After Bell Labs: Telecom Industry Funds Only a Fraction of the Innovation Needed

Many telecom analysts have noted former Bell Labs CTO and President Marcus Weldon scathing linkedin post, sharply criticizing deep staff cuts and warnings of “erasure” at the iconic research division. Weldon said he believes Bell Labs staffing has been cut to nearly half of the 1,200 strong workforce that was in place during his tenure (2013-to-2021). While he acknowledged that restructuring could account for some of those changes, he argued a 50% reduction in force in five years “is both shocking and unprecedented.”

An unidentified Nokia spokesperson told Fierce that Bell Labs “remains a deeply important part of Nokia, with a long track record of turning world-class research into technologies that deliver commercial impact and move our industry forward.”  However, the company acknowledged that the hundred-year-old Bell Labs is “entering a new chapter.”

It’s important to recognize that Bell Labs is not the only big research house that’s disappeared.  There’s also Bellcore/Telcordia, Nortel Networks R&D (Bay Street Labs),  Xerox PARC, HP Labs, Telco labs (e.g. Pac Bell/SBC, Ameritech, Bell South, Bell Northern Research, GTE Labs, Sprint Labs, and many more).

Meanwhile, telecom analyst Sebastian Barros states “the $1.3 trillion telecom industry is funding only a fraction of the innovation it will need for whatever comes after 6G.”  It appears to us that the industry’s economic model is badly failing to fund future innovation needed for growth.

Image Credit: Sebastian Barros

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Our Analysis:

The core problem — R&D was outsourced and never replaced. After the 1984 Bell System breakup and liberalization in Europe and Asia, operators pivoted to customers, spectrum, deployment, and operations, while Ericsson, Nokia, Huawei, Qualcomm, ZTE, Samsung, and a long tail of suppliers took over most technology development. Operators became buyers of innovation rather than creators of it.

The Bell Labs model that produced the transistor, information theory, Unix, and modern AI is gone. That institution ran on an economic engine that no longer exists: in 1974 AT&T booked about 1.4% of US GDP, with Bell Labs alone spending roughly 2% of revenue on nonmilitary R&D — over four cents of every AT&T dollar. That stable, massive funding let researchers pursue problems that wouldn’t become products for fifteen years. Expecting a vendor like Nokia (€19.9B annual sales) to recreate that under today’s competitive economics ignores the financial logic of modern telecom. The contraction is visible: Marcus Weldon estimates Bell Labs research staff has fallen from over 1,200 to roughly 600 since he left the labs.

The industry is capex-heavy but R&D-light. Telecom invests more in capital expenditures than almost any other sector — over $350 billion per year — yet only the top 10 technology providers collectively spend around $50 billion annually on R&D. The capex money flows into deploying networks, not inventing or researching new technologies.

–>Yet in 2025, Huawei invested $27.5 billion in R&D.   That was ~22% of its total revenue for that year.

The next cycle looks even more disciplined. Analysts expect 6G RAN capex to ramp only toward the end of the decade, with cumulative 6G RAN revenue in the first six years projected 10–20% lower than the comparable 5G period. Nearly 400 organizations are investing in 6G R&D, but venture-backed startups barely participate in a material way, leaving innovation concentrated among incumbents.

The takeaway: a $1.3 trillion industry funds only a fraction of the innovation it needs because its institutional R&D engine was dismantled decades ago and never rebuilt — operators spend on capex, vendors own the R&D, and the pipeline of disruptive new entrants is thin. That’s why “whatever comes after 6G” may arrive with far less foundational research behind it than the generations that preceded it.

Telecom Capex vs. AI Hyperscaler Capex:

The headline shift is quite stark. In 2026, the AI hyperscalers alone are on track to outspend the entire global telecom industry on capital investment — roughly doubling their own 2025 figures while telecom capex flattens or edges down.  Here are the numbers side by side:

Metric Telecom AI Hyperscalers
2025 capex ~$310–350B globally ~$388B (Big Four), ~$443B (Big Five)
2026 capex ~flat to slightly down, ~20% of sales ~$630B (Big Four) to ~$660–690B (Big Five incl. Oracle)
YoY growth ~0% to negative +62% (Big Four) to +77% (four largest)
Long-range view 6G RAN capex ~$500B cumulative over a decade ~$5.3T cumulative 2025–2030 (Goldman)
  • Hyperscalers are sprinting. Amazon alone plans ~$200B in 2026 capex (up from ~$125–132B), Alphabet $175–185B, Meta $115–135B, Microsoft $110–120B, and Oracle ~$50B. The vast majority goes to AI compute, data centers, and networking.

  • Telecom is grinding. Analysts see global operator capex edging down slightly by 2026, with spending holding near 20% of sales as fiber completion and 5G Standalone upgrades wind down. US telco capex was $80.5B in 2024.

  • Capital intensity is extreme. 2026 hyperscaler capex runs at roughly 86% of revenue for Oracle, 54% for Meta, and 46–47% for Microsoft and Alphabet.

Why this matters for the Barros argument: This is the flip side of the underinvestment thesis. Hyperscalers are channeling unprecedented capital into AI infrastructure — funded increasingly by debt, with incremental borrowing as a share of hyperscaler capex rising from ~9% in FY-2024 to ~32% by mid-2026 — while telecom operators, the sector that historically built the networks, are cutting back. The investment gravity has shifted from connectivity infrastructure to AI models andcompute, which is exactly why a $1.3 trillion industry funds only a fraction of the innovation it will need after 6G.

References:

https://sebastianbarros.substack.com/p/telecom-is-massively-underinvesting

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/marcus-weldon-1266497_i-am-always-hesitant-to-criticise-successors-share-7498473518930644992-gCIp/

https://www.fierce-network.com/wireless/nokia-defends-bell-labs-future-after-ex-chief-blasts-cuts

Dell’Oro: 6G RAN Capex to reach $500 billion by 2034 + Counterpoint

Dell’Oro: 2H2026 Data Center Capex to Accelerate due to massive AI Deployments

Hyperscaler AI Race: Soaring Capex Wipes Out Free Cash Flow; AGI and Digital Gods

China’s state owned telcos slash CAPEX to the lowest in decades!

Dell’Oro: Global telecom CAPEX declined 10% YoY in 1st half of 2024

Nvidia CEO Huang: AI is the largest infrastructure buildout in human history; AI Data Center CAPEX will generate new revenue streams for operators

Gates warns of “turbulent AI era;” OpenAI calls for collective action on AI cybersecurity

Introduction:

The AI risks are very real and growing each day.  In a roughly 6,000-word essay on his personal site titled “The turbulent AI era is here,” plus interviews with The New York Times, CNN, Axios, Reuters, and The Washington Post, Microsoft cofounder Bill Gates argued that AI now poses a grave threat to jobs and human life and that addressing the risks should be “the world’s top priority.” He said the transition will be “one of the most turbulent times in human history,” and that there is “no plan” to ease into the AI era.

On cyber threats, he argued that AI has collapsed the barrier for attackers — even low-skilled criminals can now target individuals, companies, and governments — and that defenders are losing the race, since the same model that finds a flaw to patch can help an adversary exploit it. He said he was “stunned” to realize AI had crossed “a massive cyberattack threshold,” citing incidents where OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta models hacked real-world websites during supposedly isolated security evaluations, and he warned that critical infrastructure — hospitals, financial institutions, water and power systems — is at risk. Beyond hacking, he flagged bioterrorism, fraud, deepfakes, disinformation, surveillance, and psychosocial harm, and argued the industry cannot regulate itself, proposing national coordinating bodies and a new international AI organization that he wants to discuss with China’s Xi Jinping.

As apprehension over the malicious application of AI intensifies, OpenAI — a leading AI large language model developer along with Anthropic — has convened a coalition of predominantly U.S.-based enterprises aimed at fortifying collective cyber defenses.

Image Credit:  Telecoms.com

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Discussion:

The past several months have witnessed an accelerating cadence of AI-enabled cybersecurity incidents. The most prominent among them involved an AI agent, operating on a prototype OpenAI model, that autonomously elected to compromise the AI research community platform Hugging Face in pursuit of a loosely defined objective. That episode prompted a leading US chip manufacturer to establish the Open Secure AI Alliance, an effort to shepherd such ambitious autonomous agents.

Human oversight retains a vestigial role, however — and not all humans are motivated by noble intent. As Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates observed earlier this week, the computing paradigm shift enabled by the current AI era empowers adversaries as readily as it does defenders. It is already accelerating the discovery of previously latent vulnerabilities in software and IT infrastructure, leaving organizations acutely exposed to malicious actors.

“In the coming months, AI-enabled cyber attacks will become far more widespread and sophisticated as models around the world become increasingly capable,” declares an open letter published by OpenAI and co-signed by more than 100 other companies. “The companies and public services our communities depend on—from hospitals to water treatment plants to the infrastructure that powers the internet—are at risk.”

