Will “AI at the Edge” transform telecom or be yet another telco monetization failure?

New Telco Opportunity – AI at the Edge:

At MWC 2026 last week, there were a flurry of claims that “AI at the Edge” would transform the telecom industry.  One of many examples is an article titled, “The AI edge boom is giving telecom a new strategic role.”  In that piece, Jeff Aaron, vice president of product and solutions marketing at Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) spoke with theCUBE’s John Furrier at MWC Barcelona, during an exclusive broadcast on theCUBE, SiliconANGLE Media’s livestreaming studio. They discussed telecom edge AI and why networking is becoming a strategic foundation for data-centric services.  Aaron said:

“A big reason for [reignited interest in routing] is AI workloads. They’re moving everywhere now. They have to move to the edge.  For them to move to the edge, you’ve got to get them outside of the factory and to all the locations. We’re right in the core of that, and it’s super exciting.”

As AI expands to the edge, data will need to move not only to local compute, but also between many distributed edge sites, making routing paramount. There are four ways AI infrastructure is scaling — inside data centers and across distributed edge locations, according to Aaron.

“There’s scale-out, scale-across, scale-up, and on-ramp. Two are within the data center — scale-out and scale-up — but scale-across and edge on-ramp basically mean you got to figure out how to connect to those areas, and those are just networking,” he added.

Scale-across refers to connecting distributed data centers and edge locations, while edge on-ramp brings remote sites such as factories or branch locations into the network to access AI services. Supporting those distributed environments creates an opportunity for HPE to bring networking and compute together into a more integrated infrastructure stack. At MWC 2026 Barcelona, those trends are clearly coming into focus, according to Aaron.

“Data is moving everywhere right now, and the network is back. The network isn’t just plumbing. The network is how you build a value-added service using an AI workload as a telco infrastructure,” he added.

Telecom carriers are now urgently trying to move from being “dumb data pipes” to becoming “AI performance platforms” by leveraging their geographically distributed infrastructure to host AI closer to the end user.  They urgently want to pivot from selling just bandwidth and connectivity to selling outcomes and intelligence with a heavy focus on industrial and enterprise-specific edge deployments.  They are considering the following services and business models:

  • Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) & GPUaaS: Offering raw computing power, specifically GPUs, from edge data centers to enterprises that need low-latency processing without building their own facilities.
  • Sovereign AI Clouds: Providing AI services that guarantee data remains within national borders, appealing to government and highly regulated sectors like finance and healthcare.
  • API Monetization: Exposing real-time network data (e.g., location intelligence, predictive network quality, fraud risk scoring) via APIs that enterprises pay to integrate into their own applications.
  • Outcome-Based Pricing: Charging for specific business results, such as a “guaranteed video call quality” or “fraud loss reduction share,” rather than just data usage.
  • AI-as-a-Service (AIaaS): Bundling pre-trained models or specialized AI agents (e.g., for customer service or industrial monitoring) with connectivity

Major Carrier AI Edge Deployment Plans:

  • AT&T:
    • Launched Connected AI for Manufacturing in March 2026, which unifies 5G, IoT, and generative AI to provide real-time fault detection (claiming a 70% reduction in waste).
    • Deploying “Edge Zones” in major U.S. cities (Detroit, LA, Dallas) to allow developers to run low-latency, cloud-based software locally.
    • Partnering with AWS to link fiber and 5G directly into AWS environments for distributed AI workloads.
  • Verizon:
    • Unveiled Verizon AI Connect, a suite of products designed to manage resource-intensive AI workloads for hyperscalers like Google Cloud and Meta.
    • Trialing V2X (Vehicle-to-Everything) platforms to provide carmakers with standardized APIs for low-latency edge processing in autonomous driving.
    • Collaborating with NVIDIA to integrate GPUs into private 5G networks for on-premise AI inferencing in robotics and AR.
  • SK Telecom (SKT):
    • Announced an “AI Native” strategy at MWC 2026, including a roadmap for AI-RAN (Radio Access Network) that uses GPUs to optimize network performance and host user AI apps simultaneously.
    • Building a Manufacturing AI Cloud powered by over 2,000 NVIDIA RTX GPUs to support digital twin simulations and robotics.
    • Expanding AI Data Centers (AIDC) across South Korea and Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Malaysia) using energy-optimized LNG-powered facilities.
  • Orange & Deutsche Telekom:
    • Deploying AI-powered planning tools to cut fiber rollout costs and optimize site power consumption by up to 33% using AI “Deep Sleep” modes.
    • Focusing on Sovereign AI strategies to ensure data governance for European enterprise customers.
  • Vodafone:
    • Utilizing AI/ML applications for daily power reduction at 5G sites and testing autonomous network healing via AI agents
  • BT:
    • Offers 5G-connected VR for manufacturing design teams (e.g., Hyperbat) to collaborate on 3D models in real-time.  
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Summary of Emerging AI Edge Products:
Product Category Primary Target Key Value Proposition
AI-RAN Industry 4.0 Seamless, ultra-low latency for robotics and sensing.
Connected AI Platforms Manufacturing Real-time predictive maintenance and waste reduction.
AI-as-a-Service (AIaaS) Developers/SMBs Access to GPU power and pre-trained models via telco edge nodes.
Network Slicing APIs App Developers Programmatic control over bandwidth for AR/VR and gaming.

