Ericsson
Omdia: Huawei increases global RAN market share due to China hegemony
Due to China’s enormous mobile network market (where foreign vendors are mostly shut out), Huawei remained the world’s largest vendor of radio access network (RAN) equipment – a market worth about $35 billion last year – according to Omdia (an Informa owned company). In 2023, the Chinese behemoth had a 31.3% share of the global RAN market. Omdia says Huawei’s market share was up by an unspecified amount in 2024, due to “a more favorable regional mix as well as market share gains in emerging markets,” according to Remy Pascal, principal analyst at Omdia.
Huawei recently reported a 22% increase in sales last year, to 860 billion Chinese yuan (US$ 118.6 billion), and it looks in better shape than its ailing western rivals. Its share of the global 5G networks market appears to have grown, according to the market research firm.
Omdia’s findings seems further to highlight the futility of U.S. sanctions against Huawei, originally imposed by Donald Trump in his first term as U.S. President and then expanded by President Joe Biden.
China still lacks the ability to make the most advanced chips featuring the tiniest transistors. But technical workarounds or loopholes in trade rules have enabled Huawei to revive its smartphone business and remain competitive in networks. Late last year, telco executives who spoke on condition of anonymity said there had been no discernible impact on the quality of its products. And Ericsson continues to regard Huawei as its chief rival.
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“After two years of significant acceleration and exceptionally high investment in 2021 and 2022, and two years of steep decline in 2023 and 2024, Omdia expects 2025 to be a year of stabilization for the RAN market,” said Remy Pascal of Omdia. “Different regions will follow different trajectories, but at a global level, the market is expected to be flattish. North America has returned to growth in 2024 and we expect this to continue, we also expect a positive trajectory in some emerging markets.”
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Other results and forecasts from Omdia:
- The total global RAN market (which includes hardware and software but not services) was just over $35 billion last year, which represented a 12 percent decline on the previous year.
- There was a very slight drop in the aggregate market share of the top five RAN equipment vendors – Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung. In 2023, Omdia had that figure at about 95%. In 2024, it was roughly 94%.
- Ericsson was one of the main gainers last year thanks to its huge AT&T (non) OpenRAN contract.
- As a result, Nokia lost market share in the U.S., but claims that its global RAN footprint grew by 18,000 sites in 2024.
- Tejas Networks, an Indian RAN equipment vendor (not in the top five) that landed a large 4G contract with state-owned BSNL was another winner.
- Global RAN revenue will be “essentially flat” this year and marked by “low single digit percentage growth” outside China.
- A “positive trajectory” in emerging Asian markets as well as Africa, the Middle East and Latin America is forecast. Europe risks falling behind other parts of the world in mobile network markets.
Top RAN vendors, full year 2024 RAN revenue:
|
Global |
Global ex-China |
|---|---|
|
Huawei |
Ericsson |
|
Ericsson |
Nokia |
|
Nokia |
Huawei |
|
ZTE |
Samsung |
|
Samsung |
ZTE |
Top RAN vendors, full year 2024 RAN revenue, top 3 by region:
|
North America |
Asia & Oceania |
Europe |
Middle East and Africa |
Latin America & the Caribbean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Ericsson |
Huawei |
Ericsson |
Huawei |
Huawei |
|
Nokia |
ZTE |
Nokia |
Nokia |
Ericsson |
|
Samsung |
Ericsson |
Huawei |
Ericsson |
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Dell’Oro Group’s most recent RAN report a few weeks ago stated that the global RAN market is expected to improve slightly over the short term, but the long-term outlook remains subdued. “The underlying message we have communicated for some time has not changed,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President for RAN market research at Dell’Oro Group. “Regional imbalances will impact the market dynamics over the short term while the long-term trajectory remains flat. This is predicated on the assumption that new RAN revenue streams from private wireless and FWA, taken together with MBB-based capacity growth, are not enough to offset slower MBB coverage-based capex,” said Dell’Oro’s Stefan Pongratz.
References:
https://www.lightreading.com/5g/huawei-defies-us-to-grow-market-share-as-ran-decline-ends-omdia
RAN Equipment Market to Remain Uninspiring, According to Dell’Oro Group
Network equipment vendors increase R&D; shift focus as 0% RAN market growth forecast for next 5 years!
Telco spending on RAN infrastructure continues to decline as does mobile traffic growth
vRAN market disappoints – just like OpenRAN and mobile 5G
Mobile Experts: Open RAN market drops 83% in 2024 as legacy carriers prefer single vendor solutions
Network equipment vendors increase R&D; shift focus as 0% RAN market growth forecast for next 5 years!
In 2024, Ericsson’s R&D spending was SEK53.5 billion ($4.8 billion). “It is our firm commitment to really ensure that we have capacity to do the investments in R&D over time,” said Lars Sandström, Ericsson’s chief financial officer. “I think that has been the guiding star for the company for quite some years and I think, if you go long back into history, we felt that has been hurting our ability to invest when not having the right cash position.” Meanwhile, Nokia’s R&D spending rose 5% on the year, to about €4.5 billion ($4.6 billion).
Combined, that was only one-third of Huawei’s projected 2024 R&D spending of around 197.8 billion yuan or $27.3 billion which was ~20% higher than 2023. Huawei’s R&D spending has increased in recent years, from 102 billion yuan in 2018 to 164.7 billion yuan in 2023. It invests more than 10% of its sales revenue into R&D each year. In addition to telecom and IT equipment/software, Huawei is a leader in China’s efforts to develop advanced chips and technology. The company is involved in a government-funded project to develop memory units for AI chips.
Mobile network market shrinkage has not helped ROI in wireless network R&D projects. Overall RAN sales fell 11% in 2023, to about $40 billion, said researchers at Informa owned Omdia. At the midpoint of its most recently published data, Omdia was anticipating another contraction of 15% in 2024 to ~$35 billion.