Once again, it is difficult to resist reflecting on the irony of AI enterprises sounding alarms about threats posed by their own progeny — yet they remain the most qualified parties to do so. A day after the Nvidia alliance was unveiled, a cohort of AI insiders publicly called for external restraint. This latest initiative suggests that plea went unanswered.

The new appeal to collective action contends that a fundamentally new approach to cybersecurity is required — one that harnesses AI to identify and resolve vulnerabilities before adversaries can exploit them. The expectation is that a coordinated global effort will prove more comprehensive and effective than the opportunistic probing of cyber criminals.

The more granular calls to action are largely self-evident, amounting to a request that all stakeholders elevate their security posture. “Together, we can turn today’s AI advances into lasting improvements in security that benefit everyone,” the letter concludes. Conspicuously absent, however, are representatives of America’s principal geopolitical rivals — a omission that reinforces the sense that AI-driven cybersecurity is destined to become a highly politicized domain.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

Comparison with Anthropic’s Project Glasswing:

The two efforts are complementary rather than competing, and Anthropic actually signed OpenAI’s letter — but they operate at different levels.

OpenAI’s Collective Cyber Defense:

A policy and advocacy coalition. In an open letter published on OpenAI’s site (Aug 27), more than 100 companies — OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Microsoft, AWS, IBM, Oracle, CrowdStrike, Visa, Mastercard, and others — urged governments and the private sector to mount a unified defense against AI-enabled attacks, warning of a “limited window” before capable models make attacks faster, cheaper, and more widespread. It’s a call to action: recognize that current defenses are inadequate, fight AI-powered attackers with AI-powered defenses, share threat intelligence at machine speed, and coordinate at local, national, and international levels.

Anthropic’s Project Glasswing:

A concrete defensive-security program. Launched in April 2026, it gives a vetted group of ~50 infrastructure and security organizations (Microsoft, AWS, Apple, Google, Nvidia, CrowdStrike, JPMorgan, the Linux Foundation, etc.) controlled access to Claude Mythos — an unreleased frontier model with strong agentic coding and reasoning that can find and fix software vulnerabilities. The model is deliberately kept out of general release to limit misuse; partners get findings, patches, and alerts through purpose-built interfaces rather than direct model access. Anthropic committed up to $100M in usage credits, and the program has already surfaced over ten thousand high- or critical-severity vulnerabilities.

Dimension OpenAI Collective Cyber Defense Anthropic Project Glasswing
Type Open-letter policy coalition Restricted-access defensive AI program
Vehicle Advocacy / call to action Frontier model (Claude Mythos) + partner access
Participants 100+ signatories ~50 vetted infrastructure/security orgs
Output Policy asks & coordination Vulnerability discovery and patching
Funding $100M usage credits + $4M open-source grants

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

References:

https://openai.com/collective-cyberdefense/

https://www.telecoms.com/security/tech-consortium-rings-the-ai-cyber-attack-alarm-bell-once-again

Anthropic’s Project Glasswing aims to reshape IT cybersecurity

SHIELD-6G with AI-native cyber threat intelligence platform to enhance cybersecurity for Europe’s future 6G networks

Cybersecurity threats in telecoms require protection of network infrastructure and availability

 

Ericsson and MediaTek Demonstrate 3GPP-Based GNSS RTK Positioning with Sub-30cm Accuracy Over a Commercial 5G Network

Ericsson and MediaTek have completed a world-first end-to-end demonstration of high-precision outdoor positioning over a commercial 5G network, using standardized 3GPP Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) Real-Time Kinematic (RTK) assistance. The trial achieved stable outdoor positioning accuracy below 30 cm using a handset’s integrated antenna, demonstrating a scalable path to decimeter-level positioning without proprietary positioning infrastructure or dedicated external GNSS hardware.

The demonstration validates how 5G networks can distribute GNSS RTK correction information efficiently to devices for industrial automation, autonomous mobility, drones, robotics, and other applications requiring reliable, mission-critical location awareness.

Image courtesy of  Ericsson

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Technical highlights:

  • Sub-30 cm positioning performance: The device achieved stable outdoor accuracy below 30 cm with its built-in antenna. With a geodetic-grade GNSS antenna, the same RTK approach can support centimeter-class positioning performance.

  • 3GPP-standardized architecture: The solution uses capabilities specified in 3GPP Release 16 for GNSS positioning assistance, enabling an interoperable architecture across compatible networks, positioning servers, chipsets, and devices.

  • End-to-end unicast and broadcast validation: Both delivery modes were demonstrated end to end:

    • Unicast GNSS RTK: LPP assistance messages are delivered through Secure User Plane Location (SUPL) over standard IP connectivity, enabling targeted delivery to individual UEs.

    • Broadcast GNSS RTK: RTK assistance data is transmitted through Positioning System Information Blocks (PosSIBs), allowing common assistance information to be delivered simultaneously to all capable devices within a cell.

  • Efficient scaling model: Broadcast delivery can reduce repeated transmission of identical RTK correction data in high-density areas, while unicast can be used for lower-traffic scenarios, individualized service handling, or LTE-connected devices. This supports flexible selection of the most efficient assistance-delivery method based on coverage, device population, and radio-resource conditions.

  • Secured broadcast operation: While broadcast information is radio-accessible to devices in the coverage area, 3GPP mechanisms support encrypted positioning assistance. Authorized subscribers obtain the required decryption material through the 5G Core, including the Access and Mobility Management Function (AMF), protecting access to premium high-precision positioning services.

GNSS correction support:

The trial supports two standardized GNSS correction-data models:

  • Observation State Representation (OSR): Provides corrections derived for a specific receiver or location context, including GNSS observation-related corrections.

  • State Space Representation (SSR): Delivers correction parameters associated with GNSS satellite orbit, clock, bias, and atmospheric error states. SSR is particularly suitable for scalable service delivery because the common state information can be applied by many devices across a service area.

In both cases, the UE applies the received RTK assistance in real time to mitigate satellite, orbital, clock, ionospheric, tropospheric, and other GNSS error sources that limit conventional standalone GNSS accuracy.

Network and device implementation:

The test used Ericsson’s 5G Core, Ericsson Network Location (ENL), Ericsson 5G Advanced Location Services, and Ericsson RAN to generate, manage, and distribute OSR and SSR correction information through the mobile network. MediaTek validated the device side using its latest 5G modem technology with integrated GNSS capability, including real-time processing of advanced GNSS correction data with power-optimized implementation.

“This is a milestone for the 5G ecosystem,” said Johan Hultell, Head of Product RAN Software at Ericsson. “Together with MediaTek, we make high-precision location more accessible to device makers and enterprises, accelerating use in manufacturing, transport and beyond.”

Dr. HC Hwang, General Manager of Wireless Communication Systems and Partnerships at MediaTek, added: “The collaboration with Ericsson demonstrates how 5G Advanced technology can unlock new value for consumers and enterprises alike. Our modems with integrated GNSS are ready to support these advanced positioning services, paving the way for the next generation of intelligent devices.”

Technology backgrounder:

Conventional standalone GNSS typically provides positioning accuracy in the range of several meters. RTK improves this performance by using measurements from accurately surveyed reference stations to generate correction assistance. In the 3GPP architecture, this assistance is delivered through the cellular network using LPP-based positioning procedures and, where applicable, broadcast system information.

By standardizing the delivery of GNSS RTK assistance over 4G and 5G networks, operators can offer high-precision location capabilities at network scale. This creates a standards-based foundation for digitalized industrial operations, autonomous systems, intelligent transportation, asset tracking, and spatially aware consumer devices.

Accuracy to within tens of centimeters is a significant improvement compared to traditional GNSS, which is accurate to within several meters, and therefore paves the way for more advanced use cases. These include the safe operation of autonomous vehicles, drones and industrial robots in complex outdoor environments, Ericsson said. Complex environments encompasses places like factories, logistics hubs, ports, and mines etc.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

References:

https://www.ericsson.com/en/news/2026/8/ericsson-and-mediatek-raise-the-bar-for-location-accuracy

https://www.telecoms.com/5g-6g/ericsson-and-mediatek-put-precise-5g-positioning-through-its-paces

MediaTek overtakes Qualcomm in 5G smartphone chip market

MediaTek will use TSMC to make its Dimensity SoC’s in 2024

AT&T’s 600 MHz Deployment with Ericsson: Turning Low-Band Spectrum Into Coverage and Uplink Capacity

AT&T/Ericsson Demonstrate 5G-Based ISAC for Drone Detection at World Cup Stadium

Ericsson leads SK Telecom AI RAN vs. NVIDIA’s GPU centric AI RAN Alliance

AI-RAN and Agentic AI get real: Ericsson, Nokia, Verizon & other operators enter into a new network automation era

Analysis: Ericsson’s leading role in French INTENTION 6G project

 

Telefónica incorporates AI for businesses voice communications vs. 3GPP/ITU specifications

Executive Summary:

Telefónica España made an announcement this week which indicates that Voice could be an important AI monetization opportunity for telcos.  The Spain based telecom group is positioning its business voice portfolio around a key differentiator: the ability to embed AI-enabled capabilities directly into conventional fixed and mobile telephony, without requiring enterprises to migrate users or workflows to a separate communications platform.  It is incorporating generative AI features into its network for things like call transcription and summarization, which it says is will transform “every voice conversation into usable, structured and actionable information,” as week as virtual assistants on fixed-line and mobile.

