Grand View Research: 5G New Radio Market to be Worth $251.37B by 2030

The global 5G New Radio (5G NR) market size is expected to reach $251.37 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 29.1% from 2023 to 2030, according to a new report by Grand View Research, Inc.

The market research firm says the 5G New Radio (NR) market is being driven by a number of factors, including the increasing demand for high-speed and low-latency connectivity, the growth of the Internet of Things (IoT) and Machine-to-Machine (M2M) communications, and the increasing adoption of cloud-based technologies.

Additionally, the need for faster and more reliable communication networks to support emerging applications such as autonomous vehicles, augmented reality and virtual reality, and remote healthcare is also driving the growth of the 5G New Radio market.

Key Industry Insights & Findings from the report:

  • The hardware segment dominated the market in 2022 owing to the growing need for sophisticated radio units like as massive MIMO and beamforming, which provide higher coverage and capacity while also assisting in resource optimization, is a crucial element driving the segment growth.
  • The Sub-6 GHz segment dominated the market in 2022 owing to Sub-6 GHz spectrum bands ability to provide a strong combination of coverage and capacity, making them suited for offering high-speed connection to large numbers of users, is a primary driver driving sector expansion.
  • The Standalone (SA) segment is projected to expand at the highest CAGR owing to the advantages over Non-Standalone (NSA), including faster network performance and lower latency.
  • The Ultra-reliable Low-latency Communications (URLLC) segment is expected to grow significantly over the forecast period. The growing need for mission-critical applications requiring high reliability and low latency is propelling the URLLC segment in the 5G New Radio (NR) market.
  • However, neither the current 3GPP specs or ITU-R M.2150 standards meet the URLLC performance requirements in ITU-R M.2410.  That is because 3GPP Release 16 URLLC in the RAN has yet to be completed and performance tested.
  • The manufacturing segment is projected to expand at the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The potential of 5G NR technology to provide real-time monitoring and management of industrial processes, which leads to higher efficiency and productivity, is a key element influencing the segment growth.
  • Asia Pacific dominated the regional market in 2022. The region has a sizable population and a rising number of mobile customers, which is fueling demand for innovative apps and high-speed internet services.

Industry Insights:

The telecom and IT segment dominated the market in 2022 and accounted for more than 30.0% share of the global revenue. The growing adoption of cloud-native technologies, which allow operators to virtualize network functions and deploy them on cloud infrastructure, is a significant factor contributing to segment growth. With the increased speed, bandwidth, and capacity of 5G, telecommunication companies can offer faster and more reliable mobile connectivity to their customers, enabling new applications and services that were not possible with previous generations of wireless technology. This includes things like virtual and augmented reality, high-definition video streaming, and real-time gaming. Additionally, 5G networks are highly customizable, allowing telecommunication and IT companies to tailor their services to meet the specific needs of different industries and use cases.

Global 5G New Radio Market share and size, 2022To learn more about this report, request a free sample copy

The manufacturing segment is projected to expand at the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The ability of 5G NR technology to enable real-time monitoring and control of manufacturing processes, leading to greater efficiency and productivity is a significant factor contributing to the segment growth. For instance, 5G NR can facilitate the use of Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) sensors and devices, which can provide real-time data on machine performance, production line throughput, and other critical metrics. This data can be used to optimize processes, reduce downtime, and improve quality control. Additionally, 5G NR can enable remote access and control of manufacturing equipment, allowing for greater flexibility and responsiveness in managing production processes. These benefits can lead to increased profitability and competitiveness for manufacturers, driving the adoption of 5G NR solutions in the manufacturing industry.

Regional Insights:

The Asia Pacific region dominated the market in 2022 and accounted for more than 38.0% share of the global revenue. The increasing adoption of 5G technology in countries such as China, Japan, South Korea, and India is a major factor contributing to the regional growth. The region has a large population and a growing number of mobile subscribers, which is driving the demand for high-speed internet services and advanced applications. The governments in these countries are also investing heavily in the development of 5G infrastructure, which is expected to provide significant opportunities for telecom companies and network equipment providers in the region. Additionally, the region is witnessing a significant increase in the use of smartphones and other mobile devices, which is driving the demand for 5G-enabled devices and services.

5G New Radio Market Trends by Region, 2023 - 2030To learn more about this report, request a free sample copy

The North America region is projected to expand at the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Significant investment is being made in the development and implementation of 5G infrastructure in the area, owing to the growing demand for high-speed internet access, IoT applications, and cloud services. Furthermore, the use of technologies such as artificial intelligence, edge computing, and big data analytics is increasing, which is pushing the demand for high-performance 5G networks. Collaborations between telecom firms and technological behemoths to build and implement 5G networks and services are also developing in the area. In addition, the area has been an early user of 5G-enabled smartphones and other gadgets, which is projected to boost market development in the future years. Furthermore, the region has been an early adopter of 5G-enabled smartphones and other devices, which is expected to further drive the growth of the market in the coming years.

Key Companies & Market Share Insights:

Leading industry players are investing heavily in R&D to expand their product lines, which will help the 5G New Radio (NR) market thrive. Participants in the market are also expanding their global presence through a variety of strategic initiatives such as new product launches, collaborations, mergers and acquisitions, and cooperation. For instance, in February 2023, Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson, a telecommunication technology company, introduced new 5G indoor radio equipment and software to offer corporate use cases and monetization potential. Additionally, the telecom equipment manufacturer unveiled ten new radio devices spanning RAN and Transport to expand its range, with the goal of reaching net zero emissions in networks.Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson has also introduced the IRU 8850 radio for single or multi-operator deployment in medium to large venues such as airports, workplaces, and stadiums. The system can service up to eight venues from a single centralized site, with a 10km fiber reach.

