications & standards in 3GPP and ITU-R
ITU-R recommendation IMT-2020-SAT.SPECS from ITU-R WP 5B to be based on 3GPP 5G NR-NTN and IoT-NTN (from Release 17 & 18)
Starlink doubles subscriber base; expands to to 42 new countries, territories & markets
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
From LPWAN to Hybrid Networks: Satellite and NTN as Enablers of Enterprise IoT – Part 2
Keysight Technologies Demonstrates 3GPP Rel-19 NR-NTN Connectivity in Band n252
Telecoms.com’s survey: 5G NTNs to highlight service reliability and network redundancy
China ITU filing to put ~200K satellites in low earth orbit while FCC authorizes 7.5K additional Starlink LEO satellites
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
Analysis: SpaceX FCC filing to launch up to 1M LEO satellites for solar powered AI data centers in space
SpaceX has applied to the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) for permission to launch up to 1 million LEO satellites for a new solar-powered AI data center system in space. The private company, 40% owned by Elon Musk, envisions an orbital data center system with “unprecedented computing capacity” needed to run large-scale AI inference and applications for billions of users, according to SpaceX’s filing entered late on Friday.
Credit: Blueee/Alamy Stock Photo
The proposed new satellites would operate in “narrow orbital shells” of up to 50 kilometers each. The satellites would operate at altitudes of between 500 kilometers and 2,000 kilometers, and 30 degrees, and “sun-synchronous orbit inclinations” to capture power from the sun. The system is designed to be interconnected via optical links with existing Starlink broadband satellites, which would transmit data traffic back to ground Earth stations.
“Fortunately, the development of fully reusable launch vehicles like Starship that can deploy millions of tons of mass per year to orbit when launching at rate, means on-orbit processing capacity can reach unprecedented scale and speed compared to terrestrial buildouts, with significantly reduced environmental impact,” SpaceX said.
- Energy Density & Sustainability: By tapping into “near-constant solar power,” SpaceX aims to utilize a fraction of the Sun’s output—noting that even a millionth of its energy exceeds current civilizational demand by four orders of magnitude.
- Thermal Management: To address the cooling requirements of high-density AI clusters, these satellites will utilize radiative heat dissipation, eliminating the water-intensive cooling loops required by terrestrial facilities.
- Opex & Scalability: The financial viability of this orbital layer is tethered to the Starship launch platform. SpaceX anticipates that the radical reduction in $/kg launch costs provided by a fully reusable heavy-lift vehicle will enable rapid scaling and ensure that, within years, the lowest LCOA (Levelized Cost of AI) will be achieved in orbit.
- Vacuum-Speed Data Transmission: In a vacuum, light propagates roughly 50% faster than through terrestrial fiber optic cables. By utilizing Starlink’s optical inter-satellite links (OISLs)—a “petabit” laser mesh—data can bypass terrestrial bottlenecks and subsea cables. This potentially reduces intercontinental latency for AI inference to under 50ms, surpassing many long-haul terrestrial routes.
- Edge-Native Processing & Data Gravity: Current workflows require downlinking massive raw datasets (e.g., Synthetic Aperture Radar imagery) for terrestrial processing, a process that can take hours. Shifting to orbital edge computing allows for “in-situ” AI inference, processing data onboard to deliver actionable insights in minutes rather than hours. This “Space Cloud” architecture eliminates the need to route raw data back to the Earth’s internet backbone, reducing data transmission volumes by up to 90%.
- LEO Proximity vs. Terrestrial Hops: While terrestrial fiber remains the “gold standard” for short-range latency (typically 1–10ms), it is often hindered by inefficient routing and multiple hops. SpaceX’s LEO constellation, operating at altitudes between 340km and 614km, currently delivers median peak-hour latencies of ~26ms in the US. Future orbital configurations may feature clusters at varying 50km intervals to optimize for specific workload and latency tiers.
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The SpaceX FCC filing on Friday follows an exclusive report by Reuters that Elon Musk is considering merging SpaceX with his xAI (Grok chatbot) company ahead of an IPO later this year. Under the proposed merger, shares of xAI would be exchanged for shares in SpaceX. Two entities have been set up in Nevada to facilitate the transaction, Reuters said. Musk also runs electric automaker Tesla, tunnel company The Boring Co. and neurotechnology company Neuralink.