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A Dissenting View of “AI at the Edge”:

The global market for AI within the global telecommunications sector is valued at $6.69 billion in 2026, growing at a compound annual rate (CAGR) of 41.9% from 2025.   The broader edge AI market—including hardware, software, and services—is forecast to reach $29.98 billion in 2026, according to The Business Research Company We think those estimates are way too high.

The market research firm states:

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Author’s Opinion:

Unless telcos change their corporate culture along with slowing the footprint growth of cloud service providers/hyperscalers, we think that AI at the Edge will be yet another telco monetization failure.  Just like their failure to monetize: 4G LTE apps, the telco cloud, 5G, multi-access edge computing (MEC), OpenRAN, LPWANs and other telecom technologies that never lived up to their promise and potential.

That’s largely because telcos are very weak: developing IT platforms, compute services, killer applications, and rapid execution of new services (e.g. 5G services require a 5G SA core network which telcos were very slow to deploy).  Telecom execs themselves cite cultural and speed‑of‑change issues: the industry is not organized like a software company, so it struggles to iterate products at AI/cloud pace. Also, telcos historically struggle with software. Managing distributed GPU clusters is vastly different from managing cell towers.

After spending billions on 5G with very  little or no ROI, investors are skeptical of the increased capex required for AI-grade edge servers which must be maintained by telcos.  Those servers will be expensive (especially if they contain clusters of Nvidia GPUs) and consume a lot of power, which is a critical issue at the edge of the carrier’s network.

Many network operators frame AI/edge as “network optimization” or “utilizing underused sites,” not as building monetizable AI platforms with APIs, SDKs, and ecosystems. This mirrors 5G, where huge RAN/core builds were not matched by a clear product and platform strategy, leaving value to OTTs and hyperscalers which are  extending their control planes and protocol stacks to the network edge (local zones, operator co‑lo, on‑premises stacks).

Telcos risk becoming “dumb pipes” for AI traffic if they can’t provide a superior developer ecosystem.  If they only sell space/power/connectivity, the cloud service providers will continue to own the developer and AI value chain.  Analysts warn that edge is a “right to participate, not a right to win.”  As such, value accrues to whoever owns the AI platform, tools, marketplace, and pricing power, not the entity that provides connectivity, PoP or cell towers.

Data fragmentation and weak “intelligence” layer:

  • AI monetization depends on high‑quality, cross‑domain data, but telco data is fragmented across OSS, BSS, probes, and partner systems; without unification, it is hard to expose compelling network/edge intelligence services.

  • Analysts emphasize that failure here reduces telcos to generic GPU landlords, while higher‑margin offers (real‑time quality, fraud, identity, mobility/context APIs) remain unrealized.

Narrow internal focus on cost savings:

  • Many operators’ early AI focus is inward (Opex reduction in assurance, planning, customer care) rather than building external, revenue‑generating products, echoing how early 5G was justified mainly on cost/efficiency.

  • Commentators warn that if AI/edge remains a “network efficiency” play, the commercial upside will go to cloud/AI natives that turn similar capabilities into products sold to enterprises.

What analysts say telcos must do differently:

  • Build “Sovereign AI factories” and edge AI clouds: GPU‑enabled sites with cloud‑like developer experience (APIs, self‑service portals, metering, SLAs) and clear sovereign/regional guarantees.

  • Combine differentiated connectivity with AI services (latency‑backed SLAs, AI‑on‑RAN, domain‑specific models for verticals) and use modern, flexible commercial models instead of just selling bandwidth or colocation.