Targeted at large enterprises, public-sector organizations, and mid-sized businesses, the enhanced portfolio is intended to shorten call-response times, increase the proportion of calls handled, and convert voice interactions into structured, actionable business information. Telefónica reports that the AI-enabled tools can reduce time spent managing calls by an average of 60%, enabling organizations to handle a higher volume of customer interactions.

Telefónica has integrated artificial intelligence across its business voice offerings—from basic mobile services to advanced PBX and cloud-based telephony platforms—as part of its evolution toward intelligent voice communications. The proposal incorporates generative-AI functions within the Telefónica network, including call transcription, automated summarization, and virtual-agent capabilities. These functions are designed to preserve information that might otherwise remain unstructured within voice conversations, while helping organizations reduce missed opportunities and improve operational responsiveness.

Javier Pascual, Director of Product, Pre-sales and Provisioning at Telefónica Spain, said:

“We are the only operator that offers intelligent transcription and summarization of calls over fixed and mobile voice, making us the best way for companies to access digital technologies. This pioneering solution, which integrates generative AI into standard telephony, allows our clients to summarize and transcribe calls, as well as integrate 100% of virtual agents using natural language, thus improving productivity and agility.”

Cross-Portfolio Intelligent Voice:

Telefónica’s approach spans enterprise, public-administration, corporate-mobile, and mid-market customer segments. It applies to traditional and cloud-based voice solutions, including:

  • Centrex IP, Telefónica’s converged fixed-mobile business voice platform.

  • Centrex 365, a Microsoft-based cloud voice offering integrated with collaboration tools.

  • Enterprise mobile voice services.

A core capability is AI-based transcription and summarization of calls. By transforming voice conversations into searchable and structured records, the feature can support knowledge capture, customer-service follow-up, compliance-related documentation, and analytics workflows.

The company is also introducing Centrex AI, a virtual-agent capability based on advanced language models. Centrex AI is designed to support next-generation generative-AI interactions across channels beyond voice and to integrate with customer business applications. The virtual agents are intended to interpret natural-language requests in context, automate repetitive interactions, and provide faster, more consistent responses.

Telefónica states that the platform supports more than 100 languages and can operate continuously, enabling 24/7 multilingual customer engagement.

Operational and Vertical Use Cases:

Telefónica reports that the AI-enabled capabilities can improve agent efficiency by as much as 60% by reducing time devoted to repetitive tasks. The company also cites potential increases of more than 10% in the number of interactions managed, reflecting improved call-handling capacity.

Initial use cases focus on healthcare, public administration, retail, and industrial enterprises:

  • In healthcare, a WhatsApp-based AI agent can schedule appointments, provide immediate confirmations, and support multilingual exchanges.

  • For municipal governments, voice agents can address common citizen queries in multiple languages and route calls to the appropriate department.

  • For automotive dealerships, virtual agents can help manage service appointments and customer inquiries related to vehicle sales.

By integrating generative AI functions into the existing voice network and service portfolio, Telefónica is seeking to extend intelligent automation to established telephony environments rather than treating AI communications as a standalone application layer.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

Editorial Analysis:

Telefónica’s offer as an operator-integrated, proprietary AI overlay on existing fixed/mobile and cloud voice services, rather than as a service defined by 3GPP or ITU.  The business voice offering builds on standardized fixed/mobile voice and cloud-telephony foundations, while its generative-AI functions—call transcription, summarization, and virtual-agent integration—appear to be operator- and vendor-implemented capabilities. Current 3GPP work provides enabling mechanisms for AI/ML in 5G systems, whereas ITU-R’s AI-related IMT work addresses radio-network evolution rather than AI-enhanced enterprise telephony.3GPP.

Relevant 3GPP specifications:

Specification Relevance to AI voice/telephony Limitation
TS 22.243, Speech recognition framework for automated voice services The closest direct 3GPP specification. It defines Stage-1 service requirements for speech-recognition-enabled automated voice services. 3gpp It predates contemporary GenAI and does not specify LLM-based transcription, summarization, virtual agents, or a network-resident AI voice platform.
TS 28.105, Management and orchestration; AI/ML management Specifies management aspects for AI/ML in 5G systems, including lifecycle-oriented operator control of AI/ML capabilities. 3gpp It concerns network AI/ML management, not the application-layer behavior of an enterprise voice assistant.
TS 28.104, Management Data Analytics Provides the management-data-analytics foundation that can support closed-loop network automation and AI/ML operations. 3gpp Not a voice-service or customer-interaction specification.
TR 23.700-80, Study on 5G system support for AI/ML-based services Examines 5GS support for AI/ML-based services. 3gpp A Technical Report is study material, not a normative implementation specification.
TR 23.700-82/-83, Application layer support for AI/ML services Relevant to application-layer AI/ML enablement, potentially including applications that use voice input or output. 3gpp These are horizontal AI-service studies rather than specifications for AI-enhanced IMS, VoNR, or enterprise telephony.
TS 23.482, Functional architecture and information flows for AIML Enablement Service A more recent normative architectural direction for an AI/ML enablement service in the 5G system. 3gpp Still not a standardized “AI calling” feature set or common API for call transcription and summarization.

3GPP’s AI/ML work is primarily focused on network and RAN optimization, AI/ML model transfer and lifecycle management, data collection, and interoperability. Notably, 3GPP has stated that it does not plan to standardize the AI/ML models themselves; it instead standardizes the supporting mechanisms and controls.3gpp

ITU-R versus ITU-T:

ITU-R: There are no ITU-R Recommendations specifically governing AI-based telephony, generative-AI call summarization, or virtual agents. This is consistent with ITU-R’s mission: spectrum, radio propagation, and IMT radio-interface frameworks. Its IMT-2030/6G work includes integrated AI and communication as a broad capability area, but that concerns wireless-system capabilities such as distributed training and inference—not enterprise voice-service features.

ITU-T: This is the more relevant ITU sector for AI telephony and conversational AI, although its work is still largely horizontal rather than specific to IMS/PSTN calling:

  • ITU-T F.748.46 (2025) specifies requirements and evaluation methods for AI agents based on large-scale pre-trained models. Its scope includes recognition, comprehension, dialogue, generation, and reasoning—capabilities directly relevant to virtual voice agents.

  • ITU-T E.AIQ, Framework for quality evaluation of conversational AI systems, is under study in Study Group 12. It proposes KPIs and an “AI Quotient” approach for assessing AI systems in relation to QoS and QoE.itu

  • ITU-T Y.3178 defines a functional framework for AI-based network-service provisioning in future networks.itu

  • ITU-T Y.3661 (2025) specifies an architecture and mechanisms for customer-oriented intelligent network operation, including AI-supported recognition of user intent; this is adjacent to, but not a telephony-service specification

References:

Telefónica incorpora la IA a todas sus comunicaciones de voz para empresas

https://www.telecoms.com/ai/telef-nica-upgrades-business-voice-services-with-integrated-ai

Vodafone Spain (Zegona), MasOrange and Telefonica in possible RANco joint venture

Telefónica and Nokia partner to boost use of 5G SA network APIs

Ericsson and O2 Telefónica demo Europe’s 1st Cloud RAN 5G mmWave FWA use case

Telefónica launches 5G SA in >700 towns and cities in Spain

Telefónica and Nokia partner to boost use of 5G SA network APIs

Enable-6G: Yet another 6G R&D effort spearheaded by Telefónica de España

 

Dell’Oro: Enterprise PON Deployments expected to increase 844% year-over-year

According to a new Dell’Oro Group report, “PON in the Data Center and Premise Advanced Research Report recently published, total 2026 Data Center PON equipment revenues are expected to increase 844% year-over-year (Y/Y), driven by hyperscalers looking to use the point-to-multipoint technologies to reduce the cabling and power consumption requirements of their out-of-band management networks.

“PON technologies are increasingly moving from traditional residential networks to enterprise and data center applications, providing additional growth opportunities for PON equipment providers,” said Jeff Heynen, Vice President of Broadband Access and Home Networking market research at Dell’Oro Group. “We see hyperscalers and enterprises, both large and small, increasingly deploying PON technologies for passive fiber distribution that is lower cost and that maintains its value far longer than traditional copper infrastructure,” added Heynen.