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References:
Google’s Project Suncatcher: a moonshot project to power ML/AI compute from space
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
China ITU filing to put ~200K satellites in low earth orbit while FCC authorizes 7.5K additional Starlink LEO satellites
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Telecoms.com’s survey: 5G NTNs to highlight service reliability and network redundancy
Huge significance of EchoStar’s AWS-4 spectrum sale to SpaceX
U.S. BEAD overhaul to benefit Starlink/SpaceX at the expense of fiber broadband providers
Telstra selects SpaceX’s Starlink to bring Satellite-to-Mobile text messaging to its customers in Australia
SpaceX launches first set of Starlink satellites with direct-to-cell capabilities
AST SpaceMobile to deliver U.S. nationwide LEO satellite services in 2026
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
How will fiber and equipment vendors meet the increased demand for fiber optics in 2026 due to AI data center buildouts?
Subsea cable systems: the new high-capacity, high-resilience backbone of the AI-driven global network
Blue Origin announces TeraWave – satellite internet rival for Starlink and Amazon Leo
The BBC reports that Jeff Bezos owned Blue Origin plans to create a new communications network called TeraWave, launching more than 5,400 satellites to offer global internet coverage. TeraWave will be focused on data centers, businesses and governments.
In a satellite internet market dominated by Elon Musk’s Starlink, Blue Origin would still have fewer satellites in orbit than Starlink. Yet TeraWave’s network at maximum speed would allow upload and download speeds of up to 6 terabits per second, much faster than rival commercial satellite offerings. The satellites are set to start launching by the end of 2027.
In April, Blue Origin launched an 11-minute space flight with an all-female crew, including Bezos’ now-wife Lauren Sánchez, singer Katie Perry and CBS presenter Gayle King. However, some commentators said it was “tone deaf” for celebrities to be taking part in such a fleeting and expensive trip at a time of economic struggle.
Blue Origin says TeraWave will be focused on data centers, businesses and governments. Blue Origin said its network, at its fastest, would allow upload and download speeds of as much as 6 terabits per second, much faster than rival commercial satellite services currently offer.
TeraWave is Optimized for Enterprise, Data Center, & Government Customers
- Starlink – part of Musk’s rocket firm SpaceX (which is 40% owned by Elon Musk) is by far the #1 satellite internet and phone service provider, primarily to individual customers.
- Blue Origin’s TeraWave satellite network will also compete with Amazon Leo, but they are targeting different market segments despite both being backed by Jeff Bezos. While it currently has around 180 satellites in orbit, having launched dozens more just last week, it plans to have more than 3,000 in orbit. Like Starlink, Amazon is also more focused on the general public than businesses and governments, positioning Leo as a way to offer high-speed internet access globally. It has not said when all of the Leo satellites will be in orbit.
| Feature | Blue Origin TeraWave | Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) |
|---|---|---|
| Target Market | Enterprises, data centers, governments, and other high-capacity users. | Consumers and communities in remote and underserved areas. |
| Service Goal | Provide extremely high-speed, symmetrical, and redundant backbone connectivity. | Deliver general high-speed broadband internet access (consumer speeds). |
| Projected Speeds | Up to 6 terabits per second (Tbps) via optical links in MEO. | Up to 1 gigabit per second (Gbps) for its highest-end user terminal. |
| Constellation Size | Plan for 5,408 satellites (LEO and MEO). | Plan for over 3,200 satellites (LEO only). |
In November, Blue Origin successfully landed a rocket booster on a floating platform for the first time. Only SpaceX had previously accomplished that feat.
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References:
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn0yydwe89jo
AST SpaceMobile to deliver U.S. nationwide LEO satellite services in 2026
FCC grants Amazon’s Kuiper license for NGSO satellite constellation for internet services
Amazon to Spend Billions on 38 Space Launches for Project Kuiper
Starlink doubles subscriber base; expands to to 42 new countries, territories & markets
China ITU filing to put ~200K satellites in low earth orbit while FCC authorizes 7.5K additional Starlink LEO satellites
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Amazon launches first Project Kuiper satellites in direct competition with SpaceX/Starlink
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
China ITU filing to put ~200K satellites in low earth orbit while FCC authorizes 7.5K additional Starlink LEO satellites
- Purpose: The planned systems are intended to provide global broadband connectivity, data relay, and positioning services, directly competing with U.S. efforts like SpaceX’s Starlink network.
- Filing Entities: The primary filings were submitted by the state-backed Institute of Radio Spectrum Utilization and Technological Innovation, along with other commercial and state-owned companies like China Mobile and Shanghai Spacecom.