Stefan Pongratz of Dell’Oro said that mobile infrastructure investments slowed significantly in 2024. Preliminary findings indicate that the Radio Access Network (RAN) market contracted by 10 to 20% year-over-year (YoY) during the 1Q24 to 3Q24 period (final 4Q24 and full-year data expected around mid-February). Network operators in many countries paused spending after their initial 5G rollouts did not lead to meaningful improvements in sales or profitability.
Following the intense 5G acceleration phase from 2017 to 2022, RAN investments declined sharply in 2023 and 2024, with the exception of India where RAN market growth is now tapering off.
While data for 2024 is unavailable, the top five vendors – Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung – served ~95.1% of the global RAN market in 2023, according to Omdia. That doesn’t leave much room for start-up or other RAN equipment makers (like Fujitsu, NEC, Datang Mobile, Mavenir, CICT Mobile, Comba, and other small players).
“The underlying message we have communicated for some time has not changed,” said Stefan Pongratz, Vice President for RAN market research at Dell’Oro Group. “Regional imbalances will impact the market dynamics over the short term while the long-term trajectory remains flat. This is predicated on the assumption that new RAN revenue streams from private wireless and FWA, taken together with MBB-based capacity growth, are not enough to offset slower MBB coverage-based capex,” continued Pongratz.
Additional highlights from Del’Oro’s Mobile RAN 5-Year January 2025 Forecast Report:
- Worldwide RAN revenues are projected to grow at a 0% CAGR over the next five years, as rapidly declining LTE revenues will offset continued 5G investments.
- Medium-term risks to the baseline are balanced, while the long-term risks are tilted to the downside and characterized by the data growth uncertainty with the existing MBB use case. As the investment focus gradually shifts from coverage to capacity, one of the most significant forecast risks is slowing mobile data traffic growth. Given current network utilization levels and data traffic trends in more advanced markets, there are serious concerns about the timing of capacity upgrades.
- The mix between existing and new use cases has not changed. Private/enterprise RAN is expected to grow at a 20 percent plus CAGR while public RAN investments decline. At the same time, because of the lower starting point, it will take some time for private RAN to move the broader RAN needle.
- 5G-Advanced positions remain unchanged. The technology will play an essential role in the broader 5G journey. However, 5G-Advanced is not expected to fuel another major capex cycle. Instead, operators will gradually transition their spending from 5G towards 5G-Advanced within their confined capex budgets.
- RAN segments that are expected to grow over the next five years include 5G NR, FWA, mmWave, Open RAN, vRAN, private wireless, and small cells.
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So how do incumbent RAN vendors cope? Ericsson is becoming more heavily reliant on software sales. CEO Börje Ekholm told analysts on the company’s last earnings call: “It is going to take some time for customers to realize we are increasingly becoming a software business. If you go back 15 years, we were much more hardware-centric, and then it was a bigger question for customers. As you move into becoming a software vendor, the working capital becomes less and less and less.”
Nokia is turning to data center connectivity for growth. CEO Pekka Lundmark declared that data centers are now the company’s top growth target, shifting away from its traditional focus on telecommunications networks and services. Nokia is developing and promoting data center switching platforms, IP networking solutions, and automation technologies to cater to the needs of hyperscalers and enterprise customers. The company has secured notable contracts with companies like CoreWeave, a leading AI hyperscaler, which demonstrates their growing presence in the data center space. It’s also in the process of acquiring fiber optic equipment company Infinera which will enhance both inter and intra- data center connect capabilities. Nokia is emphasizing open-source software like SONiC alongside its own SR Linux operating system to provide flexibility and cater to diverse customer requirements.
References:
https://www.lightreading.com/5g/ericsson-and-nokia-flaunt-cash-as-open-ran-pack-struggles
RAN Equipment Market to Remain Uninspiring, According to Dell’Oro Group
Dell’Oro: Global RAN Market to Drop 21% between 2021 and 2029
Highlights of Dell’Oro’s 5-year RAN forecast
Mobile Experts: Open RAN market drops 83% in 2024 as legacy carriers prefer single vendor solutions
Dell’Oro: OpenRAN revenue forecast revised down through 2027
Dell’Oro: RAN market still declining with Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung top vendors
Dell’Oro & Omdia: Global RAN market declined in 2023 and again in 2024
Dell’Oro: RAN market declines at very fast pace while Mobile Core Network returns to growth in Q2-2023
Dell’Oro: RAN Market to Decline 1% CAGR; Mobile Core Network growth reduced to 1% CAGR
Ericsson’s sales rose for the first time in 8 quarters; mobile networks need an AI boost
Ericsson today said sales in its key networks unit grew 4% in the 4th quarter as contract wins and network investments by some large customers contributed to a 70% jump in North America (NA) sales, but its cloud software and enterprise units both saw sales and earnings decline. Revenue in the NA region rebounded sharply in the third quarter and continued to do so in the fourth quarter, helped by deliveries under a major AT&T “Open RAN” contract that began last year and will continue into 2025. AT&T’s Open RAN plan is for 70% of its wireless network traffic to flow across open-capable platforms by late 2026.
India has largely completed a rapid phase of network upgrades that saw deployments peak in 2023, and operator investments in the country have now normalized, Ericsson said. Total sales rose 1.4% to 72.91 billion kronor, after declining at double-digit rates in both 2023 and 2024.
“The near-term market recovery is in the hands of our customers, but our confidence in the stabilizing market is growing,” Chief Executive Borje Ekholm said on an analyst call Friday. “We are starting to see a change in sentiment.” He later said, “5G has not been built out. If you take the North American market, 5G standalone is not rolled out [1.]. London in Europe has very limited buildout. Most of the time when you get the 5G icon on your phone, you are basically on dynamic spectrum sharing using 4G spectrum.”
Note 1. Not true. Both T-Mobile and Dish Network have deployed 5G SA networks.