Additional highlights from the PON in the Data Center and Premise Advanced Research Report:

  • Total cumulative spending on data center PON equipment from 2026 to 2030 is expected to exceed $3 billion, as hyperscalers, neocloud providers, and colocation providers all deploy PON for their out-of-band and infrastructure management networks.
  • Enterprises are increasingly deploying Passive Optical LAN (POL) as the long-term benefits of increased speeds and lower operational costs outweigh the costs of deploying fiber in the building.
  • Chinese operators continue to deploy tens of millions of master and subtended ONTs to deliver fiber-to-the-room (FTTR) services to their residential broadband customers.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Editorial Analysis:

This extremely bullish forecast points to a potentially important new use case for PON: not as a replacement for the high-bandwidth, low-latency Ethernet fabric that interconnects servers and storage, but as an economical physical layer for the separate networks used to monitor, provision, and recover data-center infrastructure. In that role, a passive optical distribution architecture can consolidate fiber runs and avoid electrically powered aggregation equipment in parts of the management network, potentially simplifying expansion and reducing operational overhead.

Dell’Oro’s projected 844% year-over-year revenue increase should be read in the context of an early-stage market: the percentage reflects rapid adoption from a comparatively small base rather than an indication that PON will displace mainstream data-center switching. Nevertheless, the report’s forecast of more than $3 billion in cumulative 2026–2030 spending indicates that hyperscale, neocloud, and colocation operators are sufficiently interested to make data-center PON a material adjacent market for OLT, ONT, and ONU suppliers.

The enterprise opportunity is somewhat different. Passive Optical LAN can extend fiber deeper into commercial buildings, with optical terminals serving end-user areas rather than relying entirely on copper horizontal cabling and access switches. The principal trade-off is front-loaded installation complexity—especially where fiber pathways must be added or upgraded—against the prospect of longer infrastructure life, higher available access speeds, and lower energy use over the building lifecycle. Dell’Oro also includes enterprise/MDU POL and business FTTR applications in its five-year forecast coverage, suggesting that it views these segments as part of the same widening PON equipment ecosystem.

China’s large-scale FTTR deployments provide a useful volume counterweight to these specialized data-center and enterprise applications. Master and subtended ONT architectures enable operators to extend fiber connectivity from the residence gateway to individual rooms, creating another demand source for optical endpoints and related PON equipment. Together, these developments suggest that future PON market growth will depend increasingly on diversification beyond conventional residential FTTH—while also requiring vendors to address application-specific management, installation, and interoperability requirements.

About the Report

The Dell’Oro Group PON in the Data Center and Premise Advanced Research Report includes 5-year market forecasts for PON Optical Line Terminals (OLTs), and PON Optical Network Terminals (ONTs) and Optical Network Units (ONUs) used in Data Center [Out-of-band management (OOBM), infrastructure management (DCIM)], Enterprise/MDU [Passive Optical LAN (POL), Fiber-to-the-room for business (FTTR-B)] , and Fiber-to-the room (FTTR) applications. To purchase this report, please contact us by email at [email protected].

 

References:

PON in Data Centers Expected to Grow at 52 Percent CAGR from 2026-2030, According to Dell’Oro Group

Dell’Oro: 2H2026 Data Center Capex to Accelerate due to massive AI Deployments

Analysis: Broadcom’s end-to-end 50G PON Edge AI portfolio with WiFi 8 support

Highlights of FiberConnect 2024: PON-related products dominate

Nokia and Google Fiber trial 50G PON – first in the U.S.

Nokia and Hong Kong Broadband Network Ltd deploy 25G PON

HKT is first to deploy 50G PON technology in Hong Kong

Optus and Nokia’s pre-“6G” Trial in Australia: Upper 6 GHz May Be Widely Deployable

Executive Summary:

Australia’s Optus and Nokia have delivered one of the more credible pre 6G demonstrations yet: a live-field trial in Sydney that paired multi-gigabit speed with good coverage. The most notable result was  the 3.5 Gbps peak download rate and the indication that upper 6 GHz could support a macrocell footprint comparable to today’s 5G 3.5 GHz network. The trial suggested the upper 6GHz band can cover roughly the same footprint as Optus’ existing 5G 3.5 GHz layer—an encouraging sign for lower-cost 6G upgrades.

TABLE 1. Optus–Nokia 6G Trial: Editorial Comparison of Technical Takeaways
(Adapted from reported trial results.)

Attribute Reported trial result Editorial significance
Location Sydney, Australia. Places the trial in a live urban macro-network environment, not a controlled lab.
Participants Optus and Nokia. Combines operator network context with vendor radio expertise.
Spectrum band Upper 6 GHz. Reinforces the growing view that 6–8 GHz is a strong candidate range for 6G coverage and capacity. ericsson+1
Spectrum width 200 MHz total, split into two 100 MHz channels. Provides enough bandwidth to demonstrate multi-gigabit throughput without relying on mmWave-style densification.
Frequency range 6,890 MHz to 7,090 MHz. Falls squarely in the upper 6 GHz segment being discussed globally for future mobile use.
Peak downlink speed 3.5 Gbps. A smartphone-form-factor speed record for this part of the band, but more important as a proof point for practical mobility.

Why this trial stands out:

In early 6G discussions, spectrum, coverage, and deployment economics are inseparable. Higher-frequency bands can offer more capacity, but they often demand denser networks and new site builds; that is precisely why the Sydney result matters.ericsson+1

Optus and Nokia’s trial suggests upper 6 GHz may offer a useful compromise: enough bandwidth for high throughput, yet enough propagation performance—when paired with advanced antenna techniques—to preserve broad-area coverage on existing infrastructure.telconews.com+1

What was tested:

According to the reported trial details, the teams used 200 MHz of upper 6 GHz spectrum, divided into two 100 MHz channels between 6,890 MHz and 7,090 MHz. Nokia’s proof-of-concept AirScale massive MIMO active antenna unit used 768 antenna elements and 128 transceiver chains at an existing Optus site operating alongside a live 5G network.telconews.com+1

That setup matters because it moves the conversation beyond lab conditions. A field trial on a live site is a better indicator of how upper 6 GHz may behave in real deployments, where interference, propagation, and network integration all shape performance.telconews.com+1

The bigger 6G implication:

The strongest signal from the trial is economic, not just technical. If operators can use upper 6 GHz with existing towers and familiar radio footprints, they may be able to introduce early 6G services without rebuilding their networks from scratch.telconews.com+1

That would be a major shift in how the industry thinks about 6G rollout. Instead of requiring an entirely new layer of dense infrastructure, upper 6 GHz could become a practical evolution path from 5G to 6G, especially for operators seeking capacity gains without a full civil-engineering reset.nokia+1

Spectrum policy:

This trial also lands in the middle of a broader spectrum-policy debate. The upper 6 GHz band is widely viewed as strategically important for future mobile networks, and results like this strengthen the case for allocating at least part of the band to licensed mobile use.ericsson+1

At the same time, the band remains attractive for other services, including unlicensed use cases. The Sydney trial does not settle that debate, but it does provide real-world evidence that upper 6 GHz is not merely theoretical: it can deliver both range and capacity under conditions that resemble operational deployment.

Quotes:

Conclusions:

The Optus-Nokia result is not a commercial 6G launch, but it is a meaningful milestone. A smartphone-form-factor speed record is eye-catching; the more consequential finding is that upper 6 GHz may be deployable on today’s network footprint with far less infrastructure disruption than many expected.  That would significantly improve the business case for upper 6 GHz. If network operators can reuse existing sites and achieve coverage similar to 5G 3.5 GHz, then the transition from trial to deployment could be less capital-intensive than many expected.

For network operators, regulators, and vendors, that is the kind of evidence that can shape both deployment strategy and spectrum decisions. If upper 6 GHz continues to perform this well in additional trials, it could become one of the most important bands in the transition from 5G-Advanced to 6G.

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

Frequently Asked Questions:

What is massive MIMO and why does the antenna element count matter for upper 6GHz performance?

Massive MIMO (multiple-input multiple-output) is a technology that uses a large array of antennas at a base station to serve multiple users simultaneously in the same frequency resource, using spatial beamforming to direct signal energy precisely toward each device. Higher frequencies like upper 6GHz experience greater signal loss over distance than lower 5G frequencies — so more antenna elements are needed to compensate through more precise beamforming gain. The Nokia antenna in the Optus trial packs 768 elements into a proof-of-concept unit; commercial 5G radios typically use around 192. That difference in element count is the primary reason the Optus trial reached 3.5Gbps while Vodafone’s October 2025 trial with a less advanced antenna reached 2.5Gbps using the same 200MHz bandwidth.

Will upper 6GHz 6G services actually reach consumers without new towers being built?

The Optus trial’s outdoor coverage result suggests it may be possible — but only if the antenna hardware at existing sites is upgraded. The 768-element Nokia antenna compensates for upper 6GHz’s higher path loss through beamforming, matching the coverage footprint of a 3.5GHz 5G cell. Nokia’s CTO has previously confirmed that a 768-element array at 7GHz can fit in approximately the same physical enclosure as a standard 5G unit, because the higher frequency means each element is smaller. If that holds through production hardware, operators could upgrade existing sites rather than build new ones — a critical factor in the cost and timeline of any 6G rollout.

Why does Australia’s spectrum regulator have to decide about upper 6GHz, and what are the options?