Competitors in the 5G New Radio (NR) industry must provide cost-effective solutions in order to thrive and grow in a more competitive and evolving market environment. In the market, many companies are forming partnerships and working together with other market participants. They may take use of one other’s skills and resources in this way, giving their clients more comprehensive and integrated solutions. In order to expand into new areas and attract more customers, businesses are also expanding their geographical presence. Collaborations with regional players, investments in network infrastructure, and targeted marketing initiatives are all options. Some of the prominent players in the global 5G New Radio market include:

  • Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
  • Qualcomm Technologies, Inc
  • Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
  • Samsung
  • Intel Corporation
  • Cisco Systems Inc.
  • Fujitsu
  • NEC Corporation
  • Verizon Communications Inc.
  • Keysight Technologies

5G New Radio Market Report Scope:

Report Attribute Details
Market size value in 2023 USD 42.16 billion
Revenue forecast in 2030 USD 251.37 billion
Growth rate CAGR of 29.1% from 2023 to 2030
Base year of estimation 2022
Historical data 2019 – 2021
Forecast period 2023 – 2030
Quantitative units Revenue in USD billion, and CAGR from 2023 to 2030
Report coverage Revenue forecast, company market share, competitive landscape, growth factors, and trends
Segments covered Offering, operating frequency, architecture, application, industry, region
Regional scope North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; MEA
Country scope U.S.; Canada; UK; Germany; Spain; China; India; Japan; South Korea; Australia; Brazil; Mexico; Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA); UAE; South Africa .
Key companies profiled Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.; Qualcomm Technologies, Inc; Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson; Samsung; Intel Corporation; Cisco Systems Inc.; Fujitsu; NEC Corporation; Verizon Communications Inc.; Keysight Technologies.
Customization scope Free report customization (equivalent to up to 8 analysts working days) with purchase. Addition or alteration to country, regional & segment scope
Pricing and purchase options Avail customized purchase options to meet your exact research needs. Explore purchase options

 

 

References:

https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/5g-new-radio-market-to-be-worth-251-37-billion-by-2030-grand-view-research-inc-301874410.html

https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/5g-new-radio-nr-market-report

Omdia forecasts weaker 5G market growth in near term, 4G to remain dominant

Telecom TV Poll: How to maximize cloud-native opportunities?

The adoption of cloud-native methodologies, processes and tools has been a challenge for communications service providers (CSPs), aka telcos or network operators.

  • Telcos are embracing cloud-native processes and tools
  • It’s part of their evolution towards being digital service providers
  • But the cloud-native journey is still in its early stages
  • Real cultural change is needed if telcos are to capitalise fully on the cloud-native opportunities

Alongside a a session, Why cloud native is essential to delivering the automation, agility and innovation needed to support new services, at Telco TV’s DSP Leaders World Forum event in Windsor, UK, a poll was taken.  The following question was asked, “How can Digital Service Providers maximize the cloud-native opportunities?”  Respondents were able to select all the options they deemed relevant.  Here are the results:

Please check out the upcoming Cloud Native Telco Summit session on cloud-native application development to see what the industry experts have to say.

References:
https://www.telecomtv.com/content/cloud-native/cultural-change-key-to-cloud-native-success-poll-result-47971/

Omdia and Ericsson on telco transitioning to cloud native network functions (CNFs) and 5G SA core networks

Huawei Connect 2022: It’s Cloud Native everything!

Mediatek Dimensity 6000 series with lower power consumption for affordable 5G devices

 MediaTek [1.] today officially launched its new Dimensity 6000 series along with a chipset designed to enhance the next generation of mainstream 5G devices. The Dimensity 6100+ SoC delivers premium features—including exceptional power efficiency, vivid displays, high frame rates, AI-powered camera technologies, leading low power consumption, and reliable Sub-6 5G connectivity—at an accessible price point.

The ‘Enhanced’ 5G modem on the chip supports  3GPP Release 16, with up to 140 MHz 2CC 5G Carrier Aggregation (more details below). The SoC also uses MediaTek’s UltraSave 3.0+ technology that the company claims “significantly reduces 5G power consumption” by up to 20% when compared to other available solutions in the market.

Note 1.  Taiwan based Mediatek is one of 3 fabless semiconductor companies making and selling 5G baseband silicon.  The other 2 are Qualcomm and Unisoc (China).  In addition, Huawei and Samsung make 5G chips which are embedded in their 5G endpoint products, but not sold on the merchant semiconductor market.

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“As developing markets continue rolling out 5G networks at a rapid pace and operators in developed markets work to finish transitioning consumers from 4G LTE to 5G, there has never been a more vital need for chipsets that cater to the growing number of mainstream mobile devices that feature next-generation connectivity,” said CH Chen, Deputy General Manager of MediaTek’s Wireless Communications Business Unit. “The MediaTek Dimensity 6000 series makes it possible for device makers to stay ahead of the curve with impressive upgrades that boost performance, increase power efficiency and reduce material costs,” Chen added.

The Dimensity 6100+ integrates an enhanced 5G modem supporting 3GPP Release 16 with up to 140MHz 2CC 5G Carrier Aggregation, significantly reducing power consumption contributed by MediaTek UltraSave 3.0+ technology. This chip features two Arm Cortex-A76 big cores and six Arm Cortex-A55 efficiency cores, offering notable enhancements, including support for AI-powered cameras, 10-bit displays, outstanding UX and GPU performance, and rich peripheral features.

Other key features of the Dimensity 6100+ chipset include:

  • Up to 108MP Non-ZSL camera support.
  • Up to 2K 30fps video capture.
  • UltraSave 3.0+ technology offers 20% reduced 5G power consumption compared to competitive solutions.
  • Powerful camera features including AI-bokeh for stunning portraits and selfies; working with Arcsoft, MediaTek is also bringing AI-color technology to mainstream devices so users can showcase their creativity.
  • Premium 10-bit display support: Reproduces more than one billion colors for vibrant images and videos, along with support for 90Hz to 120Hz frame rates for a smooth user experience.

MediaTek’s broad 5G portfolio expands across different price tiers to make great mobile experiences more accessible. The Dimensity 9000 series is designed for flagship smartphones and tablets; the Dimensity 8000 family is geared for premium mobile devices; and the Dimensity 7000 lineup expands the company’s range of high-tech devices. The new Dimensity 6000 series will now democratize higher-end features to mainstream 5G devices.