“I think the whole world is moving from a cost-optimized supply chain to resilience. You need to factor in resilience in the supply chain and that is why we built a US factory, and we are investing to increase capacity in the U.S. as well,” said Ekholm.
On that analysts call, Chief Financial Officer Lars Sandstrom said the company has production in North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia and India, so it has the opportunity to move production between different sites depending on President Trump’s plans. “Of course tariffs could have an impact going into 2025, but I think we’re all waiting a little bit to what is going to happen there,” he said, adding that there might also be tariff exemptions for critical products.
Ericsson said restructuring charges rose to 1.6 billion kronor in the quarter, mainly related to redundancies, efficiency measures and right-sizing operations to align with lower demand in some markets. The company said that restructuring charges for 2025 are expected to remain at elevated levels. Indeed, Ericsson has heavily cut costs, eliminating 9,400 “internal and external” jobs in 2024. The net reduction leaves the company with 94,236 employees, down from 99,952 a year earlier and more than 111,000 back in 2017, when Ekholm first took charge. Over this period, it has retreated from various activities in TV and cloud hardware to concentrate on 5G, although its $6.2 billion takeover of Vonage in 2022 brought additional staff into the business.
Ekholm acknowledged what IEEE Techblog readers already know – that mobile network data traffic growth has slowed down, which reduces demand for Ericsson’s products. Ericsson’s response has included putting heavy emphasis on the concept of programmability, whereby 5G networks could be dynamically adapted to support different services and scenarios, including artificial intelligence (AI) applications.
“The network needs to be prepared for the AI traffic,” said Ekholm. “It’s going to require more uplink. It’s going to require a different performance of the network. That, I think, may be more important in the next few years as a traffic definition. So yes, overall traffic is probably going to continue to taper down. But I think the demand coming from the new applications on top will materially impact the way you need to invest in the network.” However, that AI RAN initiative is in its infancy and yet to be commercially deployed.
References:
https://www.lightreading.com/5g/ericsson-boosted-by-us-but-axed-9-400-jobs-last-year
https://about.att.com/story/2023/commercial-scale-open-radio-access-network.html
vRAN market disappoints – just like OpenRAN and mobile 5G
The case for and against AI-RAN technology using Nvidia or AMD GPUs
Dell’Oro & Omdia: Global RAN market declined in 2023 and again in 2024
Latest Ericsson Mobility Report talks up 5G SA networks (?) and FWA (!)
Beyon partners with Ericsson to build energy-efficient wireless networks in Bahrain
Ericsson and e& (UAE) sign MoU for 6G collaboration vs ITU-R IMT-2030 framework
Dell’Oro: RAN market still declining with Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE and Samsung top vendors
Ericsson on 5G use cases: remote surgery, augmented and virtual reality with AI agent all depend on 3GPP URLLC specs
Nokia (like Ericsson) announces fresh wave of job cuts; Ericsson lays off 240 more in China
Swisscom (with Ericsson) to offer the world’s best and most sustainable mobile network
vRAN market disappoints – just like OpenRAN and mobile 5G
Most wireless network operators are not convinced virtual RAN (vRAN) [1.] is worth the effort to deploy. Omdia, an analyst company owned by Informa, put vRAN’s share of the total market for RAN baseband products at just 10% in 2023. It is growing slowly, with 20% market share forecast by 2028, but it far from being the default RAN architectural choice.
Among the highly touted benefits of virtualization is the ability for RAN developers to exploit the much bigger economies of scale found in the mainstream IT market. “General-purpose technology will eventually have so much investment in it that it will outpace custom silicon,” said Sachin Katti, the general manager of Intel’s network and edge group, during a previous Light Reading interview.
Note 1. The key feature of vRAN is the virtualization of RAN functions, allowing operators to perform baseband operations on standard servers instead of dedicated hardware. The Asia Pacific region is currently leading in vRAN adoption due to rapid 5G deployment in countries like China, South Korea, and Japan. Samsung has established a strong presence as a supplier of vRAN equipment and software.
The whole market for RAN products generated revenues of just $40 billion in 2023. Intel alone made $54.2 billion in sales that same year. Yet Huawei, Ericsson and Nokia, the big players in RAN base station technology, have continued to miniaturize and advance their custom chips. Nokia boasts 5-nanometer chips in its latest products and last year lured Derek Urbaniak, a highly regarded semiconductor expert, from Ericsson in a sign it wants to play an even bigger role in custom chip development.
Ericsson collaborates closely with Intel on virtual RAN, and yet it has repeatedly insisted its application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) perform better than Intel’s CPUs in 5G. One year ago, Michael Begley, Ericsson’s head of RAN compute, told Light Reading that “purpose-built hardware will continue to be the most energy-efficient and compact hardware for radio site deployments going forward.”
Intel previously suffered delays when moving to smaller designs and there is gloominess about its prospects as note in several IEEE Techblog posts like this one and this one. Intel suffered a $17 billion loss for the quarter ending in September, after reporting a small $300 million profit a year before. Sales fell 6% year-over-year, to $13.3 billion, over this same period.
Unfortunately, for telcos eyeing virtualization, Intel is all they really have. Its dominance of the small market for virtual RAN has not been weakened in the last couple of years, leaving operators with no viable alternatives. This was made apparent in a recent blog post by Ericsson, which listed Intel as the only commercial-grade chip solution for virtual RAN. AMD was at the “active engagement” stage, said Ericsson last November. Processors based on the blueprints of ARM, a UK-based chip designer that licenses its designs, were not even mentioned.
The same economies-of-scale case for virtual RAN is now being made about Nvidia and its graphical processing units (GPUs), which Nvidia boss Jensen Huang seems eager to pitch as a kind of general-purpose AI successor to more humdrum CPUs. If the RAN market is too small, and its developers must ride in the slipstream of a much bigger market, Nvidia and its burgeoning ecosystem may seem a safer bet than Intel. And the GPU maker already has a RAN pitch, including a lineup of Arm-based CPUs to host some of the RAN software.