The upper 6GHz band (6,425–7,125MHz) is currently under a spectrum embargo from ACMA, meaning no new licenses can be issued while it evaluates how to use the band. The core decision is whether to allocate upper 6GHz to licensed mobile networks (enabling 6G), to unlicensed Wi-Fi (enabling Wi-Fi 6E/7 at higher outdoor power), or to some sharing framework. Mobile operators argue they need the spectrum for future 6G. The Wi-Fi industry argues the same spectrum would dramatically expand outdoor Wi-Fi capacity. There is no technical path that gives both industries full access to the same frequencies simultaneously — ACMA will need to choose, and the Optus-Nokia trial results are now part of the evidence base it will weigh.

What happens globally if countries allocate upper 6GHz differently — mobile in some, Wi-Fi in others?

This is the central risk that the GSMA and mobile standards bodies have identified since WRC-23. If a significant portion of the world’s population — particularly the US, which has already dedicated the full 6GHz band to unlicensed Wi-Fi — does not align on upper 6GHz for mobile, device manufacturers will face a fragmented market: 6G handsets designed for global use cannot rely on upper 6GHz connectivity in all markets. The result would be regional rather than global 6G ecosystems, with separate equipment lines and higher costs. Australia’s decision, while one country among many, will contribute to the critical-mass calculation for whether the WRC-23 mobile identification becomes commercially viable or remains a regulatory aspiration without a unified device ecosystem behind it.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

References:

https://www.optus.com.au/about/media-centre/media-releases/2026/08/optus-advances-australias-6g-future

https://www.techtimes.com/articles/323105/20260805/australias-6g-trial-clears-35gbps-upper-6ghz-using-existing-tower-sites.htm

How NTIA “Call to Action for 6G Leadership and Security” might influence 6G/IMT-2030 standards and 3GPP specifications

3GPP approves timelines for Release 21 which will specify 6G RAN, Core and 5G Advanced

IMT-2030 (“6G”) Minimum Technology Performance Requirements for Radio Interface Technologies

ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.EVAL] & ITU-R M.[IMT-2030.SUBMISSION] reports: Evaluation & Submission Guidelines for 6G RIT/SRITs (6G)

Roles of 3GPP and ITU-R WP 5D in the IMT 2030/6G standards process

Dell’Oro: 6G RAN Capex to reach $500 billion by 2034 + Counterpoint

ABI Research: 6G Radio Installed Base by Region from 2029 to 2034

Analysis: Cohere’s $28M U.S. DoD FutureG ISAC contract; OTFS vs OFDM; 6G-NR/IMT 2030 RIT standards outlook

Analysis: Ericsson’s leading role in French INTENTION 6G project

Analysis: Nvidia’s rumored new 6G AI-RAN – likely features/functions and industry impact

Analysis: Nokia’s new AI-RAN platform and Standalone AI-RAN node with Nvidia GPUs

Ericsson and Intel collaborate to accelerate AI-Native 6G; other AI-Native 6G advancements at MWC 2026

NVIDIA and global telecom leaders to build 6G on open and secure AI-native platforms + Linux Foundation launches OCUDU

Nokia and Rohde & Schwarz collaborate on AI-powered 6G receiver years before IMT 2030 RIT submissions to ITU-R WP5D

AI wireless and fiber optic network technologies; IMT 2030 “native AI” concept

Comparing AI Native mode in 6G (IMT 2030) vs AI Overlay/Add-On status in 5G (IMT 2020)

SKT 6G ATHENA White Paper: a mid-to-long term network evolution strategy for the AI era

Verizon’s 6G Innovation Forum joins a crowded list of 6G efforts that may conflict with 3GPP and ITU-R IMT-2030 work

Highlights of 3GPP Stage 1 Workshop on IMT 2030 (6G) Use Cases

Ericsson and e& (UAE) sign MoU for 6G collaboration vs ITU-R IMT-2030 framework

 

Analysis: Huawei”s upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network Solution for South Africa

The Huawei Network Summit 2026 South Africa concluded successfully in Johannesburg, drawing more than 400 industry leaders, technical experts, and ecosystem partners.  At the event, Huawei introduced its upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network Solution for Southern Africa, now positioned under the “Secure and Intelligent Connectivity” framework.

The announcement underscores Huawei’s continued push to enable intelligent transformation across industries in collaboration with customers and partners.  As AI agents move from experimental deployments to mission-critical production environments, network requirements are shifting accordingly. Industry attention is increasingly moving beyond token consumption metrics to Daily Active Agents (DAA), reflecting the emergence of large-scale agentic AI adoption and the need for next-generation networks with stronger performance, resilience, and security.

Leon Wang, President of Huawei’s Data Communication Product Line, said: “Real-time AI interaction, multidimensional data flow, core business security, and other scenarios are driving networks to embrace an AI-centric paradigm shift. This marks a transition from ubiquitous ultra-broadband into a new journey defined by lossless computing power, integrated communication and sensing, full-scope security, and network autonomy.”

Powered by a next-generation intelligent network foundation, Southern Africa’s digital and intelligent transformation is entering a new phase, according to Huawei.

“Johannesburg is a vibrant city rich in opportunities, connecting talent, industries and cultures across Africa,” said Vincent Chen, Vice President of Enterprise Business, Southern Africa Region, Huawei. “Today, AI is becoming a key driver of global innovation, and its adoption in Africa is transitioning from pilot exploration to real-world deployment, accelerating intelligent transformation across sectors such as finance, education and public services. For the Southern African market, Huawei’s goal is to advance intelligence across industries by collaborating with industry partners to build intelligent, secure and reliable network infrastructure for the AI era.”

The rapid growth of AI agents is creating new use cases and requirements, placing unprecedented technical demands on network infrastructure.

“Today’s enterprise network infrastructure faces four major challenges on its path to digital and intelligent transformation. These include the ever-widening gap between computing supply and demand; traffic pattern shifts driven by AI agents; surging O&M complexity; and new AI-driven attacks compounding the vulnerabilities of new systems,” said Arthur Wang, Vice President of Huawei’s Data Communication Product Line. “To address these challenges, Huawei has upgraded its Xinghe Intelligent Network Solution under a new paradigm of ‘Secure and Intelligent Connectivity.’ The first is an intelligence upgrade, expanding AI beyond O&M into the entire network. The second is a security upgrade, advancing from single-point defence to end-to-end protection that deeply converges network and security. Through these two key upgrades, we aspire to build a solid connectivity foundation for every enterprise in the Agentic AI era.”

During the event, Huawei also unveiled its upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network product portfolio and the Xinghe AI Cloud Campus SaaS Service Platform for Southern Africa.

Shi Lei, Vice President of the NCE Data Communication Domain of Huawei’s Data Communication Product Line, said:

“In the past, intelligent O&M was a luxury exclusive to large enterprises. Now, we have deeply integrated AI into the cloud management service platform, enabling SMEs to easily access these capabilities as a cloud service. This is more than tech inclusion; it is about making AI network services genuinely accessible, affordable, and actionable.”

Analysis & Opinion:

Huawei’s upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network Solution for South Africa reflects a clear shift toward AI-native enterprise networking, with Huawei positioning the platform around “secure intelligent connectivity.” In practical terms, the upgrade extends AI beyond operations and management into the broader network fabric, while also tightening the convergence of networking and security across campus, WAN, data center, and security domains. The announcement also ties the solution to the broader “Agentic AI era,” which suggests Huawei is targeting workloads where connectivity, automation, and security need to operate together.

For South African enterprises, the strategic value is clear: AI adoption is pushing networks to support heavier east-west traffic, lower latency, stronger segmentation, and more autonomous operations. Huawei is effectively arguing that traditional, siloed infrastructure is no longer sufficient for production AI environments.  Instead, the network must become a more autonomous, security-aware control layer that can sustain business continuity and scale with intelligent services.

The solution is strategically relevant, but its real value will depend on execution: interoperability in multivendor environments, demonstrable performance gains, and local supportability. If Huawei can substantiate its claims with measurable outcomes and robust deployment references, Xinghe could be a compelling modernization path. Otherwise, it risks being viewed as another vendor-led repositioning exercise.

………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

References:

Huawei unveils upgraded Xinghe Intelligent Network for Southern Africa

Huawei’s AI-Centric Network Vision: Six Imperatives for the Next Decade; Critical Questions for IEEE Techblog Community

Huawei FY2025: 2.2% YoY revenue increase; strategic pivot to AI and intelligent automotive solutions

Huawei unveils AI Centric Network roadmap, U6 GHz products, 5G Advanced strategy and SuperPoD cluster computing platforms

Huawei, Qualcomm, Samsung, and Ericsson Leading Patent Race in $15 Billion 5G Licensing Market

Huawei Cloud Review and Global Sales Partner Policies for 2026

Omdia on resurgence of Huawei: #1 RAN vendor in 3 out of 5 regions; RAN market has bottomed

Highlights and Analysis of July 30th U.S. Senate hearing on AI and telecommunications

Disclaimer:  Perplexity.ai was used for research used to generate this article.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Introduction:

Today, U.S. Senator Deb Fischer (R-Neb), Chairman of the Senate Commerce Subcommittee on Telecommunications and Media, convened a hearing examining how artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming telecommunications networks and how the technology can enhance services across America.  Titled “Intelligent Networks: Powering Artificial Intelligence and Transforming Communications,” the hearing examined the bidirectional relationship between AI and network infrastructure. In particular, AI demands low-latency, high-bandwidth networks, while also offering tools to make those networks more efficient and secure.