- Status: These filings are an initial step in a long international regulatory process and serve as a claim to limited spectrum and orbital slots. They do not guarantee all satellites will ultimately be built or launched. The actual deployment will be a gradual process over many years.
- Context: The move is part of an escalating “space race” to dominate the LEO environment. Early filings are crucial for securing priority access to orbital resources and avoiding signal interference. The sheer scale of the Chinese proposal would, if realized, dwarf most other planned constellations.
- Regulations: Under ITU rules, operators must deploy a certain percentage of the satellites within seven years of the initial filing to retain their rights.
- Shanghai Yuanxin (Qianfan), currently China’s most advanced LEO satellite operator, has submitted a regulatory request for an additional 1,296 satellites.
- Telecommunications giant China Mobile is planning two separate constellations totaling 2,664 satellites.
- ChinaSat, the established state-owned satellite provider, is focusing on a 24-satellite medium-Earth orbit (MEO) system.
- GalaxySpace, a private satellite manufacturer based in Beijing, has applied for 187 satellites, and China Telecom has applied for 12.
Image Credit: Klaus Ohlenschlaeger/Alamy Stock Photo
“This gives SpaceX what they need for the next couple of years of operation. They’re launching a bit over 3,000 satellites a year, so 7,500 satellites being authorized is potentially enough for SpaceX to do what they want to do until late 2027,” said Tim Farrar, satellite analyst and president at TMF Associates.
SpaceX has plans for a larger D2D satellite constellation that would use the AWS-4 and H-block spectrum it is acquiring from EchoStar. It is awaiting FCC approval for the US$17 billion deal, but the spectrum is not expected to be transferred until the end of November 2027.
The FCC noted that the changes will allow the Starlink system to serve more customers and deliver “gigabit speed service.” Along with permission for another tranche of satellites, the FCC has set new parameters for frequency use and lower orbit altitudes. The modified authorizations will also apply to new satellites to be launched.
Starlink’s LEO satellite network competitors are Amazon Leo, OneWeb and AST Space Mobile.
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References:
U.S. BEAD overhaul to benefit Starlink/SpaceX at the expense of fiber broadband providers
Huge significance of EchoStar’s AWS-4 spectrum sale to SpaceX
Telstra selects SpaceX’s Starlink to bring Satellite-to-Mobile text messaging to its customers in Australia
SpaceX launches first set of Starlink satellites with direct-to-cell capabilities
SpaceX has majority of all satellites in orbit; Starlink achieves cash-flow breakeven
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
Amazon launches first Project Kuiper satellites in direct competition with SpaceX/Starlink
Vodafone and Amazon’s Project Kuiper to extend 4G/5G in Africa and Europe
Starlink doubles subscriber base; expands to to 42 new countries, territories & markets
Starlink, the satellite internet service by SpaceX, has nearly doubled its internet subscriber base in 2025 to over 9 million global customers. This rapid expansion from approximately 4.6 million subscribers at the end of 2024 has been driven by new service launches in 42 countries and territories, new subscription options, and the company’s focus on bridging the digital divide in remote and underserved areas.
- Total Subscribers: As of December 2025, Starlink connects over 9 million active customers across 155 countries.
- Growth Rate: The company added its most recent million users in just under seven weeks, a record pace of over 20,000 new users daily. Overall internet traffic from users more than doubled in 2025.
- Geographic Expansion: Starlink’s growth is heavily fueled by international markets where traditional broadband is limited. The U.S. subscriber base alone reached over 2 million by mid-2025.
- Infrastructure: SpaceX has focused heavily on scaling its network capacity, operating more than 9,000 active satellites in orbit and investing heavily in ground infrastructure.
Starlink’s Ground Network:
Starlink has also deployed the largest satellite ground network with more than 100 gateway sites in the United States alone – comprising a total of over 1,500 antennas – are strategically placed to deliver the lowest possible latency, especially for those who live in rural and remote areas.
Starlink produces these gateway antennas at our factory in Redmond, Washington where they rapidly scaled production to match satellite production and launch rate.
Network Resilience:
With more than 7,800 satellites in orbit, Starlink customers always have multiple satellites in view, as well as multiple gateway sites and internet points-of-presence locations (PoPs). As a result, Starlink customers benefit from continuous service even when terrestrial broadband is suffering from fiber cuts, subsea cable damage, and power outages that can deny service to millions of individuals for days.
Additionally, each Starlink satellite is equipped with cutting-edge optical links that ensure they can relay hundreds of gigabits of traffic directly with each other, no matter what happens on the ground. This laser network enables Starlink satellites to consistently and reliably deliver data around the world and route traffic around any ground conditions that affect terrestrial service at speeds that are physically impossible on Earth.