Conclusions:

In summary, the main risk for telcos is to successfully transition from owning and maintaining network infrastructure to owning and operating AI platforms and products at software industry speed.  AI at the edge is less of a new service or product and more an architectural upgrade. The two ways telcos can benefit are from:

  1.  Internal cost reduction: If telcos use it to lower their own costs (fraud prevention, risk management, predictive maintenance, fault isolation, self-healing networks, etc.), it’s an automatic win but won’t increase the top line.
  2.  Revenue from new AI -Edge services, e.g. Verizon uses edge-based video analytics in warehouses to improve inventory turnover by up to 40%.   If they expect to charge a massive premium for “AI-enabled 5G,” they face the same monetization wall that has doomed them for the past 20 years!

References:

https://siliconangle.com/2026/03/04/telecom-edge-ai-makes-networking-strategic-mwc26/

https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/lp/ai/the-blueprint-for-ai-success-ebook/

How telcos can monetize AI beyond connectivity

https://www.thebusinessresearchcompany.com/report/generative-artificial-intelligence-ai-in-telecom-global-market-report

AT&T and AWS to deliver last mile connectivity for AI workloads; AT&T Geo Modeler™ AI simulation tool

Analysis: Edge AI and Qualcomm’s AI Program for Innovators 2026 – APAC for startups to lead in AI innovation

Ericsson goes with custom silicon (rather than Nvidia GPUs) for AI RAN

Private 5G networks move to include automation, autonomous systems, edge computing & AI operations

Dell’Oro: RAN Market Stabilized in 2025 with 1% CAG forecast over next 5 years; Opinion on AI RAN, 5G Advanced, 6G RAN/Core risks

Dell’Oro: Analysis of the Nokia-NVIDIA-partnership on AI RAN

Dell’Oro: AI RAN to account for 1/3 of RAN market by 2029; AI RAN Alliance membership increases but few telcos have joined

Dell’Oro: RAN revenue growth in 1Q2025; AI RAN is a conundrum

Nvidia AI-RAN survey results; AI inferencing as a reinvention of edge computing?

RAN silicon rethink – from purpose built products & ASICs to general purpose processors or GPUs for vRAN & AI RAN

CES 2025: Intel announces edge compute processors with AI inferencing capabilities

Analysis: Edge AI and Qualcomm’s AI Program for Innovators 2026 – APAC for startups to lead in AI innovation

Qualcomm is a strong believer in Edge AI as an enabler of faster, more secure, and energy-efficient processing directly on devices—rather than the cloud—unlocking real-time intelligence for industries like robotics and smart cities.

In support of that vision, the fabless SoC company announced the official launch of its Qualcomm AI Program for Innovators (QAIPI) 2026 – APAC, a regional startup incubation initiative that supports startups across Japan, Singapore, and South Korea in advancing the development and commercialization of innovative edge AI solutions.

Building on Qualcomm’s commitment to edge AI innovation, the second edition of QAIPI-APAC invites startups to develop intelligent solutions across a broad range of edge-AI applications using Qualcomm Dragonwing™ and Snapdragon® platforms, together with the new Arduino® UNO Q development board, strengthening their pathway toward global commercialization.

Startups gain comprehensive support and resources, including access to Qualcomm Dragonwing™ and Snapdragon® platforms, the Arduino® UNO Q development board, technical guidance and mentorship, a grant of up to US$10,000, and eligibility for up to US$5,000 in patent filing incentives, accelerating AI product development and deployment.

Applications are open now through April 30, 2026 and will be evaluated based on innovation, technical feasibility, potential societal impact, and commercial relevance. The program will be implemented in two phases. The application phase is open to eligible startups incorporated and registered in Japan, Singapore, or South Korea. Shortlisted startups will enter the mentorship phase, receiving one-on-one guidance, online training, technical support, and access to Qualcomm-powered hardware platforms and development kits for product development. They will also receive a shortlist grant of up to US$10,000 and may be eligible for a patent filing incentive of up to US$5,000. At the conclusion of the program, shortlisted startups may be invited to showcase their innovations at a signature Demo Day in late 2026, engaging with industry leaders, investors, and potential collaborators across the APAC innovation ecosystem.