Semiconductor-related economies of scale, should not be the sole benefit of a virtual RAN. “With a lot of the work that’s been done around orchestration, you can deploy new software to hundreds of sites in a couple of hours in a way that was not feasible before,” said Alok Shah of Samsung Electronics. Architecturally, virtualization should allow an operator to host its RAN on the same cloud-computing infrastructure used for other telco and IT workloads. With a purpose-built RAN, an operator would be using multiple infrastructure platforms.
In telecom markets without much fiber or fronthaul infrastructure there is unlikely to be much centralization of RAN compute. This necessitates the deployment of servers at mast sites, where it is hard to see them being used for anything but the RAN. Even if a company wanted to host other applications at a mobile site, the processing power of Sapphire Rapids, the latest Intel generation, is fully consumed by the functions of the virtual distributed unit (vDU), according to Shah. “I would say the vDU function is kind of swallowing up the whole server,” he said.
Indeed, for all the talk of total cost of ownership (TCO) savings, some deployments of Sapphire Rapids have even had to feature two servers at a site to support a full 5G service, according to Paul Miller, the chief technology officer of Wind River, which provides the cloud-computing platform for Samsung’s virtual RAN in Verizon’s network. Miller expects that to change with Granite Rapids, the forthcoming successor technology to Sapphire Rapids. “It’s going to be a bit of a sea change for the network from a TCO perspective – that you may be able to get things that took two servers previously, like low-band and mid-band 5G, onto a single server,” he said.
Samsung’s Shah is hopeful Granite Rapids will even free up compute capacity for other types of applications. “We’ll have to see how that plays out, but the opportunity is there, I think, in the future, as we get to that next generation of compute.” In the absence of many alternative processor platforms, especially for telcos rejecting the inline virtual RAN approach, Intel will be under pressure to make sure the journey for Granite Rapids is less turbulent than it sounds.
Another challenge is the mobile backhaul, which is expected to limit the growth of the vRAN industry. Backhaul connectivity ia central s widely used in wireless networks to transfer a signal from a remote cell site to the core network (typically the edge of the Internet). The two main methods of mobile backhaul implementations are fiber-based and wireless point-to-point backhaul.
The pace of data delivery suffers in tiny cell networks with poor mobile network connectivity. Data management is becoming more and more important as tiny cells are employed for network connectivity. Increased data traffic across small cells, which raises questions about data security, is mostly to blame for poor data management. vRAN solutions promise improved network resiliency and utilization, faster network routing, and better-optimized network architecture to meet the diverse 5G requirements of enterprise customers.
References:
https://www.lightreading.com/5g/virtual-ran-still-seems-to-be-not-worth-the-effort
https://www.ericsson.com/en/blog/north-america/2024/open-ran-progress-report
https://www.sdxcentral.com/5g/ran/definitions/vran/
LightCounting: Open RAN/vRAN market is pausing and regrouping
Dell’Oro: Private 5G ecosystem is evolving; vRAN gaining momentum; skepticism increasing
Huawei CTO Says No to Open RAN and Virtualized RAN
Heavy Reading: How network operators will deploy Open RAN and cloud native vRAN
Beyon partners with Ericsson to build energy-efficient wireless networks in Bahrain
Bahrain based Beyon announced it has renewed its sustainability Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Ericsson to expand their joint sustainability initiatives and circular economy practices for building energy-efficient networks in Bahrain.
The MoU renewal was signed by Beyon Chief Communications & Sustainability Officer Shaikh Bader bin Rashid Al Khalifa and Vice President and Head of Gulf Council Countries at Ericsson Middle East and Africa, Nicolas Blixell.
The companies also announced the successful outcomes of their sustainability collaboration, signed in early 2024, for accelerating the journey to a Net Zero future for both companies and managing Waste from Electronic and Electrical Equipment (WEEE).
Key achievements during the year include the initiation of ‘Ericsson Product Take-Back Programme’, which addresses the issue of e-waste and enables recycling of end-of-life electronic and electrical equipment in a responsible and sustainable way.
Software such as Cell Sleep Mode and Artificial Intelligence (AI)-powered MIMO Sleep Mode were also implemented on pilot sites, leading to a 22% average reduction in energy consumption where the features were activated.
Another 18% percent energy reduction was apparently achieved through the deployment of the single-antenna footprint Interleaved AIR 3218, compared to AIR 3227, to provide “5G Massive MIMO while addressing space constraints on rooftops and towers.”
“Our partnership with Ericsson demonstrates the substantial progress that can be made through focused sustainability initiatives,” said Shaikh Bader bin Rashid Al Khalifa, Beyon Chief Communications & Sustainability Officer. “The outcomes reflect our commitment to energy efficiency and our goal to reduce our environmental footprint through innovative technologies and circular economy practices. Ultimately these efforts fall in line with the Kingdom of Bahrain’s vision to achieve its sustainable development goals of 2030.”
Nicolas Blixell, Vice President and Head of Gulf Council Countries at Ericsson Middle East and Africa added: “The results of our collaboration with Beyon highlight the role of technologies in achieving sustainability goals. By leveraging our expertise and technologies, we have been able to deliver measurable energy savings and support Beyon in their journey towards Net Zero.”
Earlier this year, Three and Ericsson claimed to have improved energy efficiency by up to 70% at selected sites through AI, data analytics and a ‘Micro Sleep’ feature. The deployment of ‘next-generation AI-powered hardware and software solutions’ from Ericsson is part of a network modernisation initiative Three had been engaged in over the previous 18 months, we were told at the time.
Ericsson and Beyon share a longstanding relationship, through its telecom arm Batelco, with this sustainability collaboration marking another milestone in their efforts to enhance network efficiency and environmental performance across Beyon’s operations.