Starlink’s Latency:
To measure Starlink’s latency, the company collects anonymized measurements from millions of Starlink routers every 15 seconds. In the U.S., Starlink routers perform hundreds of thousands of speed test measurements and hundreds of billions of latency measurements every day. This high-frequency automated measurement assures consistent data quality, with minimal sampling bias, interference from Wi-Fi conditions, or bottlenecks from third-party hardware.
As of June 2025, Starlink is delivering median peak-hour latency of 25.7 milliseconds (ms) across all customers in the United States. In the US, fewer than one percent of measurements exceed 55 ms, significantly better than even some terrestrial operators.
- Addressing the Digital Divide: Starlink has positioned itself as a critical solution for rural and remote communities, offering high-speed, low-latency internet where fiber or cable is unfeasible.
- New Services: The company is expanding beyond individual households to include services for airlines, maritime operators, and businesses. There are also plans for a direct-to-cell service in partnership with mobile carriers like T-Mobile.
- Next-Generation Satellites: To manage the growing user base and increasing congestion, SpaceX plans to launch its larger, next-generation V3 satellites in 2026, which are designed to offer gigabit-class connectivity and dramatically increase network capacity.
- IPO Considerations: Starlink’s significant growth and role as SpaceX’s primary revenue driver have positioned the parent company for a potential initial public offering (IPO) in 2026.
Competition:
Starlink’s main LEO competitors are Amazon Leo (Project Kuiper) and OneWeb (Eutelsat), aiming for similar high-speed, low-latency service, while established providers Hughesnet and Viasat (mostly GEO) offer more traditional, affordable satellite options but with higher lag, though they’re adapting. Starlink leads in consumer availability and speed currently, but Amazon and OneWeb are rapidly scaling to challenge its dominance with LEO constellations, offering faster speeds and lower latency than older satellite tech.
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References:
https://starlink.com/updates/network-update
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
KDDI unveils AU Starlink direct-to-cell satellite service
Telstra selects SpaceX’s Starlink to bring Satellite-to-Mobile text messaging to its customers in Australia
U.S. BEAD overhaul to benefit Starlink/SpaceX at the expense of fiber broadband providers
One NZ launches commercial Satellite TXT service using Starlink LEO satellites
Reliance Jio vs Starlink: administrative process or auction for satellite broadband services in India?
FCC: More competition for Starlink; freeing up spectrum for satellite broadband service
SpaceX launches first set of Starlink satellites with direct-to-cell capabilities
Starlink Direct to Cell service (via Entel) is coming to Chile and Peru be end of 2024
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) unveils satellite broadband for enterprises; Competitive analysis with Starlink
Amazon Leo (formerly Project Kuiper) has now disclosed its enterprise-focused hardware, services, and capabilities, and launching a new preview program for select enterprise customers to begin testing Amazon Leo services ahead of a wider commercial rollout in 2026. With more than 150 satellites in orbit and initial network testing underway, Amazon Leo aims to provide high-speed internet service to those beyond the reach of existing networks, including the millions of businesses, government entities, and organizations operating in places without reliable connectivity.
Amazon revealed the final production design of Amazon Leo Ultra, an advanced, enterprise-grade terminal that delivers best-in-class performance for demanding private and public sector applications. The full-duplex phased array antenna (see photo below) provides download speeds of up to 1 Gbps and upload speeds up to 400 Mbps, making it the fastest commercial phased array antenna in production.
- The standard customer terminal for most users is the Leo Pro, offering downlink speeds of up to 400 Mbps in an 11”x11” package, and the Leo Nano is a 7×7” model that delivers downlink speeds up to 100 Mbps.
- For the Leo Pro and Leo Nano customer terminals, Amazon overlaid transmit and receive phased array antennas to deliver high performance while reducing size—the first time that had been done in the Ka-band.
- Leo Ultra is the most powerful antenna in their lineup, specifically designed for demanding enterprise applications. It features advanced networking capabilities, including simultaneous upload and download capabilities and seamless integration with existing enterprise network infrastructure. The transmit and receive antennas are side by side to maximize performance and allow for full duplex operation, which means the antenna can simultaneously transmit and receive data at high speeds. Leo Ultra is engineered for the elements with a durable, weather-resistant design that can withstand high-and low temperatures, precipitation, and strong winds. Its sleek and integrated design eliminates moving parts while enabling rapid installation and reliable operation across a wide range of locations.