The first smartphones featuring the Dimensity 6100+ chipset will be available in the third quarter of 2023.

References:

https://corp.mediatek.com/news-events/press-releases/mediatek-diversifies-mobile-offerings-with-dimensity-6000-series-for-mainstream-5g-devices

https://i.mediatek.com/mediatek-5g

Samsung-Mediatek 5G uplink trial with 3 transmit antennas

Ericsson and MediaTek set new 5G uplink speed record using Uplink Carrier Aggregation

MediaTek Introduces Global Ecosystem of Wi-Fi 7 Products at CES 2023

MediaTek to expand chipset portfolio to include WiFi7, smart homes, STBs, telematics and IoT

Nokia, China Mobile, MediaTek speed record of ~3 Gbps in 3CC carrier aggregation trial

Altice Launches Optimum 8 Gig Fiber Symmetric Internet Service

Altice USA’s Optimum is the latest provider to trot out a symmetrical 8-gig fiber tier, which Altice said is now available to more than 1.7 million residents and businesses across the company’s fiber footprint.  By year end, Optimum 8 Gig Fiber will be available to nearly 3 million passings and will expand as the Company’s fiber network build continues.

This launch represents the largest deployment of 8 Gig internet speeds in the country and cements Optimum as the nation’s largest 8 Gig internet provider, delivering the fastest Fiber Internet available in its serviceable footprint that is four times faster than Verizon, 60% faster than Frontier, and 32 times faster than T-Mobile 5G Home Internet.

                                                                        Reliability 

“After launching 2 and 5 Gig symmetrical Fiber Internet speeds last year, Optimum is pleased to have invested even further in our network and infrastructure to bring next level 8 Gig symmetrical internet speeds to our fiber footprint,” said Leroy Williams, Chief Growth Officer, Optimum. “Optimum is now the nation’s largest 8 Gig Fiber Internet provider, and availability will continue to increase as we deploy fiber to more homes and businesses as we solidify our position as the connectivity provider of choice across all the communities we serve. We look forward to bringing these reliable and faster speeds, along with an enhanced customer experience, to meet our customers’ growing data needs today and into the future.”

Backed by Optimum’s 100% Fiber Internet network with 99.9% network reliability, Optimum’s 8 Gig Fiber Internet offers 8 Gig symmetrical upload and download speeds to support the most data-intensive applications such as AR/VR, gaming, graphic design, and video production, all while providing increased bandwidth that can simultaneously connect 100+ devices to the internet at once. The service is delivered directly into the home via the Optimum Fiber Gateway to enable fast, reliable WiFi in the home or business, with extenders available for extra coverage.

“Optimum’s Fiber is deployed using XGS-PON, an advanced technology that enables multi-gigabit symmetrical speeds and that is superior to the legacy GPON standard used by many other fiber providers,” said Pragash Pillai, Chief Technology and Information Officer, Optimum. “As we continue to bring faster, more reliable service to customers through this state-of-the-art technology, the strength of Optimum’s Fiber network goes unmatched.”

Optimum continues to be a leader in the deployment of multi-gigabit internet speeds across the nation, having launched 2 and 5 Gig internet service across its fiber footprint in the New York tri-state area last year, and now adding an additional 8 Gig speed tier to more homes and businesses on its 100% Fiber Internet Network.

An Altice rep told Fierce the 8-gig offering is currently live in all markets where multi-gig speeds are available, which is “predominantly” in the New York tri-state area. Consumers can check the Optimum website to see if they’re eligible for the service.  “In addition to multi-gig, up to 1 gig speeds are available in more than 90% of the Optimum footprint,” the rep told Fierce.

8-gig speeds come after Altice last year released 2-gig and 5-gig tiers across New York, New Jersey and Connecticut. Altice said “nearly 3 million passings” will have access to 8-gig fiber by year-end, and that number will increase as Altice ramps up its fiber expansion.

For more information on Optimum’s multi-gig speed tiers and other fiber offerings, prospective customers can visit Optimum.com/8Gig. Existing customers can call 1.866.347.4784 to upgrade.

About Optimum:

Optimum is a brand of Altice USA, one of the largest broadband communications and video services providers in the United States, delivering broadband, video, and mobile services to nearly 5 million residential and business customers across 21 states. The company operates a4, an advanced advertising and data business, which provides audience-based, multiscreen advertising solutions to local, regional and national businesses and advertising clients. Altice USA also offers hyper-local, national, international and business news through its News 12, Cheddar News and i24NEWS networks.

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Other 8-gig Network Providers:

Windstream’s Kinetic has also gotten into the 8-gig game, as a spokesperson recently told Fierce it will make 8-gig speeds available to 400,000 households across its 18-state footprint. Others that have rolled out 8-gig tiers include C Spire, Google Fiber, Lumen Technologies and TDS Telecom. Google Fiber is particularly stepping up its speeds, as it’s seeking testers for its nascent 20-gig product.

References:

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230709466071/en/Ultra-Fast-Optimum-8-Gig-Symmetrical-Fiber-Internet-Service-Launches-Across-More-Than-1.7-Million-Passings-Representing-the-Widest-Availability-of-8-Gig-Speeds-in-the-United-States

https://www.fiercetelecom.com/broadband/altice-usa-unveils-8-gig-optimum-fiber-tier

 

GSA: 5G Device Ecosystem June 2023 Summary

Highlights:

  • The number of announced 5G devices rose by 1.2% between April and May 2023, reaching a total of 1,965 devices. Of these, 1,579 are understood to be commercially available, representing 80.4% of all announced 5G devices. This is an increase of 48.7% in the number of commercial 5G devices since the end of May 2022. Highlights this edition include:
  • 233 manufacturers with announced available or forthcoming 5G devices
    1,965 announced devices, of which at least 1,579 are understood to be commercially available
    Not all devices are available immediately and specification details remain limited for some. We expect devices to continue to become more widely available and for more information about announced devices to emerge as they reach the market.
  • The number of commercially available devices has been growing steadily since the start of the year and should continue in this manner. GSA will continue to track and report on 5G device launches during the coming year. Its GAMBoD database contains important details about device form factors, features and support for spectrum bands. Summary statistics are released in this regular monthly publication.