Witnesses:

  • Jonathan Spalter, President and CEO, USTelecom — The Broadband Association

  • Dan Watermeier, Commissioner, Nebraska Public Service Commission

  • Bob Everson, Chief Architect of Provider Mobility, Cisco

  • Asad Ramzanali, Director of AI and Technology, Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator

From Senator Fischer’s opening remarks:

“As AI adoption increases, so will the demand for reliable and resilient communications infrastructure. Networks are the backbone along which the enormous amounts of data associated with AI are transmitted. I look forward to discussing both how networks are adapting to respond to AI and how AI is being used in networks to proactively plan for the future.”

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Permitting Reform Dominates Discussion

The clearest consensus across industry witnesses was that outdated permitting processes are the primary barrier to deploying AI-ready fiber infrastructure. Spalter testified that “the biggest barrier to building the broadband infrastructure our country needs isn’t technology or investment — it’s outdated permitting processes,” and urged Congress to establish consistent permitting timelines while preserving environmental and historic review requirements.

Watermeier emphasized that fiber is the only broadly deployable technology capable of supporting AI-era traffic, noting that “fiber optic networks can greatly exceed” the FCC’s current 100/20 Mbps threshold. Everson echoed the urgency, stating that providers are ready to build if permitting can be accelerated. Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV) supported establishing permitting “shot clocks.”

Spalter also identified cybersecurity and sustainable broadband funding as essential priorities, though specific proposals on either topic were not detailed in reported testimony.

Digital Divide and BEAD Funding

Sen. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) pressed witnesses on the impact of the Trump administration’s approximately 74% cut to the Broadband Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD) Program. Ramzanali responded that unconnected households are excluded from AI’s economic benefits, telehealth access, and educational tools, stating: “We shouldn’t accept the state of the country where not every American is connected to high-quality networks”

Grid Reliability and Spectrum: Largely Absent

Despite the hearing’s framing, two critical topics received little direct attention. Grid reliability — a pressing concern given that PJM Interconnection reported data-center-driven supply cost increases exceeding 60%, and Bank of America projected ~125 GW of new U.S. electric load from data centers by 2030 (Legis1) — was not substantively addressed by witnesses.

Spectrum policy was similarly underexplored, despite significant adjacent developments: the FCC’s July 22 vote to auction 160 MHz of upper C-band spectrum, NTIA’s $53 million funding announcement for secure AI-enabled Radio Access Networks, and a detailed spectrum reform brief published by the International Center for Law & Economics timed to the hearing. The ICLE brief recommended five reforms: preserving a balanced mix of licensed, unlicensed, and shared spectrum; streamlining the Spectrum Relocation Fund; strengthening FCC-NTIA coordination; replacing worst-case interference analysis with risk-informed probabilistic methods; and coherent U.S. engagement at the ITU World Radiocommunication Conference to counter Chinese influence in standards bodies.

Cybersecurity: Listed but Undefined

Spalter listed cybersecurity among his three essential priorities but did not elaborate on specific threats or mitigation strategies. The absence is notable given that an adjacent House hearing on July 22 featured testimony from Lindsay Gorman warning that AI is “expanding the cyberattack surface” through prompt-injection attacks, data poisoning, and model exploitation. Gorman urged Congress to mandate AI cybersecurity standards and recommended next-generation networks implement AI-automated defenses and post-quantum cryptography.

Industry vs. Regulatory Divergence

The hearing revealed a clear fault line. The three industry witnesses uniformly advocated for reducing regulatory friction and enabling private investment. Ramzanali, whose broader research at Vanderbilt advocates utility-style regulation of digital infrastructure, structural separation of AI hardware and software, and a dedicated digital regulator, provided the only counterweight — though his reported testimony focused on digital divides rather than his full structural reform agenda.

Sen. Fischer’s opening remarks captured the industry-aligned framing: “Opaque regulations and lack of coordination should not get in the way of network development.” Sen. Blunt Rochester’s questioning represented the regulatory perspective, challenging funding cuts and emphasizing equitable access.

Outlook

The hearing underscored that the U.S. telecommunications policy debate around AI is currently dominated by infrastructure deployment concerns — particularly permitting — while cybersecurity, spectrum management, and grid reliability remain underexamined. With the Senate Commerce Committee delaying broader AI legislation markup until after the summer recess (Washington Times), the substantive policy work on these gaps may not advance until fall.

Full written testimony and a hearing transcript are not yet available on the committee website.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..

Analysis via Perplexity.ai:

Comparison Matrix: Key Recommendations by Topic

1. Grid Reliability and Energy Demand

Witness Position Key Details
Spalter Not directly addressed in testimony Focused on permitting and broadband funding as primary barriers; did not testify on grid/energy specifically
Watermeier Indirect — framed fiber as the infrastructure solution Argued fiber networks are the only broadly deployable technology capable of supporting AI-era traffic loads, implying grid demands flow through network capacity
Everson Not directly addressed Focused on deployment speed; Cisco’s corporate positions tie AI adoption to network readiness but not grid energy specifically
Ramzanali Indirect — connected to digital divide Warned that unconnected households cannot benefit from AI economy; broader work warns of AI infrastructure financial risks and economic mismatch
Context Hearing framing acknowledged grid strain Legis1 reported that PJM Interconnection saw data-center-driven supply cost increases of 60%+; Bank of America projected ~125 GW of new U.S. electric load from data centers (2026–2030). Sen. Fischer’s opening remarks noted AI demand requires “reliable, high-speed, high-capacity networks”

2. Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities

Witness Position Key Details
Spalter Cybersecurity is one of three essential priorities Told the subcommittee that “permitting reform, cybersecurity, and sustainable broadband funding are all essential to preparing the nation’s communications infrastructure for AI” — but did not detail specific cyber threats or mitigation proposals in reported testimony
Watermeier Not directly addressed in reported testimony Focused on fiber capability and permitting
Everson Implicit via Cisco’s corporate positions Cisco’s government policy blog states “AI is rewriting the rules of cybersecurity, and we have a real opportunity to tip the scales in favor of defenders” and emphasizes modernizing legacy infrastructure as essential for security. Cisco advocates for NIST GenAI program participation and lifecycle governance frameworks
Ramzanali Not directly addressed in reported testimony His broader research at Vanderbilt focuses on financial and structural risks of AI infrastructure rather than network cybersecurity per se
Sen. Fischer Framed as strategic imperative Opening remarks: “AI has real potential to make networks more efficient and secure” and “we cannot fall behind in developing the most resilient and secure networks” (Fischer press release)
Context Adjacent House hearing (July 22) Wiley Rein reported that witness Lindsay Gorman testified AI is “expanding the cyberattack surface,” creating vulnerabilities including prompt-injection attacks, data poisoning, and model theft. She urged Congress to mandate cybersecurity standards for AI and recommended next-gen networks leverage AI for automated defenses and implement post-quantum cryptography

3. Spectrum Policy

Witness Position Key Details
Spalter Not directly addressed in reported testimony USTelecom’s membership is primarily wireline/fiber-focused; spectrum was not a featured topic in his reported remarks
Watermeier Not directly addressed Focused on fiber deployment; as a state PSC commissioner, spectrum falls outside his primary jurisdiction
Everson Implicit via Cisco’s positions Cisco’s title “Chief Architect of Provider Mobility” implies wireless expertise. Cisco’s policy blog advocates unlocking 6 GHz Wi-Fi as “the foundation for the AI Era” and ties spectrum capacity directly to AI adoption
Ramzanali Not directly addressed in reported testimony Focus was on digital divides and BEAD funding
Policy context (ICLE) Five-reform framework published as hearing context The International Center for Law & Economics issued a brief timed to the hearing recommending: (1) preserve balanced mix of licensed/unlicensed/shared spectrum, judged by total economic value not auction revenue; (2) streamline the Spectrum Relocation Fund to move federal spectrum faster; (3) strengthen FCC-NTIA coordination via common technical record; (4) replace worst-case interference analysis with risk-informed probabilistic methods; (5) present coherent U.S. positions at ITU/WRC to counter China’s standards influence
Regulatory context FCC and NTIA actions Legis1 reported the FCC voted July 22 to auction 160 MHz of upper C-band spectrum (60% more than Congress required), creating a potential 440 MHz “super band.” NTIA opened $53M in funding for secure AI-enabled Radio Access Networks. NTIA’s Arielle Roth testified to the House on July 15 about unlocking 30+ GHz of additional spectrum for AI-enabled satellite services