Amazon Leo will offer enterprise-grade features including easy-to-use network management tools, advanced encryption across the network, and 24/7 priority customer support. The service is designed to support critical business applications including real-time data processing, remote operations management, and secure communications for teams working in field locations. It also connects directly to Amazon Web Services (AWS), as well as other cloud and on-premise networks, allowing customers to securely move data from remote assets to private networks without touching the public internet. Amazon Leo will offer two primary private networking solutions:
- Direct to AWS: With Direct to AWS (D2A), AWS customers can connect directly to their cloud workloads using an AWS Transit Gateway or AWS Direct Connect Gateway through a point-and-click interface on the Amazon Leo web console, simplifying network management and lowering latency.
- Private Network Interconnect: Enterprises and telecommunications providers can also establish private network interconnects (PNI) at major colocation facilities to connect remote locations directly to their data center or core network, enabling Private Networking in days rather than the weeks or months typically required to deploy traditional private circuits.
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Quotes:
“Amazon Leo represents a massive opportunity for businesses operating in challenging environments,” said Chris Weber, vice president of consumer and enterprise business for Amazon Leo. “From our satellite and network design to our portfolio of high-performance phased array antennas, we’ve designed Amazon Leo to meet the needs of some of the most complex business and government customers out there, and we’re excited to provide them with the tools they need to transform their operations, no matter where they are in the world.”
An anonymous Amazon Leo spokesperson told Fierce Network, “We have a broad mix of customers, some of whom are also customers of AWS. We’ll expand service to more customers, including residential users, as we add coverage and capacity to the network in 2026. We’ll share details as we get closer to general availability.”
“We’ve made a ton of progress already this year with six successful missions sending more than 150 satellites to orbit; our next mission is coming up on December 15 to deploy another 27 satellites; and we’re processing satellites for the next missions after that. We need more satellites up before we can offer 24-hour coverage, and we expect to accelerate deployment in the coming months as we begin launching on new heavy-lift rockets like Vulcan, New Glenn and Ariane 6 that can carry more satellites per launch,” said the spokesperson.
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| Feature | Starlink (SpaceX) | Amazon Leo (Amazon) |
|---|---|---|
| Current Status | Fully operational, with a large, established customer base. | In an “enterprise preview” phase with select businesses; commercial rollout expected in 2026. |
| Satellites in Orbit | Over 9,000 satellites currently deployed. | Over 150 satellites currently deployed, with a goal of over 3,000. |
| Target Audience | Broad focus on consumers, rural users, businesses, aviation, and maritime. | Initial focus on enterprise, government, and telecom providers, with consumer service planned for later. |
| Max Speeds | Current median speeds around 200 Mbps for residential, higher for business plans (up to 400 Mbps+ with certain hardware). | Promises up to 1 Gbps download speeds with its enterprise-grade Leo Ultra antenna. |
| Differentiation | Known for its broad availability and relatively low-cost consumer hardware. | Emphasizes seamless integration with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and enhanced private networking features for business customers. |
- Technological Rivalry: The competition is fueled by a high-profile rivalry between founders Elon Musk (SpaceX) and Jeff Bezos (Amazon), whose separate space ventures also compete.
- Market Growth: The entry of Amazon Leo is expected to drive innovation and provide customers with more options, potentially driving down prices and improving services across the industry.
References:
https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/amazon-leo/amazon-leo-satellite-internet-ultra-pro
https://www.fierce-network.com/broadband/amazon-leo-previews-its-satellite-broadband-enterprises
NBN selects Amazon Project Kuiper over Starlink for LEO satellite internet service in Australia
Amazon launches first Project Kuiper satellites in direct competition with SpaceX/Starlink
Vodafone and Amazon’s Project Kuiper to extend 4G/5G in Africa and Europe
Amazon to Spend Billions on 38 Space Launches for Project Kuiper
Verizon partners with Amazon Project Kuiper to offer FWA in unconnected and underserved areas
FCC grants Amazon’s Kuiper license for NGSO satellite constellation for internet services
GEO satellite internet from HughesNet and Viasat can’t compete with LEO Starlink in speed or latency
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
FCC: More competition for Starlink; freeing up spectrum for satellite broadband service
Elon Musk: Starlink could become a global mobile carrier; 2 year timeframe for new smartphones
Yesterday, during a segment of the All-in Podcast dedicated to the SpaceX-EchoStar spectrum sales agreement [1.], Space X/Starlink boss Elon Musk was asked if this sets the industry down a path where Starlink’s end goal is to emerge as a global carrier that, effectively, would limit the role of regional carriers. “That would be one of the options,” Musk responded. Musk downplayed any threat against AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile. The podcast section dedicated to the EchoStar agreement starts around the 16:50 mark. You can start watching at that point via this YouTube link.