By the end of May 2023, GSA had identified:
• 26 announced form factors
• 233 manufacturers with announced available or forthcoming 5G devices
• 1,965 announced devices, including regional variants, but excluding operator-branded devices that are essentially rebadged
versions of other phones. Of these, at least 1,579 are understood to be commercially available:
• 1,024 phones (up 15 from April 2023), at least 942 of which are now commercially available (up 14 from April 2023)
• 283 fixed wireless access customer-premises equipment (CPE) devices for indoor and outdoor uses, at least 183 of which are
now commercially available
• 227 modules

• 167 industrial or enterprise routers, gateways or modems
• 68 battery-operated hot spots
• 46 tablets
• 29 laptops or notebooks
• 12 in-vehicle routers, modems or hot spots
• 15 USB terminals, dongles or modems
• 94 other devices, including drones, head-mounted displays, robots, TVs, cameras, femtocells/small cells, repeaters, vehicle
on-board units, keypads, a snap-on dongle/adapter, a switch, a vending machine and an encoder
• 1,063 announced devices with declared support for 5G standalone in sub-6 GHz bands, 864 of which are commercially available.

  • Not all devices are available immediately and specification details remain limited for some. We expect devices to continue to become more widely available and for more information about announced devices to emerge as they reach the market.
  • The number of commercially available devices has been growing steadily since the start of the year and should continue in this manner.
  • GSA will continue to track and report on 5G device launches during the coming year. Its GAMBoD database contains important details about device form factors, features and support for spectrum bands. Summary statistics are released in this regular monthly publication.

References:

5G-Ecosystem June 2023 Summary

GSA FWA Report: 38 commercially launched 5G FWA networks in the EU; Speeds revealed

GSA: 200 global operators offer 5G services; only 20 (Dell’Oro says 13) have deployed 5G SA core network

GSA: 5G Market Snapshot – 5G networks, 5G devices, 5G SA status

 

Draft new ITU-R recommendation (not yet approved): M.[IMT.FRAMEWORK FOR 2030 AND BEYOND]

Introduction:

At its 44th meeting in June 2023, ITU-R WP 5D finalized development of a draft new Recommendation ITU-R M.[IMT.FRAMEWORK FOR 2030 AND BEYOND] on “Framework and overall objectives of the future development of IMT for 2030 and beyond.”  This draft recommendation is expected to be approved by year end 2023.

With the evolution of information and communications technologies, IMT-2030 is expected to support enriched and immersive experience, enhanced ubiquitous coverage, and enable new forms of collaboration. Furthermore, IMT-2030 is envisaged to support expanded and new usage scenarios compared to those of IMT-2020, while providing enhanced and new capabilities.

The objective of this Recommendation is to provide guidelines on the framework and overall objectives of the future development of IMT-2030 (aka “6G”).

In the next three years starting from 2024, ITU-R WP 5D will focus on the study of detailed technical performance requirements and the evaluation criteria and methodologies, paving the way for the technology proposal evaluation in the last phase of the IMT-2030 cycle, i.e. from 2027 to 2030.

Relationship between ITU-R (WP 5D) and 3GPP:

ITU-R WP 5D establishes the overall research and development direction, key performance indicators, as well as the standardization, commercialization, and spectrum roadmap for the new generation of IMT through a Framework Recommendation. It then moves on to defining the technical performance requirements to achieve the Framework.

After that, 3GPP develops detailed technical specifications that meet the requirements defined by the ITU-R recommendations and submits their specs to ITU-R WP5D (via ATIS) as a candidate radio interface technology.  5D then evaluates whether the 3GPP defined technology meets the requirements of the ITU-R (for 5G and presumably for 6G too). If it passes the evaluation process, it is approved as ITU-R Recommendation.

Figure 1. below shows these relationships:

Figure 1.  Relationship between ITU-R and 3GPP

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Motivation and societal considerations:

The motivation for the development of IMT-2030 is to continue to build an inclusive information society and to support the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs). To this end, IMT-2030 is expected to be an important enabler for achieving the following goals, among others:

Inclusivity: Bridging digital divides, to the maximum extent feasible, by ensuring access to meaningful connectivity to everyone.

Ubiquitous connectivity: To connect unconnected, IMT-2030 is expected to include affordable connectivity and, at minimum, basic broadband services with extended coverage, including sparsely populated areas.

Sustainability: Sustainability refers to the principle of ensuring that today’s actions do not limit the range of economic, social, and environmental options to future generations. IMT-2030 is envisaged to be built on energy efficiency, low power consumption technologies, reducing greenhouse gas emissions and use of resources under the circular economy model, in order to address climate change and contribute towards the achievement of current and future sustainable development goals.

Innovation: Fostering innovation with technologies that facilitate connectivity, productivity and the efficient management of resources. These technological advances will improve user experience and positively transform economies and lives everywhere.

Enhanced security, privacy and resilience: The future IMT system is expected to be secure and privacy-preserving by design. It is expected to have the ability to continue operating during and quickly recover from a disruptive event, whether natural or man-made. Making security, privacy and resilience key considerations in the design, deployment and operation of IMT-2030 systems is fundamental to achieving broader societal and economic goals.

Standardization and interoperability: To achieve wide industry support for IMT2030, future IMT systems are expected to be designed from the start to use transparently and member-inclusively standardized and interoperable interfaces, ensuring that different parts of the network, whether from the same or different vendors, work together as a fully functional system.

Interworking: IMT-2030 is expected to support service continuity and provide flexibility to users via close interworking with non-terrestrial network implementations, existing IMT systems and other non-IMT access systems. IMT-2030 is also expected to support smooth migration from existing IMT systems, where including support of connectivity to IMT-2020 and potentially IMT-Advanced devices will be advantageous for inclusivity.