4. Regulatory Reform vs. Government Oversight

Witness Stance Categorization Key Details
Spalter Regulatory reform (deregulation-oriented) Industry self-reliance with streamlined rules Urged Congress to establish “consistent permitting timelines” and “modernize federal, state, Tribal, and local review processes” while preserving environmental/historic review. Framed the problem as bureaucratic delay, not market failure: “The biggest barrier… isn’t technology or investment… It’s outdated permitting processes” (MeriTalk)
Watermeier Regulatory reform (state-level pragmatist) Practical deployment focus Echoed permitting concerns from state regulator perspective. Argued fiber is the only technology meeting AI-era thresholds, implying regulatory frameworks should favor fiber-capable infrastructure. Did not advocate for new oversight mechanisms
Everson Regulatory reform (industry-aligned) Private-sector readiness “The sooner we can speed that permitting process along, the better, because then we can get to the work of deploying those resources.” Positioned industry as ready to build if government gets out of the way. Cisco’s blog advocates modernization as investment, not regulatory expansion
Ramzanali Government oversight (structural reform advocate) Public-interest regulation His Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator report “After the AI Crash” advocates utility-style nondiscrimination rules for foundation models/cloud/chips, a “Glass-Steagall for AI” structural separation, a dedicated digital regulator, publicly funded compute infrastructure, and restrictions on financial engineering in AI infrastructure. His hearing testimony focused on the digital divide as a market failure requiring government action: “we shouldn’t accept the state of the country where not every American is connected to high-quality networks” (Blunt Rochester press release)
Sen. Fischer (R-NE) Regulatory reform “Opaque regulations and lack of coordination should not get in the way of network development”
Sen. Capito (R-WV) Regulatory reform Advocated permitting “shot clocks” to accelerate deployment
Sen. Blunt Rochester (D-DE) Government oversight Challenged BEAD funding cuts (~74%), framing broadband access as a government responsibility essential for AI economy participation

5. AI-Enabled Services: Industry Priorities vs. Regulatory Proposals

Dimension Industry Priority (Spalter, Everson) Regulatory/Public-Interest Proposal (Ramzanali, Blunt Rochester) Divergence
Infrastructure deployment Speed up permitting; let private capital build Ensure equitable deployment via BEAD and universal service; don’t accept unconnected Americans Industry wants fewer procedural hurdles; regulators want equitable outcomes, not just speed
Broadband funding “Sustainable broadband funding” needed (Spalter) but framed as enabling private investment BEAD funding must be restored; 74% cut harms rural AI access (Blunt Rochester) Both want funding, but industry sees it as complement to private investment while advocates see it as essential public obligation
Technology standards Fiber-first; fiber exceeds FCC’s 100/20 threshold (Watermeier) Quality networks for all, not just checkbox milestones Industry favors specific tech mandates; advocates focus on outcome-based universal access
AI infrastructure governance Modernize and build; Cisco frames AI as defense opportunity Structural separation of software/hardware; regulate as digital utilities; restrict circular equity financing Sharpest divergence: industry wants freedom to integrate vertically; Ramzanali’s framework would break those integrations apart
Spectrum Cisco advocates 6 GHz unlicensed for AI-era Wi-Fi ICLE (external brief) recommends balanced licensed/unlicensed/shared mix with risk-informed analysis Partial alignment on unlicensed spectrum value, but ICLE’s framework is more nuanced than industry’s single-band focus
Cybersecurity Spalter lists it as essential but offers no specifics; Cisco positions AI as defensive tool Gorman (House hearing) urges Congress to mandate AI cybersecurity standards and implement post-quantum cryptography Industry prefers voluntary standards and market-driven security; regulatory voices want mandated standards

Key Divergences and Synthesis

Consensus Points

  • Permitting reform is urgent. All three industry witnesses and Republican senators agreed that permitting delays are the single biggest barrier to AI-ready network deployment. Even Sen. Fischer’s opening remarks flagged “opaque regulations.”

  • Fiber is foundational. Spalter, Watermeier, and Everson all positioned fiber as the backbone infrastructure for AI. Fischer encapsulated it: “AI runs on infrastructure, and infrastructure runs on fiber.”

  • AI transforms networks bidirectionally. Fischer’s framing — that AI requires better networks but can also make networks more efficient and secure — was implicitly accepted across witness testimony.

Sharpest Divergences

  • Industry self-regulation vs. structural oversight. The three industry witnesses (Spalter, Watermeier, Everson) uniformly advocated for removing regulatory friction and letting private capital deploy infrastructure. Ramzanali’s framework — developed at Vanderbilt and reflected in his testimony on digital divides — argues for utility-style regulation, structural separation, and a dedicated digital regulator. This is the fundamental fault line.

  • BEAD funding. Industry witnesses mentioned “sustainable broadband funding” as a priority but did not challenge the Trump administration’s 74% cut to BEAD. Sen. Blunt Rochester and Ramzanali directly attacked the cuts as harmful to AI equity. Industry silence on BEAD cuts suggests a pragmatic accommodation with the administration’s budget priorities.

  • Cybersecurity specificity. Spalter listed cybersecurity as essential but offered no concrete proposals in reported testimony. This stands in contrast to the adjacent House hearing where witnesses like Lindsay Gorman called for mandated congressional cybersecurity standards. The gap between listing cybersecurity as a priority and proposing actual security mandates represents a significant industry-regulatory divergence.

  • Spectrum was largely absent. Despite ICLE publishing a detailed five-reform spectrum brief timed to the hearing, and despite the FCC’s July 22 C-band auction vote and NTIA’s $53M AI-RAN funding announcement, none of the witnesses’ reported testimony engaged substantively with spectrum policy. This is a notable omission given that Everson’s title (Chief Architect of Provider Mobility) implies wireless expertise. The ICLE brief’s warning that “the United States cannot lead at digital speed while governing the airwaves at bureaucratic speed” went unaddressed in the hearing room.

Implications for Next-Generation AI-Enabled Services

  • The hearing’s overwhelming focus on permitting reform and fiber deployment — while important — left cybersecurity, spectrum, and grid reliability largely underexplored. The most consequential gap is the absence of detailed cybersecurity testimony, given that AI is simultaneously expanding the attack surface and offering new defensive tools.

  • Ramzanali’s presence provided the only counterweight to the industry consensus, but his reported testimony focused narrowly on digital divides rather than his broader structural reform agenda. Whether his Vanderbilt research on AI infrastructure financial risks and digital utility regulation will influence future Senate action remains to be seen.

  • The ICLE spectrum framework — published as context for this hearing — represents the most detailed policy roadmap for AI-enabled wireless services, but it was not directly debated by the witnesses. The FCC’s C-band auction and NTIA’s AI-RAN funding are proceeding on parallel tracks outside the hearing’s scope.

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

References:

Fischer Leads Hearing on AI in Communications Networks

NEWS: Senator Blunt Rochester Highlights How AI Will Impact Digital Divides

 

Cheap Chinese AI Models: Unappreciated Threat to U.S. Hyperscaler AI Dominance

Introduction:

IEEE Techblog readers are keenly aware of the stupendous AI capex that has eliminated most hyperscaler free cash flow.  There’s also the ROI question when there’s no “killer app” or a clear way to monetize AI services.  And let’s not forget issues like: the competition for AI benchmark bragging rights. price per token, rack density, and power consumption-per-dollar.

Now the next AI battleground will be competition from Chinese open-weight models, which are pushing AI toward commoditization faster than many U.S. hyperscalers expected.  That shift could quietly erode the economics of the entire AI infrastructure stack.

Raffi Krikorian, the chief technology officer at Mozilla, which runs the Firefox browser, switched to Chinese AI startup Moonshot’s Kimi K3 for many of his day-to-day activities within days of the new, powerful model’s launch more than a week ago.  “It just seems snappier,” Krikorian said of K3, comparing it with the acclaimed, higher-priced Claude Fable chatbot from Anthropic, the San Francisco private AI company with a $1 trillion assessed market value. Earlier, he had been using another strong Chinese model, Z.ai’s GLM-5.2, for everyday tasks such as managing his calendar, documents, and email.

Krikorian is among a growing number of Americans turning to Chinese AI systems, which are gaining traction worldwide because they are more affordable and increasingly efficient. U.S. companies such as cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase have said they are switching to Chinese AI models to help reduce costs. Their growing popularity has frustrated some U.S. tech giants, but barring an outright ban, these models are likely to keep attracting independent software developers in the U.S. and beyond.

The shift from training to inference:

The AI buildout is moving from model training toward sustained inference, and that changes the economics of the stack. Training demands enormous one-time bursts of compute, but inference creates continuous load on accelerators, interconnect, storage, and power systems, which means utilization and token pricing now matter as much as raw model capability.

That is where Chinese open-weight models matter most. Reports indicate that some are 60% to 90% cheaper than leading U.S. AI offerings, while still being “good enough” for a large share of enterprise and developer workloads.