Comment and Analysis:

Qualcomm is a strong believer in Edge AI—the practice of running AI models directly on devices (smartphones, cars, IoT, PCs) rather than in the cloud—because they view it as the next major technological paradigm shift, overcoming limitations inherent in cloud computing. Despite the challenges of power consumption and processing limitations, Qualcomm’s strategy hinges on specialized, heterogenous computing rather than relying solely on RISC-based CPU cores.

Key Issues for Qualcomm’s Edge AI solutions:

1.  The “Heterogeneous” Solution to Processing Limits
While it is true that standard CPU cores (even RISC-based ones) are inefficient for AI, Qualcomm does not use them for AI workloads. Instead, they use a heterogeneous architecture:
  • Qualcomm® AI Engine: This combines specialized hardware, including the Hexagon NPU (Neural Processing Unit), Adreno GPU, and CPU. The NPU is specifically designed to handle high-performance, complex AI workloads (like Generative AI) far more efficiently than a generic CPU.
  • Custom Oryon CPU: The latest Snapdragon X Elite platform features customized cores that provide high performance while outperforming traditional x86 solutions in power efficiency for everyday tasks.
2. Overcoming Power Consumption (Performance/Watt)
Qualcomm focus on “Performance per Watt” rather than raw power.
  • Specialization Saves Power: By using specialized AI engines (NPUs) rather than general-purpose CPU/GPU cores, Qualcomm can run inference tasks at a fraction of the power cost.
  • Lower Overall Energy: Doing AI at the edge can save total energy by avoiding the need to send data to a power-hungry data center, which requires network infrastructure, and then sending it back.
  • Intelligent Efficiency: The Snapdragon 8 Elite, for example, saw a 27% reduction in power consumption while increasing AI performance significantly.
3. Critical Advantages of Edge over Cloud
Qualcomm believes edge is essential because cloud AI cannot solve certain critical problems:
  • Instant Responsiveness (Low Latency): For autonomous vehicles or industrial robotics, a few milliseconds of latency to the cloud can be catastrophic. Edge AI provides real-time, instantaneous analysis.
  • Privacy and Security: Data never leaves the device. This is crucial for privacy-conscious users (biometrics) and compliance (GDPR), which is a major advantage over cloud-based AI.
  • Offline Capability: Edge devices, such as agricultural sensors or smart home devices in remote areas, continue to function without internet connectivity.
4. Market Expansion and Economic Drivers
  • Diversification: With the smartphone market maturing, Qualcomm sees the “Connected Intelligent Edge” as a huge growth opportunity, extending their reach into automotive, IoT, and PCs.
  • “Ecosystem of You”: Qualcomm aims to connect billions of devices, making AI personal and context-aware, rather than generic.
5. Bridging the Gap: Software & Model Optimization
Qualcomm is not just providing hardware; they are simplifying the deployment of AI:
  • Qualcomm AI Hub: This makes it easier for developers to deploy optimized models on Snapdragon devices.
  • Model Optimization: They specialize in making AI models smaller and more efficient (using quantization and specialized AI inference) to run on devices without requiring massive, cloud-sized computing power.
In summary, Qualcomm believes in Edge AI because they are building highly specialized hardware designed to excel within tight power and thermal constraints.
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References:

https://www.prnewswire.com/apac/news-releases/qualcomm-ai-program-for-innovators-2026–apac-officially-kicks-off—empowering-startups-across-japan-singapore-and-south-korea-to-lead-the-ai-innovation-302676025.html

Qualcomm CEO: AI will become pervasive, at the edge, and run on Snapdragon SoC devices

Huawei, Qualcomm, Samsung, and Ericsson Leading Patent Race in $15 Billion 5G Licensing Market

Private 5G networks move to include automation, autonomous systems, edge computing & AI operations

Nvidia’s networking solutions give it an edge over competitive AI chip makers

Nvidia AI-RAN survey results; AI inferencing as a reinvention of edge computing?

CES 2025: Intel announces edge compute processors with AI inferencing capabilities

Qualcomm CEO: expect “pre-commercial” 6G devices by 2028

 

Omdia: How telcos will evolve in the AI era

Dario Talmesio, research director, service provider, strategy and regulation at market research firm Omdia (owned by Informa) sees positive signs for network operators. 

 “After many years of plumbing, now telecom operators are starting to see some of the benefits of their network and beyond network strategies. Furthermore, the investor community is now appreciating telecom investments, after many years of poor valuation, he said during his analyst keynote presentation at Network X, a conference organized by Light Reading and Informa in Paris, France last week.