User and application trends:   

Applications and services enabled by IMT-2030 are expected to connect humans, machines and various other things together. With the advances in human-machine interfaces, interactive and high-resolution video systems such as extended reality (XR) displays, haptic sensors and actuators, and/or multi-sensory (auditory, visual, haptic or gesture) interfaces, IMT-2030 is expected to offer humans immersive experiences that are virtually generated or happening remotely. On the other hand, machines are envisaged to be intelligent, autonomous, responsive, and precise due to advances in machine perception, robotics, and artificial intelligence (AI). In the physical world, humans and machines are expected to continuously interact with each other, working with a digital world that extends the real world by using a large number of advanced sensors and AI. Such a digital world not only replicates but also affects the real world by providing virtual experiences to humans, and computation and control to machines.

IMT-2030 is expected to integrate sensing and AI-related capabilities into communication and serve as a fundamental infrastructure to enable new user and application trends. From these trends, it is expected that IMT-2030 provides a wide range of use cases while continuing to provide, inter alia,  direct voice support as an essential communication. Furthermore, IMT-2030 technology is expected to drive the next wave of digital economic growth, as well as sustainable far-reaching societal changes, digital equality and universal connectivity. IMT-2030 is expected to further enhance security, privacy, and resilience.

Source: Huawei

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Technology trends:

Report ITU-R M.2516 provides a broad view of future technical aspects of terrestrial IMT systems considering the timeframe up to 2030 and beyond, characterized with respect to key emerging services, applications trends, and relevant driving factors. It comprises a toolbox of technological enablers for terrestrial IMT systems, including the evolution of IMT through advances in technology and their deployment. In the following sub-sections, a brief overview of emerging technology trends and enablers, technologies to enhance the radio interface, and technologies to enhance the radio network are presented.

Emerging technology trends and enablers:

IMT-2030 is expected to consider an AI-native new air interface that uses AI to enhance the performance of radio interface functions such as symbol detection/decoding, channel estimation etc. An AI-native radio network would enable automated and intelligent networking services such as intelligent data perception, supply of on-demand capability etc. Radio networks that support AI services would be fundamental to the design of IMT technologies to serve various AI applications, and the proposed directions include on-demand uplink/sidelink-centric, deep edge, and distributed machine learning including federated learning.

The integration of sensing and communication functions in IMT-2030 systems would give new capabilities, enable innovative services and applications, and provide solutions with a higher degree of sensing accuracy. It would lead to benefits in enhancing performance and reducing overall cost, size, and power consumption of both systems, when it is combined with technologies such as AI, network cooperation, and multi-nodes cooperative sensing.

Computing services and data services are expected to become an integral component of the IMT2030 system. It is expected to include processing data at the network edge close to the data source for real-time responses, low data transport costs, high energy efficiency and privacy protection, as well as scaling out device computing capability for advanced application computing workloads.

Device-to-device wireless communication with extremely high throughput, ultra-accuracy positioning and low latency would be an important communication paradigm for IMT-2030. Technologies such as THz technology, ultra-accuracy sidelink positioning, and enhanced terminal power reduction can be considered to support new applications.

Typical use cases for the 6 usage scenarios of IMT-2030:

Immersive Communication
  • Communication for immersive XR, remote multi-sensory telepresence, and holographic communications
  • Mixed traffic of video, audio, and other environmental data in a time-synchronized manner
  • Standalone support of voice
Massive Communication
  • Expanded and new applications such as in smart cities, transportation, logistics, health, energy, environmental monitoring, and agriculture
  • Applications requiring a variety of IoT devices without batteries or with long-life batteries
Hyper Reliable & Low-Latency Communication
  • Communications in an industrial environment for full automation, control, and operation
  • Facilitating applications such as robotic interactions, emergency services, telemedicine, and monitoring for electrical power transmission and distribution
Ubiquitous Connectivity
  • IoT communication
  • Mobile broadband communication
Integrated AI and Communication
  • IMT-2030 assisted automated driving
  • Autonomous collaboration between devices for medical assistance applications
  • Offloading of heavy computation operations across devices and networks
  • Creation of and prediction with digital twins
  • IMT-2030 assisted collaborative robots (cobots)
Integrated Sensing and Communication
  • IMT-2030 assisted navigation
  • Activity detection and movement tracking (e.g., posture/gesture recognition, fall detection, vehicle/pedestrian detection)
  • Environmental monitoring (e.g., rain/pollution detection)
  • Provision of sensing data/information on surroundings for AI, XR, and digital twin applications (e.g. environment reconstruction, sensing fusion)

Source: Huawei

The Figure below summarizes the different dimensions of capabilities for IMT-2030, including 9 enhanced capabilities (peak data rate, user experienced data rate, spectrum efficiency, area traffic capacity, connection density, mobility, latency, reliability, and security/privacy/resilience) and 6 new capabilities (coverage, positioning, sensing-related capabilities, AI-related capabilities, sustainability, and interoperability). The range of values for the capabilities in the figure are estimated targets for research and investigation of IMT-2030. For each usage scenario, single or multiple values within the range would be developed in the future in other ITU-R Recommendations/Reports.

Source: Huawei

IMT-2030 envisages the use of a wide range of frequency bands ranging from sub-1 GHz up to sub-THz bands (low bands, mid bands (centimeterWave), mmWave bands and sub-THz bands). It expects that wider channel bandwidths may be needed to support future applications and services for IMT-2030 in a wide variety of deployments, including wide-area deployments. It is important to ensure that the current spectrum and newly assigned spectrum are harmonized.