Why open weight matters technically:

Open-weight models reduce deployment friction by allowing organizations to download, modify, and run models on their own infrastructure rather than through a centralized API. NTIA has noted that this can broaden access and accelerate innovation, but it also shifts responsibility for integration, safety, and lifecycle management onto deployment.

From an infrastructure perspective, that means AI demand becomes more distributed. Instead of concentrating in a small number of hyperscale regions, workloads can move into private clouds, regional facilities, enterprise data centers, and even edge-adjacent environments, changing traffic patterns and backend topology.

Impact on hyperscaler design:

The first-order risk for hyperscalers is not loss of raw demand; it is lower monetization per unit of demand. If users route routine inference to cheaper Chinese models, the same physical infrastructure may carry more tokens but generate less revenue, pressuring the economics of GPU clusters, accelerator networking, and power-hungry cooling systems.

That is a serious issue because modern AI facilities are purpose-built systems. They rely on dense GPU racks, low-latency fabrics, liquid cooling, and carefully engineered power distribution, all of which are justified by high utilization and strong margins. If the average workload shifts to lower-value inference, the return on those assets falls even if the machines stay busy.

Network and power consequences:

The networking impact is equally important. More self-hosted and regionally deployed inference increases east-west traffic inside enterprise environments and raises demand for metro transport, interconnect, and secure private connectivity, rather than only for giant centralized AI campuses.

Power and cooling are the other pressure points. AI infrastructure already consumes substantial electrical power and water, and inference-heavy systems can run continuously, making thermal design and power delivery central to total cost of ownership. If cheaper models fragment the market across more sites, the industry may need more distributed capacity without the same revenue density to support it.

The strategic takeaway:

For U.S. AI companies and hyperscalers, the threat from Chinese open-weight models is best understood as commoditization of inference. The frontier race may continue at the top end, but the commercial center of gravity is shifting toward lower-cost, portable models that reduce lock-in and weaken pricing power across the stack.  The infrastructure question is no longer whether AI demand will grow; it is whether the industry can preserve enough margin, utilization discipline, and network economics to make that growth pay.

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

Open-weight AI model landscape

Model family Examples Primary strengths Infrastructure implications Key tradeoffs vs US closed models
Alibaba Qwen Qwen3, Qwen3.5, Qwen3 VL Multilingual coverage, broad model family, strong open-weight ecosystem Attractive for regional deployment, private clouds, and multilingual inference Lower cost and more deployment flexibility, but usually less integrated than top US managed offerings
DeepSeek DeepSeek-V3, R1-family Strong reasoning/coding, efficient inference, active developer adoption Good fit for cost-sensitive inference clusters and self-hosted stacks Very competitive on price-performance, but governance, provenance, and safety concerns remain
Zhipu AI / GLM GLM-5.2 Long context, agent/tool-use orientation, strong benchmark visibility Useful for agentic workflows and document-heavy enterprise inference Open deployment flexibility, but smaller global enterprise ecosystem than US leaders
Moonshot AI Kimi K2.6, K2.7, K3 Long-context assistant behavior, strong reasoning focus Suitable for knowledge retrieval and long-context enterprise use cases Competitive on context handling, but support and platform maturity trail US vendors
MiniMax MiniMax-M3 Efficient inference, long-context design Potentially attractive for distributed deployments and lower-cost serving Good economics, but narrower enterprise footprint outside China
MiMo / Xiaomi MiMo-V2.5-Pro Efficient large-model performance Useful where cost and self-hosting matter more than premium managed tooling Less mature ecosystem and weaker enterprise integration
Google Gemini, Gemma Strong multimodal performance, cloud integration Best suited for managed cloud deployments and enterprise workflows on Google Cloud Gemini is closed; Gemma is open-weight but not always frontier-class
OpenAI GPT-4.1, o-series, open-weight initiatives Strong reasoning, coding, and ecosystem depth Drives premium API demand and centralized inference on provider infrastructure Highest capability and tooling depth, but also highest lock-in and often higher cost
Anthropic Claude family Enterprise writing, coding, and long-context use Strong fit for managed inference in corporate workflows Closed model stack limits portability and self-hosting
xAI Grok family Fast iteration, real-time orientation Useful where rapid product updates matter more than deployment flexibility Closed deployment and a less mature enterprise stack
Amazon Nova family AWS-native enterprise integration Supports cloud-first AI deployment inside AWS environments Strong platform fit, but less portable and not open-weight
Microsoft Phi family, Copilot stack Enterprise distribution, Azure/M365 integration Encourages centralized AI consumption through Microsoft platforms Productized and convenient, but not optimized for open self-hosted infrastructure

S&P Global Market Intelligence Surveys: Fiber Deployments in U.S. and Europe + AI Infrastructure Causes Market Shift

S&P’s Global Market Intelligence most recent survey showed that 87% of telecom providers in North America and Europe were deploying fiber optics last year, about the same as 2024.  That’s according to the firm’s Erik Keith during a webinar hosted June 17th by the Fiber Broadband Association and its president, Gary Bolton.   Among the 104 telecom operators surveyed globally, nearly nine out of ten are already using fiber as part of their broadband strategy. On the cable side, more than two-thirds of operators have either deployed fiber-to-the-home or plan to do so.

The Fiber Broadband Association says, “FTTH technology is clearly the “end game” solution for wireline broadband access services, however, the speed and scope of operator migration to full-fiber networks varies widely, depending on factors such as operator roadmaps and competitive landscape conditions.”

Key highlights from the S&P Global Market Intelligence Survey include:
  • Pervasive Adoption: Among the 104 telecom operators surveyed globally, 87% in North America and Europe utilize or are actively deploying fiber.
  • FTTH Dominance: Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) is widely regarded as the ultimate end-game for wireline broadband, though legacy copper and fixed wireless networks remain a part of some operators’ transition strategies.
  • Cable Operator Progress: On the cable side, more than two-thirds of providers have already deployed FTTH or plan to do so as competition intensifies. More than two-thirds of surveyed cable operators have either deployed FTTH or plan to do so in the near future.
  • Growing Cable Competition: Fiber overlap now extends across an estimated 75% of the U.S. cable footprint. Because of this, traditional cable operators are experiencing continued broadband subscriber losses and are actively revising their pricing and bundling strategies.
  • High Consumer Satisfaction:  Consumer surveys show that gigabit-tier fiber subscribers report the highest overall satisfaction rates, while fiber providers—including Verizon, Breezeline, and Frontier—claim the three lowest monthly churn rates in the U.S.
  • AI as a Fiber Catalyst: Fiber is increasingly viewed as a dual-use asset capable of supporting both residential users and hyperscalers, as surging artificial intelligence (AI) demands require advanced, high-capacity infrastructure.

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

A different S&P Global Market Intelligence report argues that AI infrastructure demand is becoming linked to a larger market shift: constrained energy supply, higher expected earnings for producers and a growing premium for companies that control scarce capacity.  For telecom and technology markets, the report adds another layer to the AI infrastructure conversation. The AI buildout is often discussed in terms of chips, models, cloud platforms and data centers. S&P Global Market Intelligence’s analysis suggests the conversation also needs to include energy supply, regional exposure, capex efficiency and the market value of scarce capacity.

……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

References:

https://fiberbroadband.org/event/ffb-2026-week-24-fiber-technology-trends-key-takeaways-from-sp-globals-annual-operator-surveys/

https://www.benton.org/headlines/fiber-breakfast-week-24-fiber-technology-trends

https://communicationsdaily.com/news/2026/06/18/Many-Carriers-Still-Sticking-With-Copper-Lines-SP-Expert-2606170056

https://telecomreseller.com/2026/06/18/sp-global-ai-infrastructure-demand-and-energy-scarcity-are-creating-a-new-market-premium/

2026 Fiber Connect Keynote: “The Future of Fiber Optics: AI and the Quantum”

Analysis: Fiber Broadband Association (FBA) whitepaper: Upgrading MSO Networks to Fiber to the Home (FTTH): A Technical Perspective

Fiber Broadband Association Middle Mile WG: how to use “Digital Infrastructure Networks” for coordinated fiber backbone investments

Analysis: AT&T 1Q-2026 results: increased fiber penetration, FWA momentum, D2D deals, and mobile/home internet bundles

Fiber Optic Boost: Corning and Meta in multiyear $6 billion deal to accelerate U.S data center buildout

Fiber Optic Networks & Subsea Cable Systems as the foundation for AI and Cloud services

How will fiber and equipment vendors meet the increased demand for fiber optics in 2026 due to AI data center buildouts?

Automating Fiber Testing in the Last Mile: An Experiment from the Field

AI wireless and fiber optic network technologies; IMT 2030 “native AI” concept

EdgeCore Digital Infrastructure and Zayo bring fiber connectivity to Santa Clara data center

Fiber Connect 2023: Telcos vs Cablecos; fiber symmetric speeds vs. DOCSIS 4.0?

Page 1 of 97
1 2 3 97