References:
AT&T to deploy Fujitsu and Mavenir radio’s in crowded urban areas
AT&T announced today that it has signed new agreements with Fujitsu and Mavenir to develop radios specifically for crowded urban areas in its Open RAN deployment using Ericsson hardware and software. The goal is to improve network performance and coverage in cities with lots of mobile data traffic.
These radios will be open C-band radios (TDD 4T4R) and dual band radios (B25/B66 FDD 4T4R) which can be attached to existing utility and light poles. They can often be hidden, making them virtually unseen from street level. We are continuing to look for opportunities to bring additional third-party radios into the network when needed.
All open radios will be managed by Ericsson’s Intelligent Automation Platform (EIAP) via open management interfaces. EIAP is Ericsson’s open network management and service orchestration platform. It supports replacing the old legacy equipment and installing the new radios without missing a beat.
When Open RAN architectures are combined with innovative applications called ‘rApps’ from either the operator or third parties, they can greatly improve the customer experience. This is achieved through better network performance, wider coverage, cost efficiency, and fosters innovation. ‘rAPPs’ are expected to play a critical role in managing and sustaining third party radio innovation opportunities.
AT&T is moving 70% of its 5G network traffic to flow across Open RAN hardware by late 2026 – our customers can relax and enjoy a better wireless experience.
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Mavenir has been selling open RAN software for years, but it entered the 5G radio sector in 2022 with its OpenBeam brand. Mavenir’s radios for AT&T will be managed by Ericsson’s Intelligent Automation Platform (EIAP).
AT&T said it would only use Mavenir radios in “crowded urban areas,” which are typically covered by small cell radios rather than massive macro cell sites. The operator did not say how many Mavenir radios it would use nor when it might start deploying those radios.
“Maybe the initial thinking is it’s small cells, but there’s a bigger strategy at play here,” AT&T’s Jeff McElfresh said during a media event on Tuesday. McElfresh explained that small cells could play an important role inside AT&T’s network as network traffic increases. After all, small cells are viewed as a way to increase overall wireless network capacity in the absence of additional spectrum.
Mavenir’s other 5G radio customers include Paradise Mobile and Triangle Communications.
Aramco Digital, the tech-focused subsidiary of oil giant Saudi Aramco, is poised to invest $1 billion into Mavenir for a significant minority stake in the business.
That cash is needed. S&P Global recently warned that Mavenir is close to default or restructuring because it has insufficient funds to cover looming debt obligations.
References:
https://about.att.com/blogs/2024/open-ran-new-collaborations.html
https://www.lightreading.com/open-ran/at-t-to-deploy-radios-from-mavenir
NTT advert in WSJ: Why O-RAN Will Change Everything; AT&T selects Ericsson for its O-RAN
Latest Ericsson Mobility Report talks up 5G SA networks (?) and FWA (!)
Ericsson’s November 2024 Mobility Report predicts that global 5G standalone (SA) connections will top 3.6 billion by 2030. That compares to 890 million at the end of 2023. Over that same period of time, 5G SA as a proportion of global mobile subscriptions is expected to increase from 10.5% to 38.4%, while average monthly smartphone data consumption will grow to 40 GB from 17.2 GB. By the end of the decade, 80% of total mobile data traffic will be carried by 5G networks.
That rosy forecast is in sharp contrast to the extremely slow and disappointing pace of 5G SA deployments to date. In January, Dell’Oro counted only 12 new 5G SA deployments in 2023, compared to the 18 in 2022. “The biggest surprise for 2023 was the lack of 5G SA deployments by AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom EE, Deutsche Telekom, and other Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) around the globe. As we’ve stated for years, 5G SA is required to realize 5G features like security, network slicing, and MEC to name a few.”
Fifty 5G Standalone enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB) networks commercially deployed (2020 – 2023):
The report states, “Although 5G population coverage is growing worldwide, 5G mid-band is only deployed in around 30% of all sites globally outside of mainland China. Further densification is required to harness the full potential of 5G.” Among the report highlights:
- Global 5G subscriptions will reach around 6.3 billion in 2030, equaling 67% of total mobile subscriptions.
- 5G subscriptions will overtake 4G subs in 2027.
- 5G is expected to carry 80% of total mobile data traffic by the end of 2030.
- 5G SA subscriptions are projected to reach around 3.6 billion in 2030.
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report -Nov 2024
“Service differentiation and performance-based opportunities are crucial as our industry evolves,” said Fredrik Jejdling, EVP and head of Ericsson’s networks division. “The shift towards high-performing programmable networks, enabled by openness and cloud, will empower service providers to offer and charge for services based on the value delivered, not merely data volume,” he added.
The Mobility Report provides two case studies in T-Mobile US and Finland’s Elisa – both of which have rolled out network slicing on their 5G SA networks and co-authored that section of the report:
- T-Mobile has been testing a high priority network slice to carry mission-critical data during special events.
- Elisa has configured a slice to support stable, high-capacity throughput for users of its premium fixed-wireless access (FWA) service, called Omakaista.
The Mobility Report doesn’t say if those two telcos are deriving any monetary benefit from network slicing, or more broadly from their 5G SA networks.
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The Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) market has momentum:
- Ericsson predicts FWA connections will reach 159 million this year, up from 131 million in 2023.
- By 2030, connections are expected to hit 350 million, with 80% carried by 5G networks.
- In four out of six regions, 83% or more wireless telcos now offer FWA.
- The number of FWA service providers offering speed-based tariff plans – with downlink and uplink data parameters similar to cable or fiber offerings – has increased from 30% to 43% in the last year alone.
- An updated Ericsson study of retail packages offered by mobile service providers reveals that 79% have a FWA offering.
- There are 131 service providers offering FWA services over 5G, representing 54 percent of all FWA service providers.
- In the past 12 months, Europe has accounted for 73%of all new 5G FWA launches globally.
- Currently, 94% of service providers in the Gulf Cooperation Council region offer 5G FWA services.