 

References:

https://www.itu.int/md/R19-WP5D-230612-TD-0905/en  (RESTRICTED TO TIES USERS)

https://www.huawei.com/en/huaweitech/future-technologies/itu-r-wp5d-completed-recommendation-framework-imt-2030

https://research.samsung.com/blog/All-set-for-6G

IMT Vision – Framework and overall objectives of the future development of IMT for 2030 and beyond

Summary of ITU-R Workshop on “IMT for 2030 and beyond” (aka “6G”)

China’s MIIT to prioritize 6G project, accelerate 5G and gigabit optical network deployments in 2023

 

ABI Research and CCS Insight: Strong growth for satellite to mobile device connectivity (messaging and broadband internet access)

The satellite connectivity market will grow strongly in coming years, according to data from analysts ABI Research and CCS Insight.  The growing convergence of satellite technology and cellular smartphones has been made possible by integrating Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) connectivity into the 5G cellular ecosystem.
ABI Research’sThe role of satellite in 5G: non-terrestrial networks mobile” forecasts that the NTN-Mobile segment has the potential to reach a market value of at least $18bn, with up to 200 million connections by 2031. It added that the NTN Mobile marketspace has a positive outlook, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59% from 2024 to 2031.It predicts the revenue growth in this sector will be driven primarily by the introduction of NR-NTN satellite services, which is expected in 2026. ABI believes that the potential adoption of NTN satellite services in consumer vehicles for mobile emergencies, messaging, voice, and data communications use cases would also drive the growth of NTN-Mobile connections. The market research firm said that following the release of 3GPP Release-17, the satellite-to-mobile marketplace has gained significant momentum, driven by notable product launches and major announcements.
However, it should be noted that there is no official standard for 5G NTNs!  ITU-R WP5D hasn’t even started work on it yet, focusing singularly on terrestrial 5G.
Image Credit:  ABI Research
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Victor Xu, satellite communications research analyst, highlighted increased traction from the device side as leaving the sector poised for the mainstream.  He cited moves to provide satellite-capable mobile devices by “major consumer smartphone manufacturers and chipset makers” including “Apple, Qualcomm, Motorola, MediaTek, Huawei, and ZTE” as a marker of the market’s readiness.
ABI also noted that these collaborations have extended beyond to include mobile network operators (MNOs) aiming to expand their network coverage. Examples given were T-Mobile partnering with satellite operator SpaceX/Starlink to provide satellite-to-mobile connectivity services, while satellite operators AST SpaceMobile and Lynk have also established strategic alliances with MNOs such as Vodafone, Rakuten Mobile, AT&T, Bell Canada, MTN Group, Orange, Zain KSA, Saudi Telecom Company (STC), and Telefónica.Xu noted the current batch of satellite-to-mobile services “will initially prioritize low data rate communications through IoT NTN.”  While services to date “have mainly focused on specialised emergency services and messaging with low data rates,” Xu predicted satellite networks will “eventually incorporate NR-NTN, a 5G-based, more advanced communication specification, in the next few years.” Xu added the standard will “increase capacity and network capabilities, enabling more concurrent users and applications with higher data rates.”
ABI Research also highlighted a growing number of deals between satellite service providers and mobile operators, but Xu said it was important to note that the recently announced satellite services will initially prioritize low data rate communications through IoT-NTN technology.”
“Currently, satellite communication services have mainly focused on specialized emergency services and messaging with low data rates. Still, satellite networks are anticipated to eventually incorporate NR-NTN, a 5G-based, more advanced communication standard, in the next few years,” said Xu. “Integrating NR-NTN will increase capacity and network capabilities, enabling more concurrent users and applications with higher data rates. As a result, new possibilities and use cases for satellite connectivity will emerge,” he added.
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Separately, a study from CCS Insight revealed new opportunities for enhanced global connectivity, with projected growth in satellite-connected devices and the introduction of new satellite constellations that can fill connectivity gaps in remote areas.CCS Insight forecasts that 92 million mobile phones will have built-in satellite messaging functionality by the end of 2023, a significant rise from just under 2 million devices in 2021. This shift in accessibility it said was being driven by Apple’s partnering with Globalstar for the Emergency SOS feature in the iPhone 14 range, as well as Qualcomm’s partnership with Iridium, which is bringing similar capabilities to Android phones.The research firm believes that with the integration of satellite connectivity on mobile devices, the market will soon no longer be reliant on hardware modifications. With commercial services expected to launch later in 2023, new low-Earth-orbit satellite constellations led by AST SpaceMobile, Lynk and SpaceX are set to work alongside terrestrial mobile networks to provide satellite connectivity to all unmodified phones.

CCS Insight believes that these enhanced satellite networks have the capability to grow to deliver voice and data services as the constellations evolve. It adds that network operators will be able to offer these satellite services as add-ons to existing subscription packages, catering to the growing demand for ubiquitous connectivity.

As demand for enhanced global connectivity continues to rise, the analyst forecasts that 15% of global mobile subscribers are expected to own a smartphone that supports satellite messaging by 2027 and an additional 10% will benefit from satellite plans provided by their operator.  By capitalizing on revenue streams generated through operators and supplementary services, CCCS believes that the direct-to-device satellite market is poised to amass $18bn in revenue by 2027. This market it said represented a “vast opportunity”, with an audience of more than 4.8 billion people who could access satellite services through a compatible smartphone. It calculated that as many as 493 million people worldwide lack any kind of mobile network coverage.

“Bringing satellite capabilities to mass-market smartphones marks a milestone in the telecom industry,” said Luke Pearce, senior analyst at CCS Insight.  “This development creates exciting opportunities for consumers, manufacturers and operators and promises to help bridge the digital divide. The projected growth in revenue and subscribers highlights the potential this integration holds for expanding connectivity options – we’re witnessing the start of a new era where satellite services become an integral part of everyday smartphones.”

CCS Insight’s free report, Direct Satellite-to-Device Mobile Services, shares unique insight into the market for satellite-connected phones and unpacks its developing dynamics.