Note 1. SpaceX’s $17 billion agreement with EchoStar includes $8.5 billion in stock, plus $2 billion of cash interest payments payable on EchoStar debt. Separately, AT&T’s is paying $23 billion – all in cash – for its acquisition of EchoStar’s spectrum.
Regarding the EchoStar spectrum deal, Musk said, “This is kind of a long term thing. It will allow SpaceX to deliver high bandwidth connectivity directly from the satellites to the phones.”
Musk said that deal would not seriously challenge the big three U.S. mobile carriers. He said:
“To be clear, we’re not going to put the other carriers out of business. They’re still going to be around because they own a lot of spectrum. But, yes, you should be able to have a Starlink, like you have an AT&T or T-Mobile or Verizon, or whatever. You can have an account with Starlink that works with your Starlink [satellite] antenna at home with … Wi-Fi, as well as on your phone. We’d be a comprehensive solution for high bandwidth at home and high bandwidth for direct-to-cell.”
“Could you buy Verizon?” Musk was asked. “Not out of the question. I suppose that may happen,” Musk said with a chuckle.
That idea at least “highlights the possibility that SpaceX could pursue additional spectrum,” LightShed Partners analysts Walter Piecyk and Joe Galone explained in this blog post. “We highly doubt SpaceX has any interest in the people or infrastructure of a telco, there are plenty of compelling spectrum assets in and outside of those carriers to consider.”
Getting smartphones equipped with chips to support those new frequency bands will take some time. Musk estimated that’s “probably a two-year timeframe.” LightShed Partners analysts agreed, “On devices, Elon’s two-year timeline for a Starlink phone isn’t surprising given spectrum banding, chip development, and satellite integration. He’s mused before that if phone manufacturers continued to hinder his technology that he “would make a phone as a forcing function to compete with them.”
Some analysts view MVNO agreements as Starlink’s best route to becoming a full scale mobile carrier of satellite and terrestrial wireless services.
“The most plausible business model is that Starlink partners with MNOs for them to resell the service or embed the service as part of their plans,” Lluc Palerm Serra, research director at Analysys Mason, told PCMag.
LightShed Partners agreed. Musk’s point that SpaceX isn’t out to displace the incumbent carriers “reinforced our view that securing an MVNO deal will be essential if SpaceX wants to deliver a Starlink phone directly to consumers,” LightShed’s Walter Piecyk and Joe Galone explained in this blog post.
“In parallel, we’re working on the satellites and working with the handset makers to add these frequencies to the phones,” Musk said. “And the phones will then handshake well to achieve high-bandwidth connectivity. The net effect is that you should be able to watch videos anywhere on your phone.”
AT&T CEO John Stankey addressed Starlink’s “mobile-first” possibility earlier this week at an investor conference. Starlink’s current access to spectrum, including what is coming way of EchoStar, isn’t enough to create a “robust terrestrial replacement,” he said. But he acknowledged that, with the right type of commitments, perhaps it could happen someday.
“EchoStar still owns the highly lucrative 700 and AWS-3 spectrum, in which we note that all three wireless carriers have a robust ecosystem,” TD Cowen analyst Gregory Williams wrote in a note earlier this week. “Whether EchoStar sells more [spectrum] in short order remains to be seen,” TD Cowen’s Williams wrote Monday, explaining that, with the FCC dispute resolved, it may hold onto its portfolio longer. “EchoStar is not a forced seller, now has an excellent balance sheet and liquidity, and may desire to hold onto the spectrum as long as possible for higher sale valuations at a later date,” he added.
References:
https://www.lightreading.com/5g/turning-starlink-into-a-global-carrier-one-of-the-options-musk-says
Elon Talks Starlink Phone. Disruption Looms for Telcos and Apple
Huge significance of EchoStar’s AWS-4 spectrum sale to SpaceX
U.S. BEAD overhaul to benefit Starlink/SpaceX at the expense of fiber broadband providers
Telstra selects SpaceX’s Starlink to bring Satellite-to-Mobile text messaging to its customers in Australia
SpaceX launches first set of Starlink satellites with direct-to-cell capabilities
SpaceX has majority of all satellites in orbit; Starlink achieves cash-flow breakeven