- In the U.S. two service providers (T-Mobile US and Verizon) originally set a goal to achieve a combined 11–13 million 5G FWA connections by 2025. After reaching this target ahead of schedule, they have now revised their goal to 20–21 million connections by 2028.
- The market in India is rapidly accelerating, with 5G FWA connections reaching nearly 3 million in just over a year since launch. • An increasing number of service providers are launching FWA based on 5G standalone (SA).
References:
https://www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/mobility-report/reports/november-2024
https://www.ericsson.com/4ad0df/assets/local/reports-papers/mobility-report/documents/2024/ericsson-mobility-report-november-2024.pdf
5G Advanced offers opportunities for new revenue streams; 3GPP specs for 5G FWA?
FWA a bright spot in otherwise gloomy Internet access market
Where Have You Gone 5G? Midband spectrum, FWA, 2024 decline in CAPEX and RAN revenue
GSA: More 5G SA devices, but commercial 5G SA deployments lag
Vodafone UK report touts benefits of 5G SA for Small Biz; cover for proposed merger with Three UK?
Building and Operating a Cloud Native 5G SA Core Network
Ericsson and e& (UAE) sign MoU for 6G collaboration vs ITU-R IMT-2030 framework
Ericsson and United Arab Emirates (UAE) network operator e& have signed of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), for the collaborative exploration of 6G technology, its use cases and future network evolution. It will also include a series of technical discussions and engagements aimed at jointly exploring key 6G technology concepts.
The purpose of this MoU is unclear, as the definition work for 6G RANs will be done in ITU-R WP5D with the specs likely to come from 3GPP. So any 6G MoU would have to be based on the ITU-R IMT-2030 framework (see figures below and References).
Khalid Murshed, Chief Technology and Information Officer, e& UAE, says: “e& UAE has pioneered new technologies since 1976 powering people and societies. This collaboration is a testament to our dedication for driving the digital future and pushing the boundaries of a more connected and technologically advanced future. We are thrilled to partner with Ericsson on exploring 6G and its future network evolution.”
Ekow Nelson, Vice President and Head of Global Customer Unit for e& at Ericsson Middle East and Africa, says: “We have barely scratched the surface with 5G which will overtake 4G and become the dominant mobile technology after 2027 and, with 5G Standalone and 5G Advanced, realize its transformative potential over the next several years. At the same time, we have started the proactive approach to 6G research with our partners to shape the next generation of mobile networks. Collaborating closely with e& UAE, we aim to leverage our shared expertise to drive progress in the development of 6G for the United Arab Emirates, and the wider region.”
Photo credit: Ericsson
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From the ITU-R IMT-2030 framework:
References:
ITU-R: IMT-2030 (6G) Backgrounder and Envisioned Capabilities
ITU-R WP5D invites IMT-2030 RIT/SRIT contributions
Highlights of 3GPP Stage 1 Workshop on IMT 2030 (6G) Use Cases
NGMN issues ITU-R framework for IMT-2030 vs ITU-R WP5D Timeline for RIT/SRIT Standardization
T‑Mobile achieves record 5G Uplink speed with 5G NR Dual Connectivity
T-Mobile US claims it broke a world record with its 5G standalone (SA) network via a new feature called New Radio Dual Connectivity (5G DC) [1.]. With 5G DC. The so called “Un-carrier” was able to massively increase uplink throughput and capacity, reaching peak speeds of 2.2 Gbps — that’s the fastest recorded anywhere in the world — and demonstrates the technology’s potential to create serious efficiencies in how data is transmitted from devices to the network.
Note 1. New Radio Dual Connectivity (NR-DC) is a dual connectivity configuration that uses the 5G standalone core (specified by 3GPP but not standardized by ITU-R or ITU-T). In this configuration, both the primary and secondary RAN nodes are 5G gNBs. NR-DC was was specified in 3GPP Release 15 along with simultaneous receive (Rx) / transmit (Tx) band combinations for NR CA/DC.
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To put T-Mo’s 2.2 Gbps uplink speed into context, the latest report from connectivity data specialist Ookla puts the median mobile upload speed in the U.S. at 8.41 Mbps, although that’s across networks. T-Mobile is ahead of major rivals AT&T and Verizon with a median upload speed of 12.19 Mbps.
In June Ookla stated that while U.S. network operators have invested heavily in improving 5G download speeds, “5G upload and latency performance need more attention.” Its data at the time showed Verizon and T-Mobile had comparable 5G upload at just above 15 Mbps, while AT&T lagged somewhat at closer to the 10 Mbps mark.
5G DC enables the Un-carrier to aggregate 2.5 GHz and mmWave spectrum, allowing for an insane boost to uplink throughput and capacity. In this test, T-Mobile was able to allocate 60% of the mmWave radio resources for uplink where previous use cases typically allowed up to 20%. Completed on T-Mobile’s 5G SA production network in SoFi Stadium in Southern California with equipment and 5G DC solution from Ericsson and a mobile test smartphone powered by a flagship Snapdragon® X80 5G Modem-RF System from Qualcomm Technologies, Inc., this test changes the game for providers looking to offer customers and businesses the best experience possible at crowded events.
“With 5G DC, T-Mobile is pushing the boundaries of what’s possible to create better experiences in the places that matter most to our customers,” said Ulf Ewaldsson, President of Technology at T-Mobile. “This accomplishment is a testament to the network we’ve built over the last five years and our ability to deliver unparalleled capabilities that extend beyond the devices in our pockets.”
For those in the know, download speeds typically reign as the top network performance metric, but with recent strides in uplink capabilities and increasingly demanding tasks, upload speed is becoming more important than ever, especially for live events, mobile gaming and extended reality applications.