 References:

https://www.abiresearch.com/market-research/product/7780386-the-role-of-satellite-in-5g-non-terrestria/

https://www.abiresearch.com/market-research/product/7781971-highlights-developments-in-the-satcom-ntn-/

Direct Satellite-to-Device Mobile Services

ABI tips NTN, 5G mobile market to reach $18B by 2031

AST SpaceMobile achieves 4G LTE download speeds >10 Mbps during test in Hawaii

FCC Grants Experimental License to AST SpaceMobile for BlueWalker 3 Satellite using Spectrum from AT&T

https://www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/ericsson-technology-review/articles/3gpp-satellite-communication

New ITU report in progress: Technical feasibility of IMT in bands above 100 GHz (92 GHz and 400 GHz)

Introduction:

ITU-R Report R M.2376 contains studies of frequency ranges (6-100 GHz) for International Mobile Telecommunications (IMT) technologies. It is envisioned that future IMT systems will need to support very high throughput data links to cope with the growth of the data traffic, new extremely bandwidth demanding use cases, as well as new capabilities of integrated sensing and communication (ISAC). There has been academic and industry research and development ongoing related to suitability of mobile broadband systems in frequency bands above 92 GHz to enable services requiring tera-bit per second speeds. This has prompted researchers to consider the technical feasibility of higher frequency bands in IMT.

Overview:

This ITU-R preliminary draft new report in progress provides information on the technical feasibility of IMT in bands between 92 GHz and 400 GHz. This Report complements the studies carried in Report ITU-R M.2376. This technical feasibility Report includes information on propagation mechanisms and channel models, as well as newly developed technology enablers such as active and passive components, antenna techniques, deployment architectures, and the results of simulations and performance tests. Aspects of coexistence with incumbent radiocommunications services above 92 GHz are outside the scope of this document, and this report does not presuppose the inclusion of any item on a future World Radio Conference (WRC) agenda nor the decisions of a future WRC.

ITU-R WP5D emphasizes that the further development of the draft new Report ITU-R M.[IMT.ABOVE 100GHz] does not contain propagation prediction methods. It contains only results contributed by industry and academia of propagation measurements and simulation campaigns.

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FromExperiments bring hope for 6G above 100 GHz:

Channel models for 4G and 5G cannot simply be extended above 100 GHz; engineers must verify and fine-tune knowledge to correctly reflect the impact of the environment for various use cases. We must, for example, understand outdoor scenarios and indoor industrial scenarios where human bodies, vehicles, and environmental conditions such as rain propagation strongly influence signal propagation.

5G pioneered the use of millimeter wave frequencies with bandwidths up to 400 MHz per component carrier to enable transmission rates necessary for demanding real-time applications such as wireless factory automation. 6G technology is aiming at significantly higher transmission rates and lower latencies. Large contiguous frequency ranges for ultra-high data rates with bandwidths of several GHz are only available above 100 GHz.

With sonar, the transmitter and receiver are in the same place. As for channel sounding of electromagnetic waves, the transmitter and receiver are spatially separated. In time domain channel sounding, a modulated pulse signal with excellent autocorrelation properties, such as a Frank-Zadoff-Chu (FZC) sequence [1], serves as a “ping” whose channel impulse response (CIR) is recorded. This propagation-time measurement is very similar to the time-delay measurements performed in a GPS receiver in reference to the GPS satellites (and subsequently inferring the position information), where each satellite transmits its specific correlation sequence. The CIR includes both the direct propagation components (line of sight, LOS) and all reflection and scattering components (non-line-of-sight, NLOS) from objects in the environment (Figure 1). We can derive channel-model parameters and their values from the results.

 

Figure 1. Operating principle of time domain channel sounding: The channel impulse response (CIR) is measured by emitting an electromagnetic “ping” at the frequency of interest and capturing all returning signal components.

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References:

https://www.itu.int/md/R19-WP5D-C-0679/en  (RESTRICTED TO ITU TIES USERS)

https://www.itu.int/md/R1-WP5D-C-1654/en (RESTRICTED TO ITU TIES USERS)

ITU-R WP5D: Studies on technical feasibility of IMT in bands above 100 GHz

Experiments bring hope for 6G above 100 GHz

 

Samsung-Mediatek 5G uplink trial with 3 transmit antennas

Samsung Electronics and MediaTek have successfully conducted 5G standalone (SA) uplink tests, using three transmit (3Tx) antennas instead of the typical two, to demonstrate the potential for improved upload experiences with current smartphones and customer premise equipment (CPE).

Until recently, most talk about 5G SA industry firsts have focused on the downlink. However, the demands on uplink performance are increasing with the rise of live streaming, multi-player gaming and video conferences. Upload speeds determine how fast your device can send data to gaming servers or transmit high-resolution videos to the cloud. As more consumers seek to document and share their experiences with the world in real-time, enhanced uplink experiences provide an opportunity to use the network to improve how they map out their route home, check player stats online and upload videos and selfies to share with friends and followers.

While current smartphones and customer premise equipment (CPEs) can only support 2Tx antennas, this industry-first demonstration validated the enhanced mobile capability of 3Tx antenna support. This approach not only improves upload speeds but also enhances spectrum and data transmission efficiency, as well as overall network performance.

The test was conducted in Samsung’s lab, based in Suwon, Korea. Samsung provided its industry-leading 5G network solutions, including its C-Band Massive MIMO radios, virtualized Distributed Unit (vDU) and core. The MediaTek test device featuring its new M80-based CPE chipset began with one uplink channel apiece at 1,900MHz and 3.7GHz, but added an extra uplink flow using MIMO on 3.7GHz. Both companies achieved a peak throughput rate of 363Mbps, an uplink speed that is near theoretical peak using 3Tx antennas.

Source:  ZTE

“We are excited to have successfully achieved this industry breakthrough with MediaTek, bringing greater efficiency and performance to consumer devices,” said Dongwoo Lee, Head of Technology Solution Group, Networks Business at Samsung Electronics. “Faster uplink speeds bring new possibilities and have the potential to transform user experiences. This milestone further demonstrates our commitment to improving our customers’ networks using the most advanced technology available.”

“Enhancing uplink performance using groundbreaking tri-antenna and 5G UL infrastructure technologies will ensure next-generation 5G experiences continue to impress users globally,” said HC Hwang, General Manager of Wireless Communication System and Partnership at MediaTek. “Our collaboration with Samsung has proved our combined technical capabilities to overcome previous limits, enhancing network performance and efficiency, opening up new possibilities for service providers and consumers to enjoy faster and more reliable 5G data connectivity.”