“What has changed in the telecoms industry over the past few years is the fact that we are no longer in a market that is in contraction,” he said. Although telcos are generally not seeing double-digit percentage increases in revenue or profit, “it’s a reliable business … a business that is able to provide cash to investors.”

Omdia forecasts that global telecoms revenue will have a CAGR of 2.8% in the 2025-2030 timeframe. In addition, the industry has delivered two consecutive years of record free cash flow, above 17% of sales.

However, Omdia found that telcos have reduced capex, which is trending towards 15% of revenues. Opex fell by -0.2% in 2024 and is broadly flatlining. There was a 2.2% decline in global labor opex following the challenging trend in 2023, when labor opex increased by 4% despite notable layoffs.

“Overall, the positive momentum is continuing, but of course there is more work to be done on the efficiency side,” Talmesio said. He added that it is also still too early to say what impact AI investments will have over the longer term. “All the work that has been done so far is still largely preparatory, with visible results expected to materialize in the near(ish) future,” he added.  His Network X keynote presentation addressed the following questions:

  • How will telcos evolve their operating structures and shift their business focuses in the next 5 years?
  • AI, cloud and more to supercharge efficiencies and operating models?
  • How will big tech co-opetition evolve and impact traditional telcos?

Customer care was seen as the area first impacted by AI, building on existing GenAI implementations. In contrast, network operations are expected to ultimately see the most significant impact of agentic AI.

Talmesio said many of the building blocks are in place for telecoms services and future revenue generation, with several markets reaching 60% to 70% fiber coverage, and some even approaching 100%.

Network operators are now moving beyond monetizing pure data access and are able to charge more for different gigabit speeds, home gaming, more intelligent home routers and additional WiFi access points, smart home services such as energy, security and multi-room video, and more.

While noting that connectivity remains the most important revenue driver, when contributions from various telecoms-adjacent services are added up “it becomes a significant number,” Talmesio said.

Mobile networks are another important building block. While acknowledging that 5G has been something of a disappointment in the first five years of the deployment cycle, “this is really changing” as more operators deploy 5G standalone (5G SA core) networks, Omdia observed.

Talmesio said: “At the end of June, there were only 66 telecom operators launching or commercially using 5G SA. But those 66 operators are those operators that carry the majority of the world’s 5G subscribers. And with 5G SA, we have improved latency and more devices  among other factors.  Monetization is still in its infancy, perhaps, but then you can see some really positive progress in 5G Advanced, where as of June, we had 13 commercial networks available with some good monetization examples, including uplink.”

“Telecom is moving beyond telecoms,” with a number of new AI strategies in place. For example, telcos are increasingly providing AI infrastructure in their data centers, offering GPU as-a-service, AI-related colocation, AI-RAN and edge AI functionality.

Dario Talmesio, Omdia

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AI is also being used for network management, with AI productivity tools and AI digital assistants, as well as AI software services including GenAI products and services for consumer, enterprises and vertical markets.

“There is an additional boost for telecom operators to move beyond connectivity, which is the sovereignty agenda,” Talmesio noted. While sovereignty in the past was largely applied to data residency, “in reality, there are more and more aspects of sovereignty that are in many ways facilitating telecom operators in retaining or entering business areas that probably ten years ago were unthinkable for them.”  These include cloud and data center infrastructure, sovereign AI, cyberdefense and quantum safety, satellite communication, data protection and critical communications.

“The telecom business is definitely improving,” Talmesio concluded, noting that the market is now also being viewed more favorably by investors. “In many ways, the glass is maybe still half full, but there’s more water being poured into the telecom industry.”

References:

https://www.lightreading.com/digital-transformation/glass-is-still-half-full-for-telecoms-but-filling-up-says-omdia

https://networkxevent.com/speakers/dario-talmesio/

https://networkxevent.com/speakers/dario-talmesio/#headliners_analyst-keynote-state-of-the-market-how-will-telcos-evolve-in-the-ai-era

https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/technology-media-and-telecommunications/our-insights/pushing-telcos-ai-envelope-on-capital-decisions

Omdia on resurgence of Huawei: #1 RAN vendor in 3 out of 5 regions; RAN market has bottomed

Omdia: Huawei increases global RAN market share due to China hegemony

Dell’Oro & Omdia: Global RAN market declined in 2023 and again in 2024

Omdia: Cable network operators deploy PONs