Because of this, SoFi Stadium served as the perfect test site for 5G DC. Every year, millions of people flock to the stadium for the latest football game or to catch their favorite artists in concert. Naturally, all these people want to post, livestream and share their experiences in real-time, which can sometimes be a challenge at crowded events with limited capacity. Not to mention broadcast crews who need to upload high-definition content to production teams in real-time for those watching at home. With 5G DC and T-Mobile, all of this gets done faster than ever, alleviating posting FOMO and production crew headaches.
Mårten Lerner, Head of Product Area Networks at Ericsson, said: “High uplink speeds are essential for delivering immersive experiences and reliable 5G connectivity. This mirrors one of our key objectives with the recent launch of Ericsson 5G Advanced, which is to elevate user experience by enhancing network performance for more interactive applications. This 5G uplink speed milestone, achieved with T-Mobile and Qualcomm, underscores our commitment to taking user experience to unprecedented levels.”
“We are incredibly proud to achieve yet another world record with T-Mobile. This groundbreaking achievement shows what could be possible with 5G DC and how it can bring new, unparalleled experiences to consumers, especially at large events like football games and concerts,” said Sunil Patil, Vice President, Product Management, Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. “We will continue our close collaboration with global innovators like T-Mobile and Ericsson to push the boundaries and unlock the full potential of 5G.”
5G network covers more than 330 million people across two million square miles. More than 300 million people nationwide are covered by T-Mobile’s super-fast Ultra Capacity 5G with over 2x more square miles of coverage than similar mid-band 5G offerings from the Un-carrier’s closest competitors.
For more information on T-Mobile’s network, visit T-Mobile.com/coverage.
References:
https://www.t-mobile.com/news/network/t-mobile-shatters-for-5g-uplink-speed
https://www.telecoms.com/5g-6g/t-mobile-us-uses-5g-dc-to-claim-uplink-speed-record
Telstra achieves 340 Mbps uplink over 5G SA; Deploys dynamic network slicing from Ericsson
Finland’s Elisa, Ericsson and Qualcomm test uplink carrier aggregation on 5G SA network
Ericsson and MediaTek set new 5G uplink speed record using Uplink Carrier Aggregation
Samsung-Mediatek 5G uplink trial with 3 transmit antennas
Dish Wireless with Qualcomm Technologies and Samsung test simultaneous 5G 2x uplink and 4x downlink carrier aggregation
BT, Nokia and Qualcomm demonstrate 2CC CA on uplink of a 5G SA network
New venture to sell Network Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) on a global scale
Overview:
Some of the world’s largest telecom operators, including América Móvil, AT&T, Bharti Airtel, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Reliance Jio, Singtel, Telefonica, Telstra, T-Mobile, Verizon and Vodafone, together with network gear maker Ericsson (the largest shareholder) are announcing a new venture to combine and sell network Application Programming Interfaces (APIs) on a global scale to spur innovation in digital services. Network APIs are the way to easily access, use and pay for network capabilities. The venture will drive implementation and access to common APIs from multiple telecom service providers to a broader ecosystem of developer platforms. All the APIs on offer will be based on CAMARA – the open source API project led by the GSMA and the Linux Foundation.
Modern mobile networks have advanced and intelligent capabilities, which have historically been inaccessible to developers. Additionally, it has been impractical for developers to integrate the different capabilities of hundreds of individual telecom operators. The newly formed company will combine network APIs globally, with a vision that new applications will work anywhere and on any network, making it easier and quicker for developers to innovate.
Easily accessible advanced network capabilities will open up the next frontier in app development and empower developers to create new use cases across many sectors. These could include anti-fraud verification for financial transactions and the ability to check device status so streaming providers can dynamically adjust video quality.
The newly formed company will provide network APIs to a broad ecosystem of developer platforms, including hyperscalers (HCPs), Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) providers, System Integrators (SIs) and Independent Software Vendors (ISVs), based on existing industry-wide CAMARA APIs (the open-source project driven by the GSMA and the Linux Foundation). Vonage and Google Cloud will partner with the new company, providing access to their ecosystems of millions of developers as well as their partners. The new venture shareholders will bring funding and important assets, including Ericsson’s platform and network expertise, global telecom operator relationships, knowledge of the developer community and each telecom operator’s network APIs, expertise and marketing.
Ericsson-owned Vonage and Google Cloud have already agreed to partner with the new venture, providing access to their respective ecosystems of millions of developers as well as their partners.
“We have a common concern that we’ve made it difficult for developers to program on wireless networks,” said Niklas Heuveldop, CEO of Vonage, stressing that this initiative is all about removing any friction and roadblocks that may be preventing developers taking full advantage of the programmable networks opportunity. He added that, for Vonage, this means a smaller piece of a bigger network API pie.
Closing of the transaction is expected early 2025, subject to regulatory approvals and other customary conditions. Upon closing, Ericsson will hold 50% of the equity in the venture while the telecom providers will hold 50% in total. Built on a deep understanding of developer and enterprise needs and in keeping with the industry-body GSMA Open Gateway principles, the new venture’s platform and partner ecosystem will remain open and non-discriminatory to maximize value creation across the industry.
Comment and Analysis:
Much has already been made of the industry’s decision to open up and (attempt) to monetize network APIs. Optimistic estimates, like the one proffered by McKinsey, claim that network APIs represent a $300 billion opportunity for telcos between now and the end of the decade. However, some like Kearney, have warned that all will be for naught without proper industry coordination and collaboration to drive software developer uptake.
“Today’s announcement is an important step in that direction by addressing one of the major challenges for developers seeking to engage with mobile operators – sector fragmentation,” said Kester Mann, director of consumer and connectivity at CCS Insight. “In the past, the telecom industry – with many competing players each deploying different strategies for their specific regions – has struggled to present a united and coherent front.” Despite their dubious track record, Mann reckons this particular venture stands a better chance of success than most, thanks to the urgent need for operators to earn a return on 5G, and due to the involvement of major technology partners in the form of Google and Ericsson. “There should be fresh optimism that the new company unveiled will enjoy more success than previous failed ventures,” he added.