“With demands on mobile networks rising, enhancing upload performance is essential to improving consumer and enterprise connectivity, as well as application experiences,” said Will Townsend, VP & Principal Analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy. “Samsung and MediaTek have achieved an important 5G Standalone milestone in a demonstration which underscores a tangible network benefit and does so in a way that can help operators maximize efficiency.”

Samsung has pioneered the successful delivery of 5G end-to-end solutions, including chipsets, radios and core. Through ongoing research and development, Samsung drives the industry to advance 5G networks with its market-leading product portfolio, from virtualized RAN and Core to private network solutions and AI-powered automation tools. The company currently provides network solutions to mobile operators that deliver connectivity to hundreds of millions of users worldwide.

References:

https://news.samsung.com/global/samsung-electronics-and-mediatek-achieve-innovative-5g-uplink-breakthrough-with-three-transmit-antennas

Ericsson and MediaTek set new 5G uplink speed record using Uplink Carrier Aggregation

Nokia achieves extended range mmWave 5G speed record in Finland

Huawei and China Telecom Jointly Release 5G Super Uplink Innovation Solution

https://www.telecomhall.net/t/5g-uplink-enhancement-technology-by-zte-white-paper/20183

 

Perú’s First Open Access Wholesale Fiber Optic Network

KKR, Telefónica Hispanoamérica, and Entel today announced agreements under which KKR will acquire a majority interest in PangeaCo and the existing fiber optic networks of Telefónica del Perú and Entel Perú to build Perú’s first nationwide open access wholesale fiber optics company with the mission to bring greater access to fiber optics connectivity across the country. The transaction will combine the existing fiber optic networks of PangeaCo, Telefónica del Perú, and Entel Perú into an independent company controlled by KKR. The newly formed network will be open access, allowing usage to all internet service providers for the first time. KKR plans to make approximately US$200 million of additional investment to more than double the ultra-fast fiber network from more than 2 million homes passed today to reach 5.2 million homes passed across 86 provinces by the end of 2026.

Telefonica did not disclose the value of the transaction but said the deal would cut its debt by 200 million euros ($217.8 million).  According to a banking source close to the deal, the transaction valued 100% of the unit at about 550 million euros, including debt.

Under the terms of the agreement, KKR will acquire a controlling interest in PangeaCo, which will subsequently acquire the existing fiber optic networks of Telefónica del Perú and Entel Perú. Through the combination of these networks, KKR will establish ON*NET Fibra de Perú as the new name for the platform which will independently build and operate the nation’s largest fiber optic network with world-class quality standards. KKR will own a 54% interest in ON*NET Fibra de Perú alongside Telefónica Hispanoamérica, which will own 36%, and Entel Perú, which will own 10%.

The entire ON*NET Fibra de Perú fiber optic network will be open to use by all internet service providers, increasing competition in the wholesale market. Telefónica del Perú and Entel Perú will be anchor tenants on the expanded open access network, enabling both providers to reach a greater number of customers with ultra-high-speed offerings. The transaction does not impact the services provided by existing customers of PangeaCo, Telefónica del Perú or Entel Perú. Upon closing of the transaction, customers will benefit from the scale of the larger network.

In Perú, approximately 88% of households have mobile or fixed internet service, but less than 35% have access to high-speed fiber optic networks.1 KKR, as the controlling shareholder, intends for ON*NET Fibra de Perú to more than double the households reached by fiber optic network, including reaching municipal areas outside of Lima as well as middle- and low-income households. This transaction demonstrates continued investor confidence in Peruvian infrastructure and the commitment of the companies to contribute to the sustainable development of the digital connectivity in the country.

Today’s announcement builds on KKR’s success in expanding nationwide connectivity and increasing competition in Chile and Colombia. ON*NET Fibra de Chile has expanded access from 2.4 million homes passed to 3.7 million homes passed since KKR signed the acquisition in February 2021 and ON*NET Fibra de Colombia has increased homes passed from 1.2 million to 2.4 million since signing in July 2021.2 Both companies have attracted multiple internet service providers to utilize their open access networks.

KKR is making the investment through its KKR Global Infrastructure Investors III fund and plans to provide operational support to ON*NET Fibra de Perú through NEXO LatAm, a digital infrastructure business supporting KKR’s Infrastructure strategy across Latin America. KKR and NEXO LatAm have significant experience supporting the successful expansion of open access fiber optic investments.  The transaction is subject to regulatory approvals, including the approval of the Peruvian antitrust agency (INDECOPI).

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From telecoms.com:

When Telefonica first sold a stake in its Chilean fibre business to KKR it had a footprint of 2.4 million homes passed. The deal valued the entire business at $1 billion. The Colombian fiber business that KKR bought into was valued at half that amount and just over half the footprint:1.2 million homes. Admittedly, the Colombia deal was inked two years ago and Chile even longer ago, and a fair bit has changed in the economic situation in that time. However, we can get a sense of the scale of spend we might be looking at.

KKR  wants to share the progress made by those Chilean and Colombian ventures. ON*NET Fibra de Chile passed 3.7 million homes as of the end of 2022, while ON*NET Fibra de Colombia had doubled the number of homes passed to 2.4 million, it said, adding that both have attracted multiple ISP customers.

That surely bodes well for the new venture’s aims in Peru, where at present around 88% of households have mobile or fixed internet service, but less than 35% have access to high-speed fibre networks, KKR said, citing data from regulator OSIPTEL and market research firm Omdia (owned by Informa).

It should also help smooth the regulatory process. The deal needs a number of approvals, including that of Peruvian antitrust agency INDECOPI, but it’s hard to foresee any major difficulties, given that this is an established model across the region and one that seems to be working.

 

References:

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230706781845/en/KKR-Invests-in-Per%C3%BA%E2%80%99s-First-Open-Access-Fiber-Optic-Network-to-Bridge-the-Digital-Divide-and-Increase-Competition-in-the-Market

https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/telefonica-sells-controlling-stake-peruvian-fibre-optic-network-kkr-2023-07-07/

https://telecoms.com/522583/telefonica-entel-and-kkr-ink-peru-fibre-deal/

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