While open network APIs will work on compatible hardware from any vendor – whether it’s Nokia or Ericsson or Huawei – this new venture represents an opportunity for Ericsson to play a central role in the emerging ecosystem.
Quotes from the partners:
América Móvil
Daniel Hajj, Chief Executive Officer, AMX: “We are very excited to join Ericsson and other key players in our industry in this innovative global platform initiative that will benefit the digital ecosystem as a whole. New API solutions will establish exciting value-added offerings to our customers on the top of our networks’ infrastructure.”
AT&T
Jeremy Legg, Chief Technology Officer, AT&T: “At AT&T, we’ve been creating API tools to empower developers for well over a decade. Now, with a broad-based, interoperable API platform, we’re giving innovators a new global toolbox where the world’s best app developers can create exciting user experiences at scale. This high-performance mobile ecosystem will usher in a new era of greater possibility for customers and mobile users around the world.”
Bharti Airtel
Gopal Vittal, Managing Director and CEO, Bharti Airtel: “Today marks a defining moment as the industry comes together to form a unified platform that will allow more developers and businesses to utilize our networks and explore API opportunities through open gateway principles. This move will enhance network monetization opportunities. Airtel is delighted to partner in this initiative that will help enable the telecom sector to drive growth and innovation across the ecosystem.”
Deutsche Telekom
Tim Höttges, CEO of Deutsche Telekom: “The new company accelerates our leading work with MagentaBusiness APIs to expose our network capabilities for customers and developers. We believe that this company will open up new monetization opportunities for the industry. We encourage and look forward to more telecom operators joining us to expand and develop this ecosystem.”
Ericsson
Börje Ekholm, President and CEO, Ericsson: “Today is a defining moment for the industry and milestone in our strategy to open up the network for increased monetization opportunities. A global platform built on Ericsson’s deep technical capabilities and with a comprehensive ecosystem, that provides millions of developers with a single connection, will enable the telecom industry to invest deeper into the network API opportunity, driving growth and innovation for everyone.”
Orange
Christel Heydemann, Chief Executive Officer, Orange: “This is a critical first step in our innovation journey to fully harness the power of our networks at scale, providing secure access to new on-demand network services and advanced network capabilities. By delivering a common and simple set of network APIs for developers globally, we can unleash this network value for businesses, large and small. This is a definitive gamechanger for businesses, opening up the possibility of a new wave of digital services.”
Reliance Jio
Mathew Oommen, President, Reliance Jio: “We spearheaded the transformation of both mobile and fixed home broadband by delivering affordable, high-quality broadband to everyone, across India. As we rapidly adopt an AI and API-driven technology ecosystem—by collaborating with global leaders, Jio is thrilled to offer a suite of innovative and transformative APIs to enterprises and developers worldwide. Together, we are not just building networks; we are laying the foundation for a smarter, more connected, and inclusive world in the AI era.”
Singtel
Mr Yuen Kuan Moon, Group Chief Executive Officer, Singtel: “This unified platform and global eco-system will enable even more developers and businesses to leverage 5G quality networks to exploit API opportunities using GSMA’s open gateway principles. We look forward to helping even more enterprises and organizations in Asia to use network API solutions to drive growth and innovation through this timely collaboration.”
Telefonica
José María Álvarez-Pallete, Chairman & CEO of Telefónica: “This collaboration will drive the GSMA Open Gateway initiative and provide customers with a consistent set of Camara APIs. Our belief is that this industry movement, which will be open to all networks, can set the stage for unprecedented innovation and value creation for the sector, by unlocking the potential of network capabilities.”
Telstra
Vicki Brady, CEO of Telstra: “This is a groundbreaking initiative for our industry. This new global venture will create an ecosystem that provides developers, partners and customers with access to programmable, advanced network capabilities that will unleash a new wave of innovation in digital services and further unlocks the benefits of our 5G network. We’ve been making good progress locally with Ericsson and other partners, and we look forward to further accelerating digital transformation for our Australian customers and bringing value and simplicity to application developers around the world.”
T-Mobile
Ulf Ewaldsson, President of Technology, T-Mobile: “At T-Mobile, we’ve always been laser focused on championing change across the industry to create the best customer experiences, while fueling growth and innovation across the entire wireless ecosystem. That level of transformation takes unprecedented collaboration and expertise. We are excited about the possibilities this venture will create for developers and wireless customers around the world.”
Verizon
Joe Russo, EVP & President, Global Network and Technology of Verizon: “The depth and value of the services and data insights accessible through Verizon’s renowned 5G network are practically boundless. Verizon has been at the forefront of developing various network APIs to assist developers in enhancing customer security, reducing pain points in customer interactions, and enabling the creation of novel experiences. This exciting collaboration with global partners will broaden the availability of these services and accelerate adoption of APIs worldwide.”
Vodafone
Margherita Della Valle, Vodafone Group Chief Executive, said: “Network APIs are reshaping our industry. This pioneering partnership will enable businesses and developers to use the collective strength of our global networks to develop applications that drive growth, create jobs, and improve public services. Just as 4G and smartphones made apps integral to our everyday life, the power of our 5G network will stimulate the next wave of digital services.”
Google Cloud
Thomas Kurian, CEO of Google Cloud: “We understand the power of an open platform and ecosystem in driving innovation. We are proud to participate in this important partnership in the telco industry to create value for our global customers via network APIs – and ultimately deliver on the promise of the public cloud.”
Vonage
Niklas Heuveldop, CEO Vonage: “This groundbreaking, open industry collaboration effectively removes the single largest barrier for developers to leverage mobile networks to their full potential. Developers across the world’s leading developer platforms will benefit from accessing advanced network capabilities in partner networks globally through common APIs, accelerating the digital transformation of businesses and the public sector. As one of the leading developer platforms, we look forward to engaging our developer community as we grow the network API business.”
